according to 538, the % to win the white house...

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according to 538, the % to win the white house...

Postby Peter Kropotkin » Sat Oct 17, 2020 9:11 pm

or as I like to put it, a really good chance for Biden....

538 ran 40,000 simulations of the election, and as of today,
Biden wins 87 in 100 times and IQ45 wins 12 in 100 times..

according to 538, IQ45 won't even get to 200 in the EC....
and Biden has a couple of different ways to get to 400....

as I stated Earlier, I think Biden will get between 320 and 350 EC votes...

and win the popular vote by over 5 million...

note that Clinton was just short of 3 million votes more then IQ45....the % was
48.2 or 65,853,514 for Clinton and IQ45 got 46.1 of the votes
and got 62,984,828

or said another way, Clinton got 2,868,686 more
voters then IQ45

and I say this election, Biden will crush IQ45 by over 5 million votes...

Kropotkin
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Re: according to 538, the % to win the white house...

Postby WendyDarling » Sun Oct 18, 2020 3:48 am

Lol! Check out what 538 predicted for the 2016 election.
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Re: according to 538, the % to win the white house...

Postby obsrvr524 » Sun Oct 18, 2020 4:44 am

WendyDarling wrote:Lol! Check out what 538 predicted for the 2016 election.

Hillary Clinton - 71.4%
Donald Trump - 28.6%


I guess it's hard to predict when the people actually get a say in the matter. :)

But Marxists don't believe in letting the people have a say and that is why the they cheat and lie so much.
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Re: according to 538, the % to win the white house...

Postby WendyDarling » Sun Oct 18, 2020 5:08 am

Dang it Obsrvr, that reveal was for Peter to discover on his own steam from inside his bubble of delusion.
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"facts change all the time and not only that, they don't mean anything...."-Peter Kropotkin :evilfun:
"I can hope they have some degree of self-awareness but the facts suggest that
they don't..... "- Peter Kropotkin
. :evilfun:
"you don't know the value of facts and you don't know the value of the ‘TRUTH”... " -Peter Kropotkin :lol:
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Re: according to 538, the % to win the white house...

Postby obsrvr524 » Sun Oct 18, 2020 5:20 am

WendyDarling wrote:Dang it Obsrvr, that reveal was for Peter to discover on his own steam from inside his bubble of delusion.

Surely you knew he wasn't going to.
obsrvr524 wrote:A: "Go listen to B and see how he just lies."
B: "Don't listen to A because he just lies."

Which is more likely to be the liar? How would you find out?

PK, you seem more the B type.
Do you also just look to the Left when crossing the street?
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Re: according to 538, the % to win the white house...

Postby WendyDarling » Sun Oct 18, 2020 5:39 am

I was willing to wait and see if cognitive dissonance would kick in full blown or the gleeful chirping of crickets from PK as he scampered back to the safety of his Lala Land.
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"facts change all the time and not only that, they don't mean anything...."-Peter Kropotkin :evilfun:
"I can hope they have some degree of self-awareness but the facts suggest that
they don't..... "- Peter Kropotkin
. :evilfun:
"you don't know the value of facts and you don't know the value of the ‘TRUTH”... " -Peter Kropotkin :lol:
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Re: according to 538, the % to win the white house...

Postby Peter Kropotkin » Sun Oct 18, 2020 4:16 pm

actually, 538 was very accurate in 2016... it was one of the few sites that
did believe that IQ45 could win the election and it said so... the plus and minus
given between Clinton and IQ45, was within the error of margin... and 538 was
pounded by the left for even giving IQ45 a chance..... but we shall know in
a few weeks........

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Re: according to 538, the % to win the white house...

Postby obsrvr524 » Sun Oct 18, 2020 10:34 pm

Peter Kropotkin wrote:actually, 538 was very accurate in 2016... it was one of the few sites that
did believe that IQ45 could win the election and it said so... the plus and minus
given between Clinton and IQ45, was within the error of margin... and 538 was
pounded by the left for even giving IQ45 a chance..... but we shall know in
a few weeks........

Kropotkin

71.4 to 28.6 is "within the margin of error"?
That is a hell of a margin - +/- 30% ?

But you are right that the Left certainly demands favorable bias in all polling. They wouldn't tell the truth even if it actually supported their cause.
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Re: according to 538, the % to win the white house...

Postby WendyDarling » Thu Oct 22, 2020 10:40 am

Thanks for the cognitive dissonance reply PK as expected.
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"facts change all the time and not only that, they don't mean anything...."-Peter Kropotkin :evilfun:
"I can hope they have some degree of self-awareness but the facts suggest that
they don't..... "- Peter Kropotkin
. :evilfun:
"you don't know the value of facts and you don't know the value of the ‘TRUTH”... " -Peter Kropotkin :lol:
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