Premise 1 : The aggressive nature of Capital , asa laissez faire, is more of a moving force , then socialism.
Premise 2 : The current state, imbibed in alleged pockets of resistance are more theoretical ( inner), then the circumstantial outer to inner directed entropic counter push.
Premise 3 : insecurity requires overvalued paradimns, reflecting over valuations ; of optic progression, - reminiscent of Soviet era 5 year plans.
This move is shadowed by the extreme Fed moves to keep inflationary values under heightened check, so as to minimize degradation of appearent values.
Note: values are more a matter of Madison ave production, then actual, and their ’ branding 'subsist value in far excess of actual value. Inflationary pressures , where quantitative paradigmn depress actual value that are resisted by the illusion of buying more value for less , - becomes more real, where the rate of exchange and the paradigmn reverse .{ Here the ‘TRUMP’ brand compensating for lack of substantial asset can be offered as a prototype}.
In times whete more money is exchanged for less value, the brand is replaced by the generic product, as brand becomes less affordable by increasing levels of buying power. ( This is why Rolls Royce, and other top end production have been taken over by lower end production facilities)
Premise 3. This assumptive basis, at once pre-empts the above two, by a simulated fishing in an unfathomable swamp, where, all premises seem at times to be integrated into an irresolute attempt , and differentiated from an overly optimistic objective paradigmn.
The fact as I see it, is that Trump will win, even without any Russian interference this time , if, the objectives which have been promised to develop a vaccine/ antibody by late October, and the economy , can be sustained.
The economic public stimulus is hampered by large infusions into the Dow, and the psychological hedge displaces most psychological rationalisation , such as parallel social/ideological displacement) that the protest and other movements represent.
Short term development, ( those events such as the Black Lives Matter), are overcome by the progressive long term objectives inherent in the ‘swamp’ of undifferentiated political rhetoric.
The short term de-facto adjustements will be overcome by parallel efforts of maintaining ‘branding’ as more significant as bargaining chip in any transaction, be it economic, psychological or philosophically apologolitical.
Within the modicum of this equation, if, the current above premises can be sustained true to form, Trump Will win.
Everything depends now on the congruence of current and predictable events with those coming down through to November 2.
Aside from unfavorable polls suggesting an 8 point lead by Biden, those numbers may variably and quite suddenly erode in the few months yet available.
The choice for a credible Biden running mate will become more significant, as well, and watch for that to become increasingly a factor, if the role and scope of the vice president can be redefined, suggesting far more powers attributed.
The president and chancellor of pre-WW2 Germany is a good example of clever real-politic. It can also happen here, in the U.S., so the choice of a very well prepared and dynamic VP is of the essence in any real success the Democrats could foresee.