by Gloominary » Tue Jan 12, 2021 2:17 pm
I'll get to my prediction, but need to build up to it.
There's different ways of organizing sociopolitical ideologies, but one goes something like this:
Rather than just left and right, there's populism and elitism, and libertarianism and authoritarianism.
The populist left is culturally globalist, progressive and fiscally socialist.
The populist right is culturally nationalist, conservative and fiscally socialist.
The elitist left is culturally globalist, progressive and fiscally corporatist.
The elitist right is culturally nationalist, conservative and fiscally corporatist.
Libertarianism, and moderation are compatible with republicanism, and democracy, authoritarianism, and extremism with dictatorship, and oligarchy.
So if you're libertarian, or for example moderately populist left, that's compatible with republicanism, and democracy, but if you're authoritarian, or for example extremely populist left, that's incompatible with republicanism, and democracy.
From 1946-2016, democrats and republicans differed little and were both moving towards the elitist left.
With the election of Trump, the republican party took a bit of a civic nationalist and libertarian turn.
From 2020-2021, there's been a counter revolution, the democratic party accelerated down the path they were already heading, towards more globalism, progressivism and corporatism.
Now the two parties are heading in different directions.
Increasingly wall street is giving a lot more money to democrats than republicans, making the democratic party more the party of the elite.
My long term prediction:
I don't think the elite are going to put on the breaks, even if Trump leaves without incident, they're going to continue accelerating down this path, towards globalism, progressivism, scientism and corporatism, and whatever handouts they give to the masses along the way will be toxic, they'll have to pay for them with their health, liberty and what little private property they have left.
The elite will do everything in their power to try to get the republican party back on board with the agenda.
If they can't, or some other party or parties rise up to challenge them, ultimately it will lead to civil war.
We can only guess what the outcome will be, but I believe we are headed for civil war, and whoever wins (it's possible both sides will lose and foreign powers like China, Russia and the EU will step in) will get to determine the fate of the US, and with it the western world at large.
It's also possible the civil war will lead to a world war and/or civil wars in multiple countries.
I would much rather see a more civic national libertarian republican party, or alternatively a populist right party succeed.
If the elite succeed, western civilization as we know it will be finished, altho ironically it may hold out in the east, in Eastern Europe and Russia.
If the elite succeed, we will end up being dominated by woke authoritarian dictatorships.
Last edited by
Gloominary on Tue Jan 12, 2021 4:08 pm, edited 2 times in total.