Trump enters the stage

Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan quiet after Trump demands ceasefire, issues sanctions

KIM HJELMGAARD |USA TODAY | 9 minutes ago

Defense Secretary Mark Esper said it was an “impulsive” decision by Turkish President Erdogan to invade northern Syria and it will further destabilize the region and put America’s Syrian Kurdish partners “in harm’s way”. (Oct. 11)

AP, AP

Turkey pressed on with its incursions into Syria on Tuesday as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan remained quiet amid the Trump administration’s demands for an immediate ceasefire as well as its economic sanctions and threats to punish Turkish officials.

President Donald Trump’s request to Erdogan to halt the advance was revealed by Vice President Mike Pence, who said he would travel to the Middle East this week.

Trump made the demand in a Monday phone call with Erdogan.

About 1,000 U.S. troops Trump ordered to leave Syria will remain in the Middle East to prevent a resurgence of the Islamic State group, Trump said late Monday as he announced the economic sanctions on Turkey.

In a written statement, Trump said the troops will “redeploy and remain in the region.”

While he said the troops will leave Syria entirely, a small number will remain at a base in southern Syria to “monitor the situation” and prevent a “repeat of 2014,” when Islamic State fighters took control of large parts of Syria and neighboring Iraq.

Erdogan has not responded to the move, although in anop-ed in The Wall Street Journalpublished late Monday around the time Trump unveiled the sanctions he wrote that his “administration concluded that the international community wasn’t going to act, so we developed a plan for northern Syria.”

The sanctions Trump is putting on Turkey are aimed at pressuring Turkey’s leader to halt a military offensive in Syria against Kurdish forces it views as a terrorist threat. The sanctions put a freeze on trade negotiations and raise steel tariffs on Turkey. Trump said Monday that he will also soon sign an executive order permitting sanctions to be imposed on current and former Turkish officials.

Trump did not specify whether an invitation he made for Erdogan to visit the White House next month would be rescinded. Erdogan had already accepted the invitation.

Dozens of civilians have been killed in Turkey’s operation so far, according to the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a conflict-monitoring group.

Britain, France, Germany and the Netherlands have banned arms sales to Turkey.

The United Nations says that at least 160,000 civilians have been displaced since the Turkish offensive began on Oct. 9. Northeast Syria was already facing a humanitarian crisis before the Turkish invasion, with several million women, children and men in the region in need of assistance and tens of thousands of vulnerable people who fled the battlefields of the Islamic State group living in makeshift camps.

Some of these camps also acted as detention centers for captured Islamic State militants. U.S. troops had been assisting Syrian Kurds to fight the Islamic State group since 2014. When Trump ordered troops to withdraw from northern Syria, it cleared the way for Turkey’s invasion. Ankara considers these Syrian Kurdish fighters as terrorists because of their links to outlawed Kurdish groups in Turkey.

Turkey wants to create a “safe zone” where it can resettle as many as two million Syrian refugees currently in Turkey. The area would also act as a buffer against Syria’s Kurds, according to Turkey’s government.

Trump’s move has been characterized at home and abroad as a betrayal of an ally and Syria’s Kurds say that because of the U.S. withdrawal they have been forced to strike a deal with the government forces of Syrian President Bashar Assad to fend off the Turkish invasion and prevent a massacre of Syrian Kurds.

It is a move that represents a potentially significant shift in Syria’s eight-year-old civil war, not least because Assad’s regime is allied with Russian military forces who have waged a deadly bombing campaign in Syria on its behalf.

Russia’s foreign ministry said Tuesday that its military is patrolling areas “along the line of contact” between Assad’s forces and Turkey’s military. The U.S. military confirmed that it is continuing a “deliberate withdrawal” from the area.

A video circulating on social media on Tuesday appeared to show a Russian-speaking man videoing himself inside what he claims is a recently abandoned U.S. military base in Manbij, Syria. U.S. forces confirmedthey left Manbij on Tuesday.

Alexander Lavrentiev, Russia’s envoy for Syria, told reporters in Abu Dhabi during an official visit there by Russian President Vladimir Putin, that Turkey’s military offensive in northeast Syria was “unacceptable,” according to Russian news agencies.

© Copyright Gannett 2019

The future in a looking glass

Trump is on his way to an easy win in 2020, according to Moody’s accurate election model

Jeff Cox | @JeffCoxCNBCcom

Published 1 Hour Ago Updated 32 Mins AgoCNBC.com

President Donald Trump will win re-election easily in 2020 if the economy holds up, modeling by Moody’s Analytics shows.

“If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition,” the report states.

Three models show Trump getting at least 289 electoral votes and as many as 351, assuming average turnout.

The Moody’s models have been backtested to 1980 and were correct each time — except in 2016, when it indicated Clinton would win a narrow victory.

President Donald Trump looks likely to cruise to re-election next year under three different economic models Moody’s Analytics employed to gauge the 2020 race.

Barring anything unusual happening, the president’s Electoral College victory could easily surpass his 2016 win over Democrat Hillary Clinton, which came by a 304-227 count.

Moody’s based its projections on how consumers feel about their own financial situation, the gains the stock market has achieved during Trump’s tenure, and the prospects for unemployment, which has fallen to a 50-year low. Should those variables hold up, the president looks set to get another four-year term.

The modeling has been highly accurate going back to the 1980 election, missing only once.

“If the economy a year from now is the same as it is today, or roughly so, then the power of incumbency is strong and Trump’s election odds are very good, particularly if Democrats aren’t enthusiastic and don’t get out to vote,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics and co-author of the paper along with Dan White, the firm’s director of government counseling and public finance research, and Bernard Yaros, assistant director and economist. “It’s about turnout.”

Three models show Trump getting at least 289 electoral votes, assuming average turnout. His chances decrease with maximum turnout on the Democratic side and increase with minimum turnout expected.

Of the three models, he does best under the “pocketbook” measure of how people feel about their finances. In that scenario, assuming average nonincumbent turnout, he gets 351 electoral votes to the generic Democrat’s 187. “Record turnout is vital to a Democratic victory,” the report states.

In the stock market model, Trump gets a 289-249 edge, while the unemployment model shows a 332-206 advantage. Across all three models, Trump wins 324-214.

“Our ‘pocket¬book’ model is the most economically driven of the three. If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition,” the report states. “This shows the importance that prevailing economic sentiment at the household level could hold in the next election.”

Stock market levels also are key, and the two are intertwined. Zandi said that even a garden-variety 12% market correction around election time could sway the race, as could an unexpected downturn in the economy.

The results might come as a surprise given Trump’s consistently low favorability ratings — 40% in the latest Gallup poll — and as most head-to-head matchups against Democrats show the president losing.

However, the report said that Trump’s relatively stable ratings help provide a good benchmark for how he will do once election time comes.

Zandi said the race could come down a few key counties in Pennsylvania, which Trump flipped in 2016 after the state had voted Democrat in the previous five presidential elections.

Specifically, he said Luzerne County, in the northeast part of the state, “is the single-most important county, no kidding, in the entire election.” The longtime Democratic stronghold favored Trump, 51.8% to 46.8% in the election.

Trump doesn’t even have to win the county, but merely needs a strong turnout, Zandi said.

The Moody’s models have been backtested to 1980 and were correct each time — except in 2016, when it indicated Clinton would win a narrow victory. The authors attributed “unexpected turnout patterns” in Trump’s favor caused the error and they adjusted for that in the latest projections. They also said the will be updating the projections as conditions develop and change.

© 2019 CNBC LLC. All Rights Reserved. A Division of NBCUniversal

And this :

Trump’s impeachment barricade crumbles

Key witnesses are ignoring Trump and delivering bombshell testimony in Democrats’ Ukraine investigation.

Former White House adviser Fiona Hill leaves Capitol Hill after giving closed-door testimony to a panel of impeachment investigators. | Manuel Balce Ceneta/AP Photo

By KYLE CHENEY and ANDREW DESIDERIO

Donald Trump’s impeachment blockade has collapsed.

The president’s former top Russia adviser, Fiona Hill — the first White House official to cooperate in Democrats’ investigation of the Ukraine scandal — has detailed for lawmakers a trail of alleged corruption that extends from Kyiv to the West Wing. In dramatic testimony on Monday, she roped insome of Trump’s top advisers as witnesses to the unfolding controversy.

And on Tuesday, a senior State Department official, George Kent, testified for nearly 10 hours about his knowledge of the episode despite an attempt by Trump administration lawyers to block him, according to a source working on the impeachment inquiry. The House Intelligence Committee issued a subpoena for his testimony Tuesday morning, and Kent, the deputy assistant secretary of state for European and Eurasian Affairs, complied.

According to people familiar with his testimony, Kent told House impeachment investigators that he was alarmed at the role Rudy Giuliani, Trump’s personal attorney, was playing in Ukraine. In particular, one lawmaker in the room said Kent was concerned because the president was apparently listening to Giuliani, who had mounted a months-long campaign to discredit Joe Biden on unfounded charges.

“He was concerned at the undue influence a private attorney — not an official with the United States government and not someone charged with the responsibility of U.S. relations with Ukraine — was exerting, and that Giuliani was listening to discredited sources and had ties to some questionable characters in Ukraine, and nonetheless had the ear of the president,” Rep. Gerry Connolly (D-Va.) said in a brief interview as he emerged from Kent’s deposition.

Kent’s appearance on Tuesday was just the latest evidence that the White House’s stonewalling against congressional requests for documents and testimony is crumbling — and Democrats now have a new sense of momentum.

“The walls are closing in. The details we are learning about the shadow foreign policy operation Trump has been running to benefit himself personally are stunning.”

  • Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.)

“Thank you to patriots like @realDonaldTrump appointee Fiona Hill who chose to ignore the obstruction from Trump and gave testimony to Congress today,” said Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Calif.). “The truth will keep coming out. And Trump cannot stop it.”

In closed-door testimony described by a source in the room, Hill said she raised concerns with White House officials over Giuliani’s campaign to pressure Ukrainian officials to probe Trump’s political rivals.

Hill said she shared her concerns with then-national security adviser John Bolton, who encouraged her to report her concerns about Giuliani’s efforts to a National Security Council lawyer. She told House impeachment investigators that she met with the lawyer, John Eisenberg, twice. Hill also connected Giuliani’s efforts to Trump’s acting chief of staff, Mick Mulvaney, and said Bolton characterized their efforts on Ukraine as a “drug deal.”

According to a source in the room Monday, Hill said Bolton compared Giuliani to “a hand grenade who’s going to blow everybody up.”

And the flood of damaging information isn’t subsiding.

As lawmakers returned to Capitol Hill on Tuesday, a growing number of witnesses are poised this week to describe their own roles in the controversy, even as the White House has vowed not to engage with House Democrats’ “illegitimate” impeachment effort.

On Wednesday, Michael McKinley, who abruptly resigned last week as a top aide to Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, intends to testify before lawmakers.

On Thursday, lawmakers are expected to hear from Gordon Sondland, the U.S. ambassador to the European Union whose text messages revealed by lawmakers indicated he was aware of efforts to pressure Ukrainian officials to investigate Biden. Sondland reportedly is ready to deflect any blame onto Trump about whether there was a quid pro quo involving military aid to Ukraine or a meeting between Trump and his Ukrainian counterpart in Washington.

Congressional investigators on Friday will hear from Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Laura Cooper, who oversees Russia- and Ukraine-related matters at the Pentagon.

But despite the series of breakthroughs, Democrats still face resistance from the White House to some of their high-level requests.

When asked whether Trump’s budget office had planned to comply with a Tuesday subpoena deadline for documents, a senior administration official would not comment, instead pointing to a White House letter last week that deemed the House impeachment probe “unconstitutional” in part because there has not been a House vote authorizing the inquiry.

Meanwhile, Giuliani, who is facing a mounting set of legal woes, parted wayswith his attorney Jon Sale on Tuesday after Sale sent a letter to the three key investigative committees stating that Giuliani would not comply with a congressional subpoena seeking documents. Sale wrote that the subpoena was “overbroad” and “unduly burdensome.

“Jon has done what I retained him for,” Giuliani told POLITICO.

An official working on the impeachment inquiry slammed the former New York City mayor and said his refusal to comply with the subpoena would be treated as evidence of obstruction and of a cover-up.

“If Rudy Giuliani and the president truly have nothing to hide about their actions, Giuliani will comply — otherwise, we will be forced to consider this as additional evidence of obstruction, and may infer that the evidence withheld would substantiate the accusations of President Trump’s misconduct and efforts to cover it up,” the official said.

Similarly, Vice President Mike Pence rejected House Democrats’ request for Ukraine-related documents, a demand which also had a deadline of Tuesday. Pence’s counsel, Matthew E. Morgan, echoed the White House’s position that the impeachment inquiry is illegitimate. A subpoena to Pence is likely to follow.

The Pentagon, too, rejected a subpoena seeking documents. In a letter to Democratic committee chairs, the Defense Department’s legislative affairs chief also cited the White House’s view on the impeachment inquiry.

But the recent spate of witness interviews underscores how the president’s once-impenetrable barrier to meaningful testimony in Democrats’ impeachment inquiry has been blown apart.

“The walls are closing in. The details we are learning about the shadow foreign policy operation Trump has been running to benefit himself personally are stunning,” said Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.). “Why have a democracy, if we allow this to happen without consequence?”

Though Hill’s testimony was the most damning to date, she wasn’t the first to put a crack in Trump’s wall.

Earlier this month, former NATO Ambassador Kurt Volker provided text messages between himself and other diplomats in which they described concerns that Trump was using a potential White House visit for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, and possibly even military aid, as a cudgel to force the besieged country to probe Biden. Volker testified for nine hours to lawmakers and aides behind closed doors. Trump has forcefully denied any “quid pro quo” occurred.

Last Friday, Marie Yovanovitch, the former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, testified about her abrupt removal by Trump, which came amid a smear campaign by Trump’s allies that accused her of disloyalty. Yovanovitch’s ouster in May infuriated senior State Department officials, and she testified that the ability of bad actors to engineer her removal could be exploited by foreign adversaries.

Kent served under Yovanovitch in Ukraine for three years. A former State Department official said Kent is “able to peel back layers of the onion that many people can’t,” and he is likely to speak out against Yovanovitch’s ouster. Connolly said Kent “implicitly” defended Yovanovitch during his testimony.

House Republicans have said little about the substance of Hill’s testimony but have complained vehemently about Democrats’ decision to hold witness interviews behind closed doors. They contend a matter as weighty as the potential impeachment of a president should be conducted publicly.

Intelligence Chairman Adam Schiff has countered, arguing that the secrecy surrounding the initial interviews is meant to prevent witnesses from aligning their statements. Speaking at a press conference Tuesday, Schiff said public hearings would soon follow the evidence-gathering phase of the impeachment inquiry.

Caitlin Emma, Darren Samuelsohn and Nahal Toosi contributed to this report.

© 2019 POLITICO LLC

The electability of Trump is way up in polls, therefore who do the Dems pull out of the hat?

Another high profile big hitter. Smart move, since those running up to now, appear lack luster.

Fox News

OPINIONPublished October 15, 2019
Doug Schoen: Hillary vs. Trump in 2020? If Clinton is serious, here’s best way for her to defeat the president
Douglas E. Schoen By Douglas E. Schoen | Fox News

After months out of the limelight, Hillary Clinton has reentered the public sphere, leading to a great deal of speculation about whether the former Democratic presidential candidate is seriously considering a rematch against President Trump in 2020.

The speculation surrounding whether Clinton would mount another presidential run has even caught the attention of President Trump, who took to Twitter on Wednesday to bash both Clinton and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, the current Democratic frontrunner.

“I think that Crooked Hillary Clinton should enter the race to try and steal it away from Uber Left Elizabeth Warren,” Trump tweeted. “Only one condition. The Crooked one must explain all of her high crimes and misdemeanors including how & why she deleted 33,000 Emails AFTER getting ‘C’ Subpoena!”

MICHAEL GOODWIN: HILLARY CLINTON NEEDS TO RUN FOR PRESIDENT AGAIN — OR GET OVER IT ALREADY

“Don’t tempt me. Do your job,” Clinton responded.

Chris Prudhome: Don’t believe Dem lies – Trump is NOT a racist and his policies have benefited black people
James Lynch: Trump is giving Biden a gift – Why is the Scranton street fighter shying away?
Newt Gingrich: The resistance against Trump began the day he was elected – This is not an impeachment process
Trump and Clinton’s latest Twitter exchange comes just a few weeks after she blasted the president in an interview with CBS, calling him a “corrupt human tornado.”

“I believe that, look there were many funny things that happened in my election that will not happen again. And I’m hoping that both the public and press understand the way Trump plays the game,” Clinton said.

In my view, Clinton entering the 2020 race would do the party an enormous disservice. Further, given that there are still currently 19 Democratic candidates vying for the nomination, Clinton’s ability to re-clinch the nomination is a long shot at best.( this idea is extremely contentious, in my humble opinion)

However, if the former secretary of state has genuine ambitions to enter the Democratic primary race, the best way she could do so is not by blasting Trump or by being divisive.

Rather, Clinton needs to rise above the field and present a worldview that is unifying, and can bring together the two factions of the Democratic Party.

If Clinton is hoping to break through the deadlocked primary and make another run for the presidency, her best way in would be by presenting big ideas on climate, the economy, health care, and job creation.

Ultimately, the Democratic Party very well may be deadlocked, as nearly 20 candidates are seeking the party’s nomination.

Thus, if Clinton is hoping to break through the deadlocked primary and make another run for the presidency, her best way in would be by presenting big ideas on climate, the economy, health care, and job creation.

While some are arguing that there is a path for Clinton in the 2020 race, support for her third run is mixed, even within her own party.

A Rasmussen poll released this month showed that even though Clinton is running even with President Trump, most Democrats don’t want her to get into the race.

While Trump and Clinton both garner 45 percent of the vote in this hypothetical match-up, 71 percent of all voters don’t think Clinton should run again.

Moreover, 59 percent of Democrats don’t think that Clinton should enter the race for their party’s nomination, compared to 74 percent of independents and 80 percent of Republicans who believe that Clinton should stay out of the 2020 contest.

Ultimately, whether Clinton is seriously weighing another presidential run or is just bashing Trump as a way to promote her book, she is still speaking as one of the most prominent Democratic politicians in the country. Thus, Clinton should not waste her media time and influence on taunting the president.

Rather, Clinton should seize on this moment to contribute to a unifying, inclusive Democratic narrative which entails bold plans for tackling climate change, making the economy work for everyone, and fixing the broken health care system.

To be sure, even when she is out of the running for president, Hillary Clinton is still one of the most prominent voices in the Democratic Party today.

However, it remains to be seen whether Clinton will use her power to move the party closer to the White House, or whether she will merely use it to tease the president as he faulters.

Douglas E. Schoen is a Fox News contributor. He has more than 30 years experience as a pollster and political consultant.

©2019 FOX News Network, LLC. All rights reserved.

How’s the impeachment going? I haven’t been watching the news… has it fallen through?

It is down to another wire, the matter or impeachment has been subordinated to voting for it.

The issue with that one is, that premature voting on it will be used as a political springboard, whereupon, for the Republicans to argue that a Senate voting against it, signals how the Dems are negatively politically motivated.

On the other hand, critics of the immediate House vote express frustration at appearing weak, or something like it.

CONGRESS

Democrats angrily walk out of White House meeting after Trump ‘meltdown’

“He was insulting, particularly to the speaker,” Schumer said.

Oct. 16, 2019, 4:49 PM ET

By Rebecca Shabad and Alex Moe

WASHINGTON — Democratic leaders in Congress on Wednesday angrily walked out of a White House meeting with President Donald Trump after he had a “meltdown,” according to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

“What we witnessed on the part of the president was a meltdown. Sad to say,” Pelosi told reporters outside the White House with House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer.

The President started the meeting with a lengthy bombastic monologue, according to a senior Democratic aide. He bragged aboutthe “nasty” letter he sent to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan over the Turkish leader’s decision to invade northern Syria, the aide said.

The meeting quickly devolved into a series of contentious exchanges centering on the president’s decision earlier this month to pull troops from Syria, which paved the way for the Turkish invasion. The White House called the meeting to discuss the president’s decisionand the deescalating situation on the ground. Ahead of the meeting, the House overwhelmingly votedin favor of a resolution rebuking Trump’s decision to pull troops out in a 354-60 vote.

“I think that vote, the size of the vote — more than 2 to 1 of the Republicans voted to oppose what the president did — it probably got to the president, because he was shaken up by it,” Pelosi said. “That’s why we couldn’t continue in the meeting because he was just not relating to the reality of it.”

At one point during the meeting, Schumer brought up former Defense Secretary James Mattis, who told NBC’s “Meet the Press” on Sunday that Trump’s decision to pull troops from Syria could lead to ISIS’s resurgence.

According to multiple aides, Trump called Mattis, “the world’s most overrated general.”

“You know why?,” Trump said, according to one aide. “He wasn’t tough enough. I captured ISIS. Mattis said it would take two years. I captured them in one month.”

The Democratic leaders said that the moment that prompted them to abruptly leave was when Trump called Pelosi “a third-rate politician” to her face.

According to the senior Democratic aide, Hoyer stated, “This is not useful.”

Pelosi and Hoyer then stood up and left the meeting, the aide said.

As they left said, Trump shot back, “Goodbye, we’ll see you at the polls.”

Schumer followed shortly thereafter.

“He was insulting, particularly to the speaker,” Schumer told reporters later on Wednesday. “She kept her cool completely. But he called her a third-rate politician. He said that there are communists involved and you guys might like that. I mean, this was not a dialogue. It was sort of a diatribe — a nasty diatribe not focused on the facts, particularly the fact of how to curtail ISIS, a terrorist organization that aims to hurt the United States in our homeland.”

Hoyer echoed those remarks, saying that the meeting “deteriorated into a diatribe” and that they were “deeply offended” by the way Trump treated Pelosi. He said that after serving in Congress over the course of six presidential administrations, he has “never” seen a president “treat so disrespectfully a co-equal branch of the government.”

White House Press Secretary Stephanie Grisham denied the Democrat’s characterization of the meeting, saying, “The President was measured, factual and decisive, while Speaker Pelosi’s decision to walk out was baffling, but not surprising. She had no intention of listening or contributing to an important meeting on national security issues. While Democratic leadership chose to storm out and get in front of the cameras to whine, everyone else in the meeting chose to stay in the room and work on behalf of this country.”

Republicans, who stayed behind in the meeting, spoke to reporters afterward. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., said that Pelosi stormed out of the room, calling it “unbecoming” of the speaker.

“When there is a time of crisis, leaders should stay” whether they like what they’re hearing or not, he added.

The dramatic meeting comes amid the House’s ongoing impeachment inquiry. Democrats on Wednesday said that impeachment did not come up during their conversation with the president.

The episode was reminiscent of the White House meeting Trump held with congressional leaders in May on the nation’s infrastructure, during which Pelosi said that Trump threw a “temper tantrum” and “stormed out” of the room. Trump said at the time that he would only work with Democrats if they stopped investigating him.

Rebecca Shabad

Rebecca Shabad is a congressional reporter for NBC News, based in Washington.

Alex Moe

Alex Moe is a Capitol Hill producer for NBC News covering the House of Representatives.

Hallie Jackson, Peter Alexander and Frank Thorp V contributed.

Remember when Juliani was the hero of 9-11? Things have really changed.

Trump’s fury rises with key impeachment inquiry testimony on the horizon

Analysis by Stephen Collinson, CNN

Updated 12:59 AM EDT, Thu October 17, 2019

Washington(CNN)President Donald Trump’s frustration with the Democratic impeachment probe is boiling over, with investigators set Thursday to peel back yet another layer of what is being revealed as a broad, and possibly unlawful, behind-the-scenes scheme to pressure Ukraine for political gain.

Trump blew up Wednesday at House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who made the fateful decision to initiate impeachment investigations three weeks ago. Those have moved at staggering speed and produced a torrent of damaging revelations for the White House.

The President’s tantrum, described by top Democrats, came with his increasingly vehement denials of wrongdoing being challenged every day by testimony from current and former officials that has undercut the administration’s effort to stall an impeachment process that it claims is illegal in itself.

Democrats say Trump had a ‘meltdown’ at White House meeting

Another day of danger looms on Thursday for the President with Gordon Sondland, the Republican donor-turned-US ambassador to the European Union, due to give a private deposition on Capitol Hill that could get to the root of Trump’s backdoor dealings with Ukraine.

Sondland was a go-between linking Trump’s circle to the government in Kiev, amid allegations the White House conditioned incentives – including hundreds of dollars in military aid – on Ukraine’s willingness to open an investigation into the President’s possible 2020 foe, Joe Biden.

The President’s lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, is meanwhile slipping ever deeper into trouble, amid revelations about his go-it-alone Ukraine policy shop that could also come back to hurt Trump.

CNN reported Wednesday that a federal inquiry into Giuliani’s activity also includes a counterintelligence probe – to establish whether the former New York mayor’s business ties to Ukraine made him vulnerable to a foreign intelligence service.

“He needs an attorney. I mean, he needs a bunch of attorneys, because Giuliani is in serious trouble,” said Guy Smith, a former adviser to President Bill Clinton’s impeachment defense.

“If there’s a (counterintelligence) investigation going on, this is serious business. Those guys don’t just look for non-paid parking tickets. This is serious stuff,” Smith told CNN’s Brooke Baldwin.

Trump’s meltdown

On impeachment, Democrats crack down on White House stonewalling strategy

Trump unleashed his fury at Pelosi during a briefing for top congressional leaders on the situation in Syria following Turkey’s assault on Kurdish anti-ISIS allies abandoned by Trump.

“What we witnessed on the part of the President was a meltdown, sad to say,” said the California Democrat, who colleagues said the President blasted as a “third-rate politician.”

The showdown followed a vote in the House that overwhelmingly condemned Trump for paving the way for the Turkish invasion, in which many Republicans broke with their standard compliance and lined up against the President.

"We were offended deeply by his treatment of the speaker of the House of Representatives, said Pelosi’s No. 2, Steny Hoyer of Maryland.

White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham described the meeting differently, saying in a statement that Trump had been “measured” and “decisive” and that Pelosi “had no intention of listening.”

After the meeting, the President tweeted several photos of the gathering, including one of Pelosi that he captioned, “Nervous Nancy’s unhinged meltdown!” The speaker retaliated by turning the picture into her Twitter cover shot.

Trump then tweeted,“Nancy Pelosi needs help fast! There is either something wrong with her ‘upstairs,’ or she just plain doesn’t like our great Country. She had a total meltdown in the White House today. It was very sad to watch. Pray for her, she is a very sick person!”

For all the bitter political battles between Republicans and Democrats in the post-9/11 era, there has never been this level of personal animosity between a President and his enemies.

Trump’s fury at the impeachment probe had been in evidence earlier in two White House press events with Italy’s President.

“People, like, that are testifying – I don’t even know who they are. I never even heard of some of them, most of them,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office.

CNN has reported that the White House is frustrated that it cannot get a handle on the impeachment drama because it learns of developments only when they seep out of closed hearings.

“I have all these people testifying. And then they leak out. They don’t say the good parts, they only say the bad parts,” the President said, complaining that he was not allowed lawyers in the depositions. “The Democrats are treating the Republicans very, very badly.”

The case against the White House appears to have darkened this week with testimony by the White House’s former top Russia official, Fiona Hill, and several career diplomats.

Hill testified that she had been advised by then-national security adviser John Bolton to inform White House lawyers of her alarm at activity by Giuliani and others, sources have told CNN.

One source said that Hill, a Trump appointee, had seen “wrongdoing” in the White House approach to Ukraine and tried to report it to officials. She was concerned that Giuliani was circumventing the State Department by seeking the removal of then-US Ambassador to Ukraine Marie Yovanovitch and pushing for Ukraine to open an investigation into the former vice president and his son Hunter Biden. There is no evidence of wrongdoing in Ukraine by either Biden.

Democratic investigators will also want to ask Sondland about new details of Hill’s testimony reported in The New York Times. The paper reported that Hill had said Sondland revealed in a meeting that Trump would meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky if his government opened the investigation he wanted.

Testimony is a new wild card for White House

Trump’s former top Russia adviser told Congress she saw ‘wrongdoing’ in US policy toward Ukraine, source says

Sondland’s testimony before three House committees represents another wild card for the President.

A longtime Republican fundraiser, Sondland plans to show up on Capitol Hill under a subpoena despite the administration’s policy of seeking to bar testimony from serving officials.

Lawmakers are eager to press him about text messages he exchanged related to Trump’s July phone call with Zelensky and the freezing of foreign aid to Ukraine that cut to the heart of the Democrats’ impeachment probe.

Sondland has been a player in Republican politics for a number of years. A hotelier and philanthropist, he was a late Republican convert to Trump’s cause and was rewarded with his current position – a lofty one for a non-diplomat.

He probably did not bargain for being caught in the middle of the biggest presidential scandal in decades, a factor, along with his neophyte status in Washington, that makes his testimony unpredictable.

Lawmakers may want to know, first of all, why he was involved in a close circle of policy making on Ukraine at all – since the former Soviet state is not a member of the European Union.

State Department Deputy Assistant Secretary George Kent told the inquiry on Tuesday that Sondland, along with then-US Envoy to Ukraine Paul Volker and Energy Secretary Rick Perry, were in an informal Ukraine policy group dubbed the “three amigos,” according to Democratic Rep. Gerry Connolly, a Virginia Democrat who’s a member of the House Oversight Committee.

Sondland will also be questioned over a series of text messages with Bill Taylor, the top US diplomat in Ukraine, that have emerged from the impeachment investigation.

Taylor raised concerns about the US withholding nearly $400 million in US military and security aid in a text that has become a key piece of evidence in the inquiry.

The Washington Post reported that Sondland is expected to tell Congress that Trump relayed to him directly the content of a text he sent to Taylor denying any quid pro quo with Ukraine.

Democrats will seek more understanding of Sondland’s conversation with the President that led up to that text message, and may suggest it is an attempt to create a record of mitigation should the texts emerge in public, as they now have.

Republicans will argue, however, that the text proves that the President had no intention of withholding military aid from Ukraine in order to force it to dish dirt on Biden.

Trump’s closest allies in Congress renewed efforts to discredit the impeachment process.

“The President didn’t do anything wrong,” House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy of California told reporters on Wednesday.

He also picked up Trump’s attacks on House Intelligence Chairman Adam Schiff, accusing the California Democrat of lying about his contacts with an intelligence community whistleblower who first raised the alarm about the President’s dealings with Ukraine.

There is “no doubt he should be censured,” McCarthy said.

© 2019 Cable News Network. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

More witnesses

ABCNews

Trump directed me to work with Giuliani to push Ukraine on investigations: Sondland

By Katherine Faulders,Conor FinneganOct 17, 2019, 9:29 AM ET

WATCH: Catch up on the developing stories making headlines.

The U.S. ambassador to the European Union will tell Congress that President Donald Trumpdirected him and others to work with his personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani to push Ukraine to announce investigations, but that he was in the dark on the extent of Giuliani’s efforts and the political motive behind it, according to his opening statement obtained by ABC News.

Gordon Sondland, the Trump mega donor turned diplomat, has emerged as a central character in the impeachment inquiry led by three House committees for the role he played in leading Ukraine policy, at times outside official government channels.

While he denied in a September text messagealready obtained by Congress that there were “quid pro quo’s of any kind,” Sondland will tell committee staff and lawmakers Thursday that Ukraine announcing “anti-corruption” investigations “was one of the pre-conditions for securing a White House meeting with President [Volodymyr] Zelenskiy,” the country’s new president eager for U.S. support.

But Sondland will say that he, former special envoy for Ukraine Kurt Volker, and Energy Secretary Rick Perry, while “disappointed,” had no choice but to work with Giuliani to do that: “The key to changing the President’s mind on Ukraine was Giuliani… My understanding was that the President directed Mr. Giuliani’s participation, that Mr. Giuliani was expressing the concerns of the President.”

In a July 25 call, Trump asked Zelenskiy to “do us a favor” and work with Giuliani and Attorney General William Barr to investigate an unfounded allegation that Ukraine interfered in the 2016 presidential election and claims of corruption by former Vice President Joe Biden and his son Hunter, who sat on the board of Burisma, a Ukrainian energy company.

At least one week before the call, Trump had ordered nearly $400 million of U.S. security assistance to Ukraine to be withheld – a fact that Ukrainian officials would learn later in August as Sondland, Volker, and others continued to ask for an investigation announcement.

Sondland will say that he did not know the political nature of those investigations, that Giuliani never discussed the Biden’s with him, and that he didn’t know the Biden connection to Burisma – insinuating that if he did, he would have opposed the effort.

“Inviting a foreign government to undertake investigations for the purpose of influencing an upcoming U.S. election would be wrong. Withholding foreign aid in order to pressure a foreign government to take such steps would be wrong. I did not and would not ever participate in such undertakings,” his opening statement reads.

Instead, he will say he believed the administration was pushing for “a public embrace of anti-corruption reforms by Ukraine” as a precondition for the meeting.

“Nothing about that request raised any red flags for me, Ambassador Volker, or Ambassador Taylor,” Sondland will say. Taylor, a career State Department official, is the top diplomat to Ukraine. Volker resigned as special envoy in late September after the extent of his role in facilitating Giuliani’s efforts was revealed.

But Taylor did raise a red flag in September. In text messages turned over to Congress by Volker and first obtained by ABC News, Taylor tells Volker and Sondland, “I think it’s crazy to withhold security assistance for help with a political campaign.”

In his testimony Thursday, Sondland will confirm that after receiving that message, he called Trump directly and asked him what he wanted from Ukraine.

“The President responded, ‘Nothing. There is no quid pro quo.’ The President repeated: ‘no quid pro quo’ multiple times. This was a very short call. And I recall the President was in a bad mood,” Sondland will say.

In those texts, Sondland and Volker also discussed working with Zelenskiy’s aides to have them announce an investigation, including into Burisma, in order to secure a White House meeting. On Aug. 13, they even help draft a statement for Zelenskiy to announce the investigations that, at Giuliani’s insistence, included specific references to Burisma and the 2016 election, according to a source familiar with Sondland’s testimony.

"We intend to initiate and complete a transparent and unbiased investigation of all available facts and episodes, including those involving Burisma and the 2016 U.S. elections,” Volker’s draft says in part. Sondland responds, “Perfect,” and says it should be sent to Andrey Yermak, a top Zelenskiy aide.

In his testimony, Sondland defends that draft: “Requesting that parties align their public messaging in advance of any important leadership meeting is a routine way to leverage the power of face-to-face exchange.”

Sondland is the sixth person to testify in the impeachment inquiry led by the House Intelligence, Oversight, and Foreign Affairs committees. Still the current E.U. ambassador, he was initially blocked from appearing for testimony by the State Department and White House. But he announced last week that he would comply with a subpoena and testify Thursday.

Fiona Hill, the National Security Council’s former senior director for European and Russian affairs, told House lawmakers and investigators on Monday that she believed Sondland was a potential national security risk, given his inexperience and extensive use of a personal cell phone for official diplomatic businesses, sources familiar with her testimony told ABC News.

The New York Times first reported some of these details about Hill’s testimony regarding Sondland. When reached by ABC News, a representative for Hill had no comment on the matter.

Sondland, according to Hill’s testimony, would also provide the cellphone numbers of American officials to foreigners, creating potential counterintelligence risks, sources familiar with Hill’s testimony confirmed to ABC News.

ABC News’ Benjamin Siegel and Ali Dukakis contributed to this report.

© 2019 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.

Here it is, the crix6 of identity politics exposed:

MEET THE PRESS
Trump replaces ‘America First’ with ‘Me First’
First Read is your briefing from “Meet the Press” and the NBC Political Unit on the day’s most important political stories and why they matter.

President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally, on Oct. 17, 2019, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas.Jeffrey McWhorter / AP
SHARE THIS —
Oct. 18, 2019, 8:59 AM ET
By Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Carrie Dann
WASHINGTON — In an inaugural address he delivered just more than 1,000 days ago, President Donald Trump proclaimed that “America First” would guide his agenda.

But on a jaw-dropping Thursday — following a jaw-dropping Wednesday — Trump and his White House made it abundantly clear it was Trump First.

Or Putin and Erdogan First.

From the White House press briefing room, acting chief of staff Mick Mulvaney said Trump had chosen his own Florida golf resort to host next year’s G-7 meeting in the United States.

“That decision is without precedent in modern American history: The president used his public office to direct a huge contract to himself,” the Washington Post says.

This browser does not support the video element.

Mulvaney also admitted that the Trump administration withheld foreign aid to Ukraine because, among other things, it wanted the country to investigate the conspiracy theory that somehow Russia wasn’t involved in the hacking of DNC emails in 2016.

Question: “So the demand for an investigation into the Democrats was part of the reason that he ordered to withhold funding to Ukraine?”

Mulvaney: “The look back to what happened in 2016 …”

Question: “The investigation into Democrats.”

Mulvaney: “… certainly was part of the thing that he worried about in corruption with that nation. And that is absolutely appropriate.”

Mulvaney tried to walk back that comment later in the day.

And then Trump celebrated a ceasefire in northern Syria between Turkey and the Kurds — which gave Turkey everything it wanted.

“The cease-fire agreement reached with Turkey by Vice President Mike Pence amounts to a near-total victory for Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who gains territory, pays little in penalties and appears to have outmaneuvered President Trump,” the New York Times writes.

Ask yourself: Who gains from the G-7 being held at Trump’s golf resort?

Who gains from withholding foreign aid from a country — unless it agrees to an investigation into the 2016 election?

And who gains from the military incursion into northern Syria?

It’s not America.

2020 Vision: This week’s forgotten debate
Tuesday’s Democratic debate took place just three days ago.

But it feels more like three weeks ago, right?

That’s the consequence of the impeachment inquiry, plus the situation in Syria, plus the jaw-dropping statements and actions from the White House.

The debate was just an intermission from the bigger drama playing out in Washington.

On the campaign trail
Today: Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard and John Delaney stump in Iowa… Kamala Harris, Cory Booker and Tom Steyer attend a cook-off in Orangeburg, S.C… Elizabeth Warren holds a town hall in Norfolk, Va… And Mark Sanford also is the Hawkeye State.

Saturday: Bernie Sanders holds his “Bernie’s Back” rally in Long Island City, N.Y., at 1:00 pm ET… Klobuchar, Gabbard and Sanford remain in Iowa… Harris and Booker stay in South Carolina… Buttigieg raises money in DC… And Castro attends a house party in Las Vegas.

Dispatches from NBC’s embeds
Joe Biden Thursday spoke at the DNC’s Women’s Leadership Forum in D.C., where he floated the idea that President Trump will be removed from office before the 2020 election. NBC’s Marianna Sotomayor reports Biden’s remarks: “’He’s got another year in office … maybe. Maybe,’ he said. ‘He’s not even smart enough to know what he doesn’t know.’” And on Rudy Giuliani, Biden said, “Giuliani, God bless him, reminds me of that old line from Voltaire. Voltaire said, I’ve never made but one prayer to God. Oh Lord, make my enemies ridiculous. And God granted it. Well God has granted it again to the Democratic Party.”

Trump Agenda: Mitt’s theory
Mitt Romney may have a theory about what happened with Trump’s Syria decision.

Chuck Todd
Chuck Todd is moderator of “Meet The Press” and NBC News’ political director.

Mark Murray
Mark Murray is a senior political editor at NBC News.

Carrie Dann is a political editor for NBC News.

"It is the winter of our discontent , made glorious by this son of New York?

Or is the swamp swallowing up everything in it’s wake , reminiscent of a naustalgic trip back to glitz’land classic ’ The Blob’?

By now perhaps even the provoked or intended comic politi Cal relief has swallowed in whole the difference, as Hollywood reins supreme on the power of Vaudville up in the U.S. psyche.
The reductio into absurdity was well received over all by a neat and almost perfectly split opinionated poll, on wether to in pinch or not.
As things stand, the choice hovers around the issue of which conspiracy theory is more substantial and sustainable.

Here is today’s debacle :

We’re going to have him for another four years.’ Impeachment fight riles up Donald Trump supporters for 2020

Supporters of President Donald Trump hold a “Stop Impeachment” rally in front of the US Capitol Oct. 17, 2019 in Washington, DC.

COURTNEY SUBRAMANIAN AND DAVID JACKSON |USA TODAY | 1 hour ago

As the impeachment inquiry against President Donald Trumprapidly unfolds in Washington, the president is venting his frustration at campaign rallieswhere his attacks on House Democrats and the media are serving to further energize his supporters.

Trump, facing impeachment over allegations he improperly used the power of his office to pressure Ukraine to investigate his political enemies, is rousing his devotees on the road rather than hunkering down at home. He has derided the accusations as a “witch hunt.”

While Trump has faced intense criticism in Washington over the Ukraine scandal and his abrupt pullout of U.S. troops from Syria, he has reveled in the rock-star reception he has received at rallies thousands of miles away in Minneapolis and Dallas.

Supporters echo the president’s attacks on impeachment, House Democrats and what Trump calls the “swamp” of Washington, D.C. Like the president, they view impeachment as an illegitimate effort to take him down and defend his phone call with Ukraine’s president in which he pushed for an investigation of former vice president Joe Biden, a top political rival. Impeachment, many said, will wind up re-electing Trump in 2020.

President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally, Thursday, Oct. 17, 2019, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas.

JEFFREY MCWHORTER, AP

James Wilson, 47, a payroll manager in Rowlett who grabbed a front-row seat at Trump’s rally in the Dallas sports arena Thursday, said impeachment was just another in a long line of attacks including special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation of Russian interference in the 2016 election.

But he likened it to a “boomerang.”

“Every time the other side throws something, it comes back and it hits them,” Wilson said.

It will never stop, he said.

“The Democrats don’t want him in,” Wilson said. “They’re going to do everything they can – legally and illegally – to get him out. But they’re going to lose in 2020.”

‘The swamp is fighting back’

It’s not just Democrats going after Trump, supporters said; it’s also members of what the president calls “deep state” of the government bureaucracy.

“I think the swamp is fighting back and they’re going down hard,” said Mary Shea, 65, a retiree from Houston who waited for hours to get into the Dallas arena.

“I don’t think he did anything that most other presidents haven’t done,” she said. “All presidents cut around the corners.”

The impeachment inquiry centers on Trump’s July 25 phone call with Ukrainian President Vlodomyr Zelensky, in which he repeatedly urged him to investigate Biden and his son Hunter, who served on the board of Burisma, an energy company in Ukraine. Ukrainian officials have found no evidence of wrongdoing by the Bidens.

Trump rally in Texas: Here’s what it was like

Trump supporters slammed his accusers.

“That’s a bunch of guilty people trying to keep their crooks covered up,” said Naomi Hodgkins, 64, a semi-retired business consultant from nearby Mesquite, Texas, who wore a button that said “Trump 2020: No More Bullshit.”

“They’re doing a psychological transference of their guilt to him … The Biden thing is going to go real deep.”

Origins of a conspiracy: Trump’s conspiracy theories thrive in Ukraine, where a young democracy battles corruption and distrust

Hodgkins’ sentiment was echoed among the president’s supporters hundreds of miles north in Minneapolis, where Trump held a rally on Oct. 10, his first campaign event since the impeachment inquiry was announced on Sept. 24.

Impeachment signs sailed above crowds outside the downtown arena, where protesters blew whistles and beat drums in the rain along Minneapolis’ First Avenue. Dallas saw its own share of protesters thrusting similar impeachment signs into the air.

Supporters react as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a “Keep America Great” Campaign Rally at American Airlines Center on October 17, 2019 in Dallas, Texas.

Meanwhile, his supporters flocked to rallies, lining up hours – and in some cases days – ahead of time to get in.

Barb Koy, a Bloomington, Minn., resident who attended Trump’s Minneapolis rally, said the inquiry is “another game by the Democrats.”

“Everybody is tired of it. I know people who voted blue and they’re voting red now because they’re sick of it,” she said. “I’d think even if you’re a Democrat you’d be sick of it.”

The Minneapolis rally came on the heels of a new Fox News poll that found 51% of voters supported impeaching Trump and removing him from office, the latest in a string of polls showing a plurality of Americans have shifted their attitude on impeachment.

Impeachment ad blitz

Trump campaign press secretary Kayleigh McEnany dismissed the poll as inaccurate.

The campaign and the Republican National Committee are pushing back, spending $10 million on ads attacking the impeachment inquiry, with $8 million coming from the campaign itself, McEnany said.

Trump’s schedule over the next few weeks has plenty of events that will take him out of Washington. He will attend a 2020 presidential candidate forum in Columbia, S.C. and a natural gas conference in Pittsburgh next week, and has rallies in Tupelo, Miss. and Lexington, Ky. at the beginning of November.

What Americans think: Nearly 3 weeks into the Trump impeachment inquiry, polls show a shift in public opinion

Not all Trump supporters were shrugging of the impeachment inquiry. Some worried it could cast a shadow over his re-election effort.

University of Minnesota student Blake Paulson, one of dozens who slept in a downtown Minneapolis skywalk ahead of Trump’s rally, said he’s concerned at how his classmates perceive the impeachment inquiry.

Paulson said students scrolling through social media are taking their cues from headlines that he believes are misleading.

Trump rally: President in Minneapolis spurs protests, support

“They see these headlines and think, ‘Oh, he did something bad,’ and that’s what they go off of,” said the 20-year-old, who will cast his first vote for Trump in 2020. “These are new voters who are going in with that shallow information and not thinking it through.”

“I’m afraid of a lot that’s happening next year,” he added.

While several supporters in Minneapolis and Dallas said they expect the Democratic-led House to impeach Trump, they contend it would be political act with no meaning. They expressed confidence that Republican-dominated Senate would never vote to convict and remove Trump from office.

Caiden Anderson, 15, a high school sophomore from Alvin, Texas, and a volunteer at the Dallas event, said House Democrats’ impeachment drive is “nothing.”

“Even if they get it past the House, they won’t get it in the Senate,” Anderson said.

Emotions run high at Trump Minneapolis rally

Wayland Hunter, a 24-year-old who didn’t vote for Trump in 2016 and was attending his first rally in Minneapolis, dismissed the inquiry’s legal implications.

“It’s just an inquiry,” the dental school student said. “It’s not even like an official, drawn-out government procedure. It just seems like political staging.”

Impeachment will only embolden voters, backers said – Trump voters like themselves.

Halona Porter, 45, who works in an auto parts store in Fort Worth, said Trump’s enemies “need to give it up, because it’s not going to happen.”

After 2020, she said. “we’re going to have him for another four years.”

Originally Published 1 hour ago

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© Copyright Gannett 2019

POLITICO

Trump veterans see a presidency veering off the rails

But White House insiders differ on whether the president has changed — or they have.

By DANIEL LIPPMAN

10/19/2019 06:31 AM EDT

Former Trump White House officials and other Republicans close to the White House are increasingly worried about President Trump’s erratic behavior and say there are no longer enough safeguards around him to prevent self-inflicted disasters large and small.

Just in the last two weeks, Trump precipitously withdrew U.S. troops from northern Syria and attacked America’s Kurdish allies as “no angels,” sparking outrage among GOP lawmakers; released a letter to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan whose undiplomatic language was widely mocked; called his former defense secretary “the world’s most overrated general”; and blew up at House Speaker Nancy Pelosi during a meeting his own White House had called.

His acting chief of staff, Mick Mulvaney, also admitted on national television that the administration had held up aid to Ukraine for political purposes, before reversing himself hours later on Trump’s orders and claiming his remarks had been “misconstrued.”

Under the strain of a metastasizing impeachment probe on Capitol Hill and helming an administration run by a diminishing number of heavyweight officials of independent stature, the president is displaying the kind of capricious behavior that once might have been contained or at least mitigated, former officials say.

“The wheels are not off the car. The situation is way worse than that. The car has been impounded and we are now waiting to figure out what the fine is and to see whether or not we’re going to get the car back,” said former White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci. “Mulvaney is a good Catholic and in fairness to him, that was a full-blown Catholic confessional on Thursday afternoon.”

Former White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Trump has never felt shackled by traditional ways of running a government. But earlier in his administration, “there was enough guardrails around Trump or enough caution on his part that when he did things that were more impulsive, they had less significance and fewer external ramifications,” said a former White House official.

Now it’s become more of a one-man White House and government.

Trying to constrain Trump is “a pipe dream,” said one current White House official. “Everyone who has tried had eventually failed in some way.”

“It’s just looking like everything is coming apart,” said a former White House official. Another former senior West Wing aide agreed that the White House seemed to be “a little bit unraveling” in recent days.

"Mulvaney is a good Catholic and in fairness to him, that was a full-blown Catholic confessional on Thursday afternoon.”

  • Former White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci.

Some current White House officials say they are simply exhausted after all the constant fighting, and lack the energy to try to constrain a wilful president bent on having his own way. It’s normal for officials to return to the private sector after a few years of pressure-cooker public service, but the Trump administration has seen extraordinary levels of turnover, and the administration’s current ranks are thin and getting thinner. A current White House official described a “who cares” attitude creeping through the building under Mulvaney’s hands-off management style.

But others in the White House relish the daily hand-to-hand combat as House Democrats careen toward what looks like an inevitable impeachment vote. Those people “feed off of the frenzy and want to fight and are kind of excited about another opportunity to fight the ‘witch hunt’ like they did with Mueller and impeachment,” a former official said.

“We’re having the time of our lives fighting for the president and this country,” said a senior administration official.

There is also a concern among Trump alums and other Republicans close to the White House about the current quality of the White House staff. Unlike past officials who occasionally stood up to Trump, redirected his fury or learned which of his whims they could safely ignore, today’s crop of aides are more willing to indulge his basic political needs and desires, they say.

“Your Year Three team is very different from the Year One team in terms of the type of people and how they view their role and how Trump views their role,” said the former official. “He’s not looking for people to offer contrary opinions or to urge caution or try to restrain him in any way, and the people there don’t view that as their role either.”

The letter to Erdogan is a case in point, former officials note: It shows that Trump is more directly in charge of what goes on at the White House than ever before.

Earlier in his tenure, when the president was going to write a foreign leader, officials at the State Department and the National Security Council would usually draft a version and the president would try to “insert some of his Trumpisms into it” before other officials worked with him to get to a letter that everyone was comfortable with, said the former official. But with experienced bureaucratic warriors like Jim Mattis and national security adviser John Bolton now gone, there are few senior foreign policy officials left to stand in Trump’s way.

“You wouldn’t have a letter to a foreign leader that was just like dictated on the back of a napkin by him,” said the former official. “He’s even more personally and individually in the driver’s seat and doing things on his own.”

White House deputy press secretary Hogan Gidley pushed back against the criticism, describing it as a “chattering class ‘we know best’ mentality.”

“While the media allow so many in Congress, the D.C. establishment and Beltway bureaucracy to complain anonymously from the shadows because their precious swamp is being drained,” he said, “President Trump continues to be out front working tirelessly and successfully for the American people.”

Veteran Trump aides differ as to whether, and to what extent, the president’s recent behavior is truly new. “Essentially it’s him doing what he wants, just as it was in the beginning, and now, and forever,” one former White House official said.

But the chaos at the White House has led to more staffers to plot their departures and try to get new jobs, according to a former senior aide in touch with current White House employees.

Another factor: It’s considered bad form to leave when the reelection campaign is in full swing, this person noted, not just because White House staffers are desperate to “get out of the crazy."

© 2019 POLITICO LLC

Bannon Predictions:

Steve Bannon says Trump may be impeached ‘in six weeks,’ face challenge from Bloomberg, Clinton

By Jon Levine

October 19, 2019 | 2:50pm

Impeachment is a “mortal threat” to Donald Trump’s presidency and the White House needs to start taking it more seriously, former chief strategist Steve Bannon told The Post.

“This is serious. As sure as the turning of the earth, he is going to be impeached by Pelosi in the next six weeks,” Bannon said during a wide-ranging interview with The Post. “Nancy Pelosi is very focused.”

And if Trump makes it out of a House impeachment probe alive, the 65-year-old ex-Breitbart News chairman says the president may have to face surprising — and viable — challengers in 2020 in Mike Bloomberg or Hillary Clinton.

Bannon said he’s been dismayed by what seems to be an uncoordinated White House approach to impeachment.

“I don’t feel comfortable when I see the chief of staff, Mick Mulvaney,” Bannon said, citing a disastrous press conference Thursday in which Mulvaney confirmed Trump’s decision to withhold military aid to Ukraine was part of a quid pro quo. He later walked that back.

“The problem we have is that the president needs a team around him and somebody has got to step up and make a play. Trump can’t do everything,” Bannon said. “There is just no coordination with the team.

“The fake news and witch hunt stuff is not working.”

The former 2016 campaign boss said Trump shouldn’t look to dump off-message surrogates like Mulvaney or Rudy Giuliani, but rather bring in people to share the burden.

Bannon advised the White House to establish an impeachment squad.

“You need to augment the legal team,” he said, adding that what worked on the probe by Robert Mueller into Russian interference “was bifurcation of the White House Counsel’s office. You need … a team put together than can focus on [impeachment] 24/7.”

Michael Bloomberg and Hillary Clinton might pose as a threat for Trump in the election.Getty Images

And while the GOP-controlled Senate would likely never find Trump guilty in an impeachment trial, Bannon repeatedly refused to offer a full vote of confidence to leader Mitch McConnell — who he called an adversary — and instead expressed frustration that the Senate leader might opt for a drawn-out public trial.

Bannon remained bullish overall about Trump’s chances in 2020, dismissing the current crop of Democratic candidates.

“Nobody on that stage can beat Trump at least as far as right now. The only person that could beat Trump that is currently in the field is Trump,” he said.

He predicted a total Biden implosion by the end of the year and a centrist revolt against Elizabeth Warren.

If Biden falters and Warren appears to be marching toward nomination, “Bloomberg and Clinton, both will … get into the race,” Bannon said. “Nobody is on the stage. The Cory Bookers and Kamala Harrises haven’t gotten enough traction to compete with Warren. The hedge fund investment banking corporatist community of the Democratic Party is not prepared to have them.”

Elizabeth WarrenAFP via Getty Images

Clinton and Bloomberg would be much stronger than the current field, Bannon conceded.

“Bloomberg or Clinton could be very competitive,” he said. “She is a very formidable candidate and I think Bloomberg would be very formidable.”

He said Democrats looking for an edge should do their best to force Team Trump to spend resources in his “southern arc” — potential swing states like Arizona, Texas, Georgia and the Carolinas.

Whoever ended up as the Democratic nominee would also “have to live in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin,” he said. In her 2016 race, Clinton famously neglected these states, and they turned against the party for the first time in a generation.

Since leaving the White House in 2017, Bannon has traveled the world at a breakneck pace, speaking at conferences, meeting with billionaires and promoting his vision of populist nationalism wherever he can find a friendly audience.

He has also taken a growing interest in China, which he views as the primary threat to the United States. Bannon spoke with The Post shortly after a screening of his new film, “Claws of the Red Dragon” in New York. The movie is a loose retelling of the arrest of Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou in Canada last year.

© 2019 NYP Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved

The court that could decide the future of Trump’s presidency

By Joan Biskupic, CNN legal analyst & Supreme Court biographer

Updated 2:22 PM EDT, Sun October 20, 2019

Washington(CNN)Presidents understand the power of this court, and President Donald Trump may come to understand that more than most.

The US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit – known as the DC Circuit and dubbed the country’s “second highest court” – handles a distinctive caseload testing the power of federal regulators and the executive branch.

The DC Circuit’s portfolio has long put it at the center of disputes over potential White House wrongdoing, such as during Watergate in the Nixon years, the Iran-Contra scandal of the Reagan administration and Independent Counsel Ken Starr’s investigation of President Bill Clinton.

Now, it could help determine the fate of legal issues surrounding the House Democrats’ impeachment inquiry and Trump’s desire to withhold personal information and limit his allies from cooperating with investigators.

In its first such case regarding Trump, a three-judge panel earlier this month affirmed the investigatory power of the US House of Representatives and upheld a subpoena for eight years of the President’s financial documents.

The decision, already reverberating in other Trump-related litigation, comes from an appeals court that is not only more prominent than most, but one whose members have been more provocative and attention-getting. Four of the current nine Supreme Court justices were elevated from this singular circuit. And Merrick Garland, whom President Barack Obama nominated to the Supreme Court but never received a Senate vote, is the chief judge of the DC Circuit.

The court’s robust interpretation of Congress’ oversight power arose in litigation that began before the Democratic-led House initiated its impeachment inquiry and started focusing on Trump’s Ukrainian dealings. The subpoena fight involving Trump’s longtime accountants, Mazars USA, had been simmering for months.

Yet the DC Circuit’s regard for congressional power was broadly cast and could influence other battles between Democrats and Trump.

The decision reflected the judiciary’s long-established regard for Congress’ oversight authority. The DC Circuit also leans liberal. Of the 11 active judges on the circuit, seven were appointed by Democratic presidents and four by Republican presidents.

“They view themselves as legal technicians. Their view is that they do not make policy, they apply the law,” said University of Michigan law professor Nicholas Bagley. “But the nature of the fights that are brought to the DC Circuit are often those that get the partisan blood boiling.”

Two of the three judges who ruled against Trump were appointed by Democrats. The third, Judge Neomi Rao, a Trump appointee, wrote a strong dissent siding with the President.

“The law is on Congress’ side,” said Bagley, who was a law clerk on the DC Circuit and the Supreme Court and now specializes in administrative law, “But to the extent that politics matters here, and it probably matters at the margins, there are more Democratic appointees on this court.”

Laying down markers in the Trump tax records lawsuit

Presidents tend to tap for the DC Circuit candidates with executive branch experience and a record of scholarly writings. They look for likeminded thinkers, sometimes ideological crusaders.

As a result, DC Circuit nominees have endured bitter confirmation fights through the years. Three of the current judges appointed by Obama made it onto the bench after a titanic 2013 partisan clash that led the then-Democratic Senate majority, faced with GOP stonewalling, to amend the longstanding filibuster rules.

Confirmation controversy has only accelerated over time as the DC Circuit has become a stepping stone for the Supreme Court. Among the four current justices who came from the DC Circuit is Chief Justice John Roberts. (An earlier chief justice, Warren Burger, also first wore a black robe on the DC Circuit.)

And in the annals of high court confirmation battles, three DC Circuit judges stand out: the Democratic-led Senate’s 1987 rejection of Robert Bork, a nominee of Ronald Reagan; the Republican-led blockade of Garland; and last year’s bitter fight over Trump nominee Brett Kavanaugh, who eventually was confirmed.

Trump has sued to prevent Mazars USA from turning over documents to the House Committee on Oversight and Reform. The committee argued that it needs Trump’s financial records to assess his compliance with federal ethics regulations and to guide its work on legislation.

The DC Circuit sided with the House committee, 2-1, asserting that it has subpoena authority under the House rules and the Constitution, and that Mazars must relinquish the documents.

Rao, whom Trump named to the bench last year and confirmed earlier this year, dissented. Rao declared that the US House could investigate the President for wrongdoing only as part of an impeachment. “Allowing the Committee to issue this subpoena for legislative purposes,” she wrote, “would turn Congress into a roving inquisition over a co-equal branch of government.”

That view, said Judges David Tatel and Patricia Millett, both Democratic appointees, “would reorder the very structure of the Constitution.” Rao’s “novel approach,” Tatel wrote for the majority, would force “Congress to the Hobson’s Choice of impeachment or nothing.”

Either way, in classic DC Circuit style, both sides have laid down markers on the fundamentals of congressional investigations, likely with an eye to the Supreme Court and to future litigation. The Tatel opinion for the majority was 66 pages; Rao’s dissent was 68 pages.

READ: Appeals court ruling on Trump tax returns

Trump’s lawyers have the option of asking the full DC Circuit for an “en banc” hearing or directly appealing to the Supreme Court.

The DC Circuit rarely grants such en banc hearings, but if one was sought and granted, Trump’s lawyers would make their case to all 11 judges in a dramatic session.

Even if a request for a full DC Circuit hearing would ultimately be denied, the Trump team might find it advantageous to request one, as going through that process could buy more time for Trump’s larger effort to avoid disclosure of his records.

A history of controversy

Most US appeals courts handle an array of criminal cases, religion and social policy conflicts, and all manner of business disputes. But the DC Circuit, by virtue of its location in the nation’s capital and specific jurisdiction, hears a narrower docket tied mainly to how government works.

The DC Circuit interprets the power of the Environmental Protection Agency, the Federal Election Commission, the Federal Communications Commission and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.

“Whatever combination of letters you can put together,” Roberts said in a 2005 lecture reprinted in the Virginia Law Review, “it is likely that jurisdiction to review that agency’s decision is vested in the D.C. Circuit.”

Ideological clashes have endured through the years. Reagan made his mark on the court with the appointment of eight conservative jurists in the 1980s, including Bork; Antonin Scalia, later elevated to the Supreme Court; and Ken Starr, who later became Whitewater independent counsel and triggered the impeachment of President Bill Clinton.

Tatel, at 77, is the liberal lion of the bench today. He authored a major voting rights opinion, involving Shelby County, Alabama, upholding a section of the 1965 Voting Rights Act that required states with a history of discrimination to obtain federal approval before changing their election laws. Tatel deemed race discrimination in voting “one of the gravest evils that Congress can seek to redress,” and wrote that Congress, when passing legislation against it, “acts at the apex of the power.”

The Roberts-led Supreme Court, in a decision that remains one of its most controversial, reversed by a 5-4 vote in 2013 and curtailed the reach of the Voting Rights Act’s reach.

A 1994 appointee of Clinton, Tatel early in his career had been director for the Office of Civil Rights in the Department of Health, Education and Welfare and previously worked for the Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights Under Law in Chicago.

Obama’s imprint

When Obama took the White House in 2009, Democrats held the Senate majority, but Republicans were sizable enough to block efforts to cut off floor debate on his DC Circuit nominees. In 2013, then-Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid persuaded the Democrats to change the filibuster rules, with the “nuclear option,” so that a lower-court nominee could be confirmed with a simple majority of the 100 senators, rather than require at least 60 votes to close debate.

That change led to the confirmation of Obama appointees Millett, Cornelia Pillard and Robert Wilkins.

Pillard, now 58, was arguably the most liberal of the three. A Georgetown law professor, she had previously worked for the NAACP legal defense fund and had a deep record of advocacy for civil rights and women’s rights. Pillard already is on the short list of liberals hoping that a Democrat wins the White House in 2020 and can fill a new vacancy on the high court.

Millett, 56, an appellate specialist who had worked for the Justice Department and in corporate law, had a more moderate reputation. But soon after Trump took office, she faced off against then-DC Circuit Judge Kavanaugh in the first phase of an unusual abortion rights case. Kavanaugh was part of a panel that sided with the Trump administration in its effort to block a pregnant migrant teen from obtaining an abortion. Millett wrote that the move sacrificed the 17-year-old woman’s constitutional rights for no justifiable reason. The full DC circuit reheard the case and reversed the panel, allowing the woman to end her pregnancy.

Another possible liberal-leaning Supreme Court nominee for a Democratic president would be Judge Sri Srinivasan, who was born in India, grew up in Kansas, and would be the first Asian-American and Hindu on the Supreme Court.

Srinivasan, 52, was a relatively non-controversial Obama appointee, confirmed unanimously in spring 2013. He previously worked in the Justice Department and was a law clerk to Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O’Connor, a Reagan appointee.

Trump’s imprint

Trump has filled two DC Circuit vacancies since taking office, the first with Gregory Katsas in 2017, and then Rao, who until her confirmation this year had been the Trump-appointed administrator of the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs at the Office of Management and Budget.

Both Katsas and Rao were law clerks to Justice Clarence Thomas, the most conservative member of the current Supreme Court. Both were approved by the Senate on party-line votes. No Democrat voted for Rao and only one Democrat voted for Katsas.

Katsas, 55, had previously worked in the George W. Bush administration and, in the Trump White House, was deputy to (former) White House counsel Don McGahn, defending early Trump immigration policies.

During her Senate hearing earlier this year, Rao, 46, drew controversy on multiple fronts, chiefly for her work overseeing Trump administration efforts to rollback regulations, but also because of her student writings suggesting women could avoid date rape by changing their behavior. After senators’ criticism, including from Republicans, she wrote a letter to the Senate Judiciary Committee saying, “Sexual assault in all forms, including date rape, is abhorrent. Responsibility for the rape is with the rapist.”

Before appointment as regulatory “czar,” Rao oversaw the Center for the Study of the Administrative State at George Mason University’s Antonin Scalia Law School.

She has been especially in sync with the Trump agenda to diminish the reach of agency power – what’s been called the “administrative state” – over the environment, labor and other public concerns.

Along with challenges arising from that Trump administration focus, the DC Circuit is positioned to take up more cases involving the House efforts to obtain Trump documents.

This is a familiar tale, the DC Circuit majority wrote in last Friday’s case. “[D]isputes between Congress and the President are a recurring plot in our national story,” Tatel said. “And that is precisely what the Framers intended.”

The separation-of-powers doctrine, he said, quoting Justice Louis Brandeis in 1926, “was not to avoid friction, but, by means of the inevitable friction … [among the branches] … to save the people from autocracy.”

© 2019 Cable News Network. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

-‘-’-‘-’-‘-“-”’’ -‘-’-“-”-‘-’

Romney: Some in GOP fear for jobs if they criticize Trump

By Ashley Imlay

on October 20, 2019 7:48 pm

Romney chimes in:

Associated Press

SALT LAKE CITY — Utah Sen. Mitt Romney believes other GOP senators who may not agree with President Donald Trump often remain mum to keep their jobs, and to keep a Republican president in office.

The second of those reasons, he said, is more “elevated” than the first.

“People genuinely believe, as I do, that conservative principles are better for our country and for the working people of our country than liberal principles. And that if Elizabeth Warren were to become president, for instance, or if we were to lose the Senate, that would not be good for the American people,” Romney told HBO Axios co-founder Mike Allen.

The interview took place in Romney’s Holladay home and spanned topics ranging from hiking Utah’s Mt. Olympus to foreign relations, to the chance of Romney facing up against Trump during the upcoming election.

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When asked why many other Republican senators will only criticize Trump off the record, Romney said: “They don’t want to do something which makes it more likely for Elizabeth Warren to become president, or for us to lose the Senate.

“So they don’t want to go out and criticize the leader of our party, because they feel that may have the consequence of hurting our country longer term,” he said on the show that aired Sunday afternoon.

Although Romney said he votes with the president about 80% of the time, “I think that in some of the things that he has said and done, that he has detracted from the mission of a leader in shaping the character of the country in a positive way.”

Romney hasn’t shied away from voicing his disapproval of some of the president’s decisions, including his recent withdrawal of troops from northern Syria. He echoed those concerns during the HBO interview.

Other allies will think that they can’t count on America after the withdrawal, Romney said. And though the senator is on the Foreign Relations Committee, he said he didn’t get a head’s up on the decision beforehand, instead learning about it on Twitter “like most folks.”

On the Senate floor Thursday, Romney said serious questions remain about the decision to withdraw and that the administration needs to explain America’s future role in the region.

“The announcement today is being portrayed as a victory,” Romney said in that speech. “It is far from a victory.”

Romney has faced criticism in return from Trump.

On Friday, the president tweeted “REPUBLICANS MUST STICK TOGETHER AND FIGHT!” along with a video targeting Romney, the Associated Press reported. Also, a conservative political advocacy group — Club for Growth — is paying for television ads that describe Romney as a “Democrat secret asset” after his recent comments about Trump.

When asked how he feels hearing Trump say he “choked like a dog” in 2012, and other insults, Romney said he doesn’t take it too hard.

“Oh, look, if I worried about criticism, I’d be in the wrong job, in the wrong industry,” he said. ”Look, I’ve been tough on the president, so he’s gonna whack me back.”

When asked about his comments concerning Trump’s “brazen and unprecedented appeal to China and Ukraine” to investigate Joe Biden, Romney stood by them.

“I don’t think there’s any question but that going on TV on the White House lawn and saying, ‘China, will you investigate my political opponent?’ is wrong. It’s a mistake. It was shocking, in my opinion, for the president to do so.”

The conversation then turned to the topic of honor when Allen asked Romney if he believes President Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden are honorable men.

Of Obama, Romney said, “I believe he’s an honorable man, yes, yeah. A good family man. And he made a lot of mistakes, most presidents do.”

He said he doesn’t know Biden well, but that “he seems to be a man of honor.”

When asked the same question of Trump, Romney said: “He has elements, I’m sure, of honor in his life, and there’s things I think are not honorable. And I mention that because of the payment to a porn star for sexual relations outside of marriage. I’m one of those who believes we have a responsibility to be honorable and faithful to our wives, and the president made a failing in that regard.”

But while some have suggested Romney throw his hat into the ring during next year’s presidential election, Romney said Sunday there’s no chance of that.

“Well, I’m not going to run against President Trump. That would be a fool’s errand, I’m afraid, on my part. I’ve run twice before and lost, so I’m not going to do it again. There may be other people who will make that effort, and they can do so if they’d like to. I’m certainly going to indicate to them it’ll be an uphill climb.”

© 2019 Deseret News Publishing Company. All rights reserved.

WHHHHHAAAATTT IIIFF HHEEE WIIIIN AAGGGAAAIIIN? Experts in politocal predictions were asked this question:

What If Trump Wins?

He survives impeachment and he surprises at the polls. The second four years could be even crazier than the first.

By DARREN SAMUELSOHN

10/21/2019 05:04 AM EDT

Darren Samuelsohn is a senior White House reporter for POLITICO.

M.Scott Mahaskey/POLITIC

President Donald Trump has a lot riding on 2020. If he loses, he won’t just quietly resume his carefree snowbird lifestyle, albeit with millions of new Twitter followers. He’ll be dogged by big legal bills as he fends off criminal investigations in multiple jurisdictions.

But what if he wins?

The election is more than a year away, his possible impeachment over the widening Ukraine scandal is far from resolved, and, yes, numerous polls show the president trailing nearly all of his likely Democratic opponents. But impatient politicos are already gaming out a scenario that is hardening into conventional wisdom: Trump is impeached by the House, acquitted by the Senate and re-elected on November 3.

The prospect of four more years has already captured the fevered imaginations of Democrats and never-Trump Republicans. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi predicted, “The reelection of Donald Trump would do irreparable damage to the United States.” Even the president’s own supporters envision an emboldened incumbent who pulverizes political norms with a vigor, to borrow the president’s go-to line, the likes of which the world has never seen.

Trump himself isn’t saying much about what a second term would really look like. Scripted legislative agendas are not how he rolls. Still, if his first term has taught us anything, Trump as a lame duck would be anything but unifying. Indeed, the civil war that the president has predicted could well be visible in the hostile crowds hectoring each other on the Mall in January. After that? What does a bruised but unbowed Trump do with his political capital? What does an enraged Democratic opposition bring to bear that it hasn’t already?

There’s only one way to answer these questions: the POLITICO Time Machine.

M.Scott Mahaskey/POLITICO

For the uninitiated, we used it once before in April 2016, when Trump wasn’t even the Republican nominee yet and when most people insisted he still had no chance of winning the White House. But our band of armchair time travelers already foresaw the looming possibility that the unorthodox novice could well be impeached if he ever took office. Our prognosticators weren’t so far off, given how fast Democrats started investigating Trump once they took the House majority halfway through his first term.

OK, sure, we were a little wide of the mark in predicting Trump would reopen Alcatraz and the World War II-era internment camps to house suspected Islamic extremists. And back in early 2016, no one saw Russia, much less Ukraine, emerging as the centerpiece of the impeachment inquiry. But, boy, did our brain trust nail it on predictions about Trump skirting Congress to pay for his border wall; a full-blown civil war brewing inside the intelligence community; and presidential approval numbers collapsing faster than a Greenland glacier.

To further fine-tune the conventional wisdom, we reconvened the Time Machine travelers and added a bunch more to the roster—25 people who know Trump world and GOP and Democratic politics—and asked them: What’s in store for Washington and the nation if Trump defies the odds to hold onto the White House?

“We will have entered an era of authoritarianism,” warned John Dean, the former Richard Nixon White House lawyer whose public testimony about Watergate helped lead to the president’s resignation

That’s just left-wing hysteria, said Newt Gingrich, the former speaker of the House and outspoken Trump ally. “No. I don’t think Trump will be emboldened. I think Trump will be Trump. I think Trump is emboldened every morning. He goes, ‘I’m a billionaire. I’ve got the White House, Air Force One and Marine One. And I’m commander in chief. What’s part two?’ All these guys who spent three years shooting at me and I’m still in the building and they’re not.’”

But even some Trump supporters foresee the chance that Trump might test the boundaries of presidential power with bad results.

Former George W. Bush White House press secretary Ari Fleischer, a card-carrying establishment Republican who once criticized the president but now largely supports him, said a reelected Trump has the potential to take things too far. “I think it’d be very much like the first term with the risky exception that having survived impeachment and having been elected by the people he might feel like the guard rails are even farther away from the road he travels. I’d hope he’d realizes the guardrails are there for a good purpose and if he drives too fast [he’ll] crash through them.”

At a Rose Garden press conference in early 1999 after the Senate acquitted him, President Bill Clinton responded to a question about whether he could “forgive and forget” by saying, “I believe any person who asks forgiveness has to be prepared to give it.” According to Bob Woodward’s account in his book, Shadow, a reporter then shouted to the president as he was walking away asking whether he’d be vindictive toward the Republicans who’d just impeached him. Clinton didn’t turn around.

Trump “won’t keep walking,” Fleischer predicted. “He’ll run back to the mic.”

So what would Trump say? We’ll let the Time Machine do the talking.


The time is January 2021. The election has left the nation a psychological mess and a sulfurous cloud of election meddling by foreign hackers hangs over the still-contested results. Trump’s Ukraine scandal ultimately spared him but it wounded Joe Biden enough to give Elizabeth Warren the nomination. Once again, though, the result came down to the Electoral College, but even closer than in 2016. Warren, like Hillary Clinton four years earlier, took the popular vote by a resounding margin. But this mixed verdict has done nothing but further entrench the battle lines of a civil war that has become more than just a metaphor.

M.Scott Mahaskey/POLITICO

The weeks after Election Day were ugly. Protests in New York, Washington, San Francisco and a dozen other cities turned violent, the byproduct of a tangled mass of disgruntled pink-hatted Democrats, MAGA supporters, left-wing antifa and far-right Proud Boys. People have been killed. The president chalked up the discord to urban blight. And then he imposed curfews and directed the National Guard to patrol the streets over the protests of governors and mayors.

On January 20, Trump takes the oath of office, vowing in the shadow of the Capitol for the second time that he would “to the best of my ability, preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States.” The scene is unlike anything before in the country’s history. What’s always been a high-security event takes on a militaristic tone, with Trump ordering U.S. troops onto the streets of Washington as a show of force to deter more riots. His family surrounds him, along with a loyal base of congressional Republicans who but for a few defectors hung on during his first four years and most notably voted to keep him in office and defeat impeachment. Democrats, still seething at Trump’s flagrant constitutional violations, boycott the event en masse, the first time in modern history this has happened. Their seats are given away in a lottery open to Trump supporters.

Protesting former presidents

Imagining Trump’s second term: “They skip Trump’s inaugural ceremony and … hand out meals at a Washington D.C. homeless shelter.”

Jimmy Carter

Bill Clinton

George W. Bush

Barack Obama

Something else is notable, too. The four living ex-presidents, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter join George W. Bush in a protocol-busting protest. They skip Trump’s inaugural ceremony and accept Carter’s invitation to hand out meals at a Washington, D.C., homeless shelter.

After the inaugural parade, which includes tanks for the first time in a half-century, the president goes into the White House, takes out a hand-written enemies list of people who work for him and makes Jared Kushner fire everyone on it. The casualty list includes Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, Education Secretary Betsy DeVos and Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson. Mike Pompeo and Mark Esper resigned before the election, having been blamed by Trump for the Ukraine mess. Steve Mnuchin is the only original Cabinet secretary still in Trump’s good graces.

A new crop of loyalists gets hired, including now-former Reps. Mark Meadows, Jim Jordan and Doug Collins, as well as Lindsey Graham, who steps down from the Senate to become the new Defense secretary. Brad Parscale moves from campaign manager to serve as White House chief of staff—but only after Trump leaves Mick Mulvaney’s former job open for six months. Trump promises his longtime adviser Stephen Miller an appointment to run the Homeland Security Department in an acting capacity during the close of the second term, when Senate confirmation won’t matter for a lame duck administration. And the president also raids his reelection campaign for new staff, believing they will be more loyal than the Frankenstein crew from the Republican National Committee that he hastily assembled in 2017.

Trump Loyalists

Imagining Trump’s second term: “A new crop of loyalists” join the administration.

Brad Parscale Trump campaign manager

Jared Kushner Senior advisor to the president

Rep. Jim Jordan
(R-OH)

Sen. Lindsey Graham
(R-SC)

Rep. Doug Collins (R-GA)

Rep. Mark Meadows
(R-NC)

Stephen Miller Senior advisor for policy

William Barr Attorney General

Rudy Giuliani Attorney to Trump

You don’t work to reelect a man you hate to get into the White House,” observes Michael Caputo, a longtime Trump adviser who agreed to join us on our time traveling experiment and says the 2020 campaign represents a real bounty for faithful, Trump-believing worker bees.

Next comes the score settling. “Trump totally unburdened and 100 percent politics all the time. Payback is hell,” predicted one of the Republicans close to the White House who insisted on anonymity because of their current job.

M.Scott Mahaskey/POLITICO

As Washington freezes through the end of winter, Trump moves his administration temporarily to Mar-a-Lago. He’s golfing six days a week with the likes of celebrity admirers Rush Limbaugh, Kid Rock and Tiger Woods but finds time between rounds to lob Twitter grenades at anyone who crossed him during his first four years in office. Republicans are not spared as Trump draws a bull’s-eye on the half-dozen senators who voted to convict him at the impeachment trial. He hounds Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell to remove Ben Sasse from the Banking, Judiciary and Intelligence committees. He scouts out 2022 GOP primary challengers for Richard Burr and Lisa Murkowski. And he seethes that he doesn’t have more ways to deliver payback to Susan Collins or a certain Mormon senator from Utah.

“Romney is lucky he’s running for reelection in 2024,” said Sam Nunberg, another former Trump campaign aide from 2016 who is riding shotgun in our time machine and sees an election cycle four years into the future as far enough away to spare the 2012 GOP presidential nominee from Trump’s ultimate payback.

Trump Enemies

Imagining Trump’s second term: “Trump draws a bullseye“ on the half-dozen GOP senators who voted to convict him at the impeachment trial, and ramps up attacks on Jerome Powell.

Sen. Mitt Romney (R-UT)

Sen. Lisa Murkowski
(R-AK)

Sen. Ben Sasse
(R-NE)

Jerome Powell
Chair of the Federal Reserve

Sen. Richard Burr (R-NC)

Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME)

Trump keeps trying to goose his government into action as the summer of 2021 arrives. He’s starting to sweat the U.S. economy in the months after the long-anticipated recession became official that April with the second consecutive quarter of negative growth. He tweets 10 times a day about how Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell is responsible. He gives one of his remaining first-term holdovers, national economic adviser Larry Kudlow, one more chance to pitch a middle-class tax cut in the hope that can turn things around.

Trump also leans in harder on his Justice Department. First, he orders Robert F. Kennedy’s name removed from the building headquarters in Washington and replaces it with Rudy Giuliani, the former New York mayor and personal lawyer to the president whom Trump has installed as the director of his revamped and celebratory Voice of America. Then Trump threatens to fire Attorney General William Barr and every U.S. attorney in the country if criminal charges are not filed by Thanksgiving against any holdovers from the Obama administration who had a role in the original 2016 Russia investigation.

M.Scott Mahaskey/POLITICO

Trump cancels the annual turkey pardoning event and replaces it with a ceremony to give the Presidential Medal of Freedom to Paul Manafort, Michael Flynn and Roger Stone. All three former 2016 campaign aides had been sentenced to jail for crimes tied to special counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia probe, but Trump thinks he’s got room to maneuver now that he’s safely in a second term and decides to wipe their records clean.

Confounded and depressed by the 2020 election results, Democrats can’t figure out how to respond to every new example of Trump defying Congress. “The infighting. The blaming. The everything. Whoo!” Democratic operative James Carville says of his party’s struggle to find itself after losing in 2020. Jim Manley, a longtime aide to Harry Reid who was with us back in 2016 the last time we zoomed off into the future, foresees a “circular firing squad” taking place in his party “with no national Democratic leader able to tamp down on the internecine warfare.”

In the House, Pelosi was a goner the moment the television networks back in November declared Trump the winner. The president had taunted her throughout the 2020 campaign for her leadership against him on impeachment. And while her party still clings to a narrow House majority, the San Francisco congresswoman decides to call it quits and hands the speaker’s gavel over to Hakeem Jeffries, a 50-year old lawmaker from a Brooklyn-Queens district that is a stone’s throw from the president’s childhood home.

Leadership

Imagining Trump’s second term: Democrats retain a House majority, but Pelosi hands the gavel to Hakeem Jeffries. In the Senate, McConnell continues churning out judges.

Nancy Pelosi Speaker of the House

Mitch McConnell Senate Majority Leader

Hakeem Jeffries Chairman of the House Democratic Caucus

Chuck Schumer Senate Minority Leader

Democrats still have subpoena power, but they’ve been neutered by repeated attempts to draw anything out of the president. In the summer before the 2020 presidential election, the Supreme Court’s conservative majority rendered Trump virtually impregnable with a 5-4 decision overturning its seminal Watergate ruling against Richard Nixon and instead embracing a broad range of presidential executive powers.

The focus for House lawmakers shifts from Trump’s alleged abuses of power and foreign meddling in U.S. elections to something that doesn’t quite pique Trump’s ire as much: neglect at the federal agencies across his administration. While the Constitution has no double jeopardy clause for impeachment, Democrats debate whether to hold their fire in even considering another attempt at removing him from office.

Sure, there’s all manner of agitation to try again—namely from the crop of freshman and sophomore Democrats who now hold the largest bloc of votes in the House conference. But Jeffries cuts that talk off by the summer of 2021, saying the party won’t consider another impeachment until after the 2022 midterms—and only if there’s a blue wave that causes dramatic shifts in the Senate. He argues there’s no point going to war again with a president who won’t stop talking about his new mandate or with Republicans who wouldn’t convict the president in the first term even after being presented with a “smoking gun” audio tape that was secretly stashed on an internal White House server of Trump offering to sell Alaska to Vladimir Putin in exchange for Russian hackers’ help to win a second term.

“He’s now free to do everything he wants, even if it’s clearly an impeachable offense because they’re not going to go after him two times in a row,” laments former Connecticut Rep. Chris Shays, one of four Republicans who voted against all four articles of impeachment against Bill Clinton in 1998.

M.Scott Mahaskey/POLITICO

With impeachment off the table, Trump tries to cut deals with a divided Congress. But he spends his political capital much faster than his aides want. He finally gets a win on a replacement for the North American trade agreement that he tore up in his first term. But that’s it. House Democrats balk at an infrastructure package. There’s nowhere close to the 60 Senate votes needed to overhaul the nation’s prescription drug laws. The resulting bickering and blaming among lawmakers kills the chances for even bigger lifts. Reforming entitlement programs is nixed during the debate over Trump’s first budget in his second term. A comprehensive immigration overhaul gets shelved in the aftermath of Mexican troops accidentally opening fire on their American counterparts outside El Paso, the resulting tensions stoked by Trump and conservative media warnings about a caravan of thousands of migrants that never materializes at the border.

As we travel further into Trump’s second term, we see that he doesn’t lose every battle in the Capitol. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, reelected in 2020 to a seventh term, continues to do his part to remake the federal courts. The Kentucky Republican clears the floor calendar to hold votes confirming more than 100 more new judges with lifetime appointments to the district and appellate circuits, and conservatives rejoice at the prospect of friendly decisions for decades to come on issues like abortion, religion, and environmental and labor policy.

Soon-to-be former judges?

Imagining Trump’s second term: Thomas and Alito retire, ensuring their replacements are conservatives. RBG and Breyer “maximize their cardiovascular workouts and adopt strict Mediterranean diets.”

Samuel Alito

Ruth Bader Ginsburg

Clarence Thomas

On the Supreme Court, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, two associate justices in their mid-70s at the time of Trump’s second inaugural, opt for retirement rather than risk being replaced by a Democratic president after 2025. Meanwhile, the two remaining Bill Clinton-appointed justices, Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Stephen Breyer, maximize their cardiovascular workouts and adopt strict Mediterranean diets.

Trump doesn’t really alter his erratic, isolationist foreign policy instincts. He withdraws all U.S. troops from Afghanistan and Iraq, despite reservations even among Republicans. In Syria, ISIS has proclaimed a second modern-day Caliphate. He threatens repeatedly to pull the U.S. out of NATO, even ordering that the paperwork be drawn up but backs down as Republicans and Democrats unite to throw legislative hurdles in his way. He saber rattles on tariffs with China for all four additional years, but never closes a trade deal with Beijing; by the end of his second term, the U.S. and China have had near-skirmishes in the increasingly militarized South China Sea. Jared Kushner never actually releases the second half of his Middle East peace plan. The Iran nuclear deal collapses entirely, although Tehran doesn’t immediately restart its nuclear program as it tries to rebuild its economy. Luckily, for the Iranians, China and Russia increasingly are willing to ignore U.S. sanctions and give them a financial lifeline. There also is no breakthrough on nuclear weapon talks with North Korea, though Kim Jong Un makes his first visit to the United States and joins Trump and Dennis Rodman courtside at the United Center for a Chicago Bulls game.

Global Counterparts

Imagining Trump’s second term: “Trump doesn’t really alter his erratic, isolationist foreign policy instincts.”

Xi Jinping
President of China

Kim Jong-un Supreme Leader of North Korea

Vladimir Putin President of Russia

Trump also spends his time thinking about his legacy, and whom he wants to replace him in the White House. After dropping hints in private for months, he finally sends out a tweet on July 4, 2022, that he doesn’t support Mike Pence’s presidential ambitions. “Great guy, TREMENDOUS veep, but it’s time for some Beautiful NEW BLOOD,” he writes. Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz and Rand Paul back out by Labor Day, and the field is cleared for Ivanka Trump to take the party’s nomination 17 months before anyone has participated in a caucus or primary.

Future presidents?

Imagining Trump’s second term: The president spends time thinking about his legacy, and whom he wants to replace him in the White House. He chooses Ivanka.

Ivanka Trump Senior advisor

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL)

Sen. Ted Cruz
(R-TX)

Sen. Rand Paul
(R-KY)

Mike Pence
Vice President

Meanwhile, Trump takes direct control over planning for his presidential library, which in a break with tradition will include no actual presidential papers because there are none that have been preserved. He strong arms the General Services Administration to write through the lease agreement on his D.C. hotel and tells Congress he won’t consent to end a months-long government shutdown unless it amends a century-old law restricting height limits on buildings in the Capitol. When the standoff ends, construction begins immediately on a new 75-story addition to the historic building that when finished will look down on the Washington Monument and the rest of the city.

M.Scott Mahaskey/POLITICO

Some of our fellow time travelers aren’t entirely certain that second-term Trump will be distinguishable from first-term Trump. “He’s a category 5 tornado now,” insisted Ty Cobb, the former Trump White House lawyer who managed the president’s response to the Robert Mueller investigation. “It’s not like he’s going to break the measuring point.”

Trump himself has acknowledged how a state of perpetual scandal has reset all the meters. “It’s almost become, like, a part of my day,” the president told reporters earlier this month when talking about all his interactions with lawyers.

The question is whether his opponents will finally resign themselves to his existence and find ways to adapt to his style of chaotic governance.

“This has been a war every single day since the day he won. My presumption here is that is not sustainable if he gets elected [again]. At that point it’s just too difficult to sustain,” says Gingrich. Indeed, he says he can envision a bloc of around 50 House Democrats who will eventually come around to working with a second-term Trump on issues like infrastructure or join him in a big health care push on sickle cell anemia research.

“Once they get past having to chant ‘We hate Trump!’ and ‘Impeach Trump!’, which I think will disappear if he wins reelection because it’s not sustainable emotionally, then there’s a real opportunity to put together a series of bipartisan majorities,” said Gingrich, who now lives in Rome with his wife, Callista, the U.S. ambassador to the Vatican.

That was, after all, the case with Clinton, who stayed busy in his final two years after his Senate trial, signing more than a dozen big laws, including a major banking deregulation plan later blamed for sparking the subprime mortgage financial crisis.

“We went back to work,” Trent Lott, the Senate majority leader during the 1999 impeachment trial, said in an interview. “It was a different time, different people, different media, quite frankly.”

While our time machine travels did not envision more impeachments in Trump’s future beyond what’s coming today in his first term, anyone watching the current battles can’t help but acknowledge the ever-present possibility that he could get pulled through the process again. Doug Holtz-Eakin, who in 2008 worked as a top adviser to John McCain’s presidential campaign, said he would see “little upside” for Democrats to keep trying to impeach a second-term Trump.

But he wouldn’t rule it out entirely, either. “The only way I could imagine a second impeachment would be if there was a clear, serious violation of national security laws,” he said.

There are those who clearly will never adjust to Trump, and who see the president serving four more years as a real threat to the country’s constitutional balance.

M.Scott Mahaskey/POLITICO

“As someone who has been in this business for more than 50 years in Washington, I cannot tell you how troubled I am by these prospects that the entire structure of the government system that’s operated for my lifetime and probably for a century before seems to be crumbling,” said Philip Allen Lacovara, a former Watergate prosecutor who made the winning argument in that unanimous 1974 Supreme Court case that helped lead to Nixon’s resignation.

“The very fact that people in the executive branch figure that they can simply put a thumb in the eye of Congress when they’re asked for information day after day after day after day, not on particularly controversial or sensitive single subject inquiries, that really is changing the fundamental nature of the government,” Lacovara added. “And the typical voter who is concerned about other things is simply not aware of this. And if Trump gets another four years to codify, institutionalize and embed this attitude it’s going to be very hard for Congress to reassert any effective control and oversight. I think that’s the real risk.”

Trump’s critics also worry that, given four more years in office, the president’s unconventional ways could have other long-lasting effects on society. “Young people will grow up thinking that’s the way politics is,” said Shays. “So many of the things our Founding Fathers believe in will just go out the window.”

To Trump supporters, including the ones who came along on our time machine ride, all the talk about the end of democracy sounds laughable. “We said the same thing in 2012. ‘The stakes are just so high,’” Nunberg said of the fears surrounding a second Obama term. “We were fine.”

America, Trump’s supporters argue, is much more durable than the president’s critics acknowledge—even if he wins two terms. “It drives me crazy,” Fleischer said, “when people think Donald Trump’s tweets somehow are stronger than James Madison’s handwriting.”

© 2019 POLITICO LLC

Guardian

Impeachment inquiry: Democrats say diplomat’s testimony is a ‘sea change’ – as it happened

Bill Taylor, acting US ambassador to Ukraine, says he was told Trump made aid conditional until Ukraine publicly announced investigations into Biden and the 2016 election

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Maanvi Singh in San Francisco (now) and Joan E Greve in Washington (earlier)

Tue 22 Oct 2019 20.01 EDT

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Key events

20:01 EDT

Summary

That’s it from the liveblog for today. Here’s a recap:

Bill Taylor, the acting US ambassador to Ukraine, testifiedthat Donald Trump withheld military aid to pressure Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and the 2016 election. Taylor contradicted ongoing insistence from Trump and his allies that there was no quid pro quo.

Democrats signaled that the Taylor testimony was a turning point, indicating that the inquiry will be speeding up in the coming days.

Trump and his allies, continued to insiston the president’s innocence. Republicanlawmakers took to the House floor, reiterating claims that the inquiry was unfair and unethical.

Democrats and Republicanscondemned Trump’s statements comparing the impeachment inquiry to a “lynching”.

The US envoy to Syria testified that he wasn’t consulted on the decision to withdraw US troops.

Russia won joint control of formerly Kurdish territory in Syria

Updated at 20:01 EDT

19:44 EDT

Bill Taylor leaves Capitol Hill after nine-hour-long deposition

Bill Taylor does not respond to questions as he leaves Capitol Hill following a deposition that lasted 9+ hours pic.twitter.com/FtQYNrNpo4

— Jeremy Herb (@jeremyherb) October 22, 2019

Updated at 19:44 EDT

19:34 EDT

Meanwhile… Pelosi creates petition to condemn Trump

Here’s what Trump has done just this week:

  • He called the constitutional ban on profiting from the presidency “phony.”
  • His Administration has defied lawful subpoenas and document requests.
  • He stood by his shakedown of a foreign government and called it “perfect.”

— Nancy Pelosi (@TeamPelosi) October 22, 2019

Even as House Republicans rally behind Trump and seek to discredit the impeachment inquiry, Pelosi is promoting a public petition to condemn Trump.

There’s no real purpose for such a petition — but it’s a sign that Pelosi is sticking with her impeachment strategy despite Republican attacks.

Updated at 19:34 EDT

19:20 EDT

Republicans take to House floor and speak out against impeachment

Several Republican representatives are speaking out against the impeachment inquiry, repeatedly calling it a sham, echoing language from the president, his press secretary, and his associates.

Republicans including minority leader Kevin McCarthy are once again arguing that the inquiry is invalid because the House has not taken a vote to open it. Speaker Nancy Pelosi has said that there is no rule or regulation requiring such a vote.

Trump held two days of meetings with House Republicans over the weekend at Camp David, signaling that the White House is working hard to ensure support as evidence mounts in favor of impeachment.

Under Chairman Schiff and the Dem majority, the most basic responsibilities of the committee have been neglected.

Instead, the House Intelligence Committee is using its time and resources to run a sham impeachment inquiry in secret.#StopTheSchiffShowhttps://t.co/Othy2TMJYn

— Kevin McCarthy (@GOPLeader) October 22, 2019

Republican lawmakers are taking advantage of time allotted for one-minute speeches this evening to reiterate their loyalty to Trump.

“The facts will exonerate our president,” said Mark Meadows of North Carolina.

“Instead of wasting valuable time with this baseless inqurity there is so much more we could and should be doing,” said Tim Whalberg of Michigan.

Schiff’s impeachment scheme is being conducted in secret behind closed doors. He’s shutting out Republican Members.

This is a joke. The American people deserve complete transparency and access to the real facts, and @realDonaldTrump deserves due process!#StopTheSchiffShowpic.twitter.com/DxUOov2IFZ

— Steve Scalise (@SteveScalise) October 22, 2019

One after another, Republicans repeated claims that the impeachment inquiry was illegitimate and unfair.

Updated at 19:41 EDT

18:58 EDT

White House: Bill Taylor testimony was ‘triple hearsay’

Insisting “there was no quid pro quo”, the White House press secretary, Stephanie Grisham, said in a statement: “Today was just more triple hearsay and selective leaks from the Democrats’ politically-motivated, closed-door, secretive hearings.”

She also said the inquiry was “a coordinated smear campaign”.

.@PressSec releases a statement on the Taylor testimony: pic.twitter.com/TWsQsy1i8G

— Phil Mattingly (@Phil_Mattingly) October 22, 2019

US envoy says Trump used military aid to push Ukraine to investigate Biden

Updated at 19:32 EDT

18:49 EDT

Biden campaign weighs in on Bill Taylor testimony

“Trump is so desperate not to love to Joe Biden that he threatened to withhold vital military assistance,” said Biden’s campaign manager Kate Bedingfield in a statement.

“The president has betrayed his office,” the statement reads.

Joe Biden’s campaign weighs in on Bill Taylor’s testimony. pic.twitter.com/6cgJGVGU1n

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) October 22, 2019

Updated at 18:49 EDT

18:26 EDT

Trump to Netanyahu: ‘You are great!’

In March, Donald Trump hosted Benjamin Netanyahu in Washington. Photograph: Manuel Balce Ceneta/AP

Trump wished Netanyahu a happy birthday, calling him “one of my closest allies”, in a letter sent on Monday, after the Israeli prime minister announced his failure to form a coalition government.

“You are great!” Trump added, in a handwritten note next to his signature.

According to Axios, Netanyahu’s office released the letter to show that he still had strong ties with Trump, who remains popular in Israel.

Benjamin Netanyahu tells Israeli president he cannot form government

Updated at 19:31 EDT

17:50 EDT

Syria envoy said he was not consulted on US troop withdrawal

James Jeffrey, the special envoy to Syria, said he wasn’t consulted on the Trump administration’s decision to withdraw troops. In a testimonybefore the Senate foreign relations committee, he said “I personally was not consulted before the decision.”

He defended the administration, saying that Barack Obama and George W Bush both acted in Iraq without consulting him while he worked as an ambassador and a chargé d’affaires, respectively.

“In my current job, I feel that my views, through Secretary Pompeo have been brought repeatedly and frequently and, I think in many cases, effectively,” he said.

But lawmakers were incredulous.

“Professionally are you indifferent to not being consulted about the matter that is in your lifelong expertise?” asked Senator Tim Kaine of Virginia. “Whether you mind it or not, I mind not being consulted.”

Turkey and Russia agree deal over buffer zone in northern Syria

Updated at 19:31 EDT

17:28 EDT

Democrats say Bill Taylor testimony signals ‘sea change’ in impeachment inquiry

Bill Taylor’s testimony – which contradicts claims by the president, his chief of staff and his and his associates – “is a sea change”, said the Democratic representative Stephen Lynch of Massachusetts. “I think it could accelerate matters,” he said.

The Democratic representative Debbie Wasserman Schultz of Florida said: “I do not know how you would listen to today’s testimony from Ambassador Taylor and come to any other (conclusion) except that the president abused his power and withheld foreign aid”

Meanwhile, other Democrats, including those running for president, have reiterated their support for a speedy impeachment.

I’ll say it again: This is corruption, plain and simple. Donald Trump must be impeached. https://t.co/ZZH4J3DY0t

— Elizabeth Warren (@ewarren) October 22, 2019

Updated at 19:24 EDT

17:00 EDT

That’s it from me today. My west coast colleague, Maanvi Singh, will take over the blog for the next few hours.

Here’s where the day stands so far:

Bill Taylor, the acting US ambassador to Ukraine, testified in House Democrats’ impeachment inquiry that he was told Trump was holding up military aid to Ukraine until the country’s president publicly announced investigations into Joe Biden and the 2016 election – contradicting Trump’s repeated denials of a quid pro quo.

Trump sparked outrage by comparing the impeachment inquiry to a “lynching”.

The anonymous author of a 2018 New York Times op-ed who claimed to be part of an internal White House “resistance” to Trump is now writing a book while maintaining anonymity.

Russia has won joint control of formerly Kurdish territory in Syria, marking a crucial victory for Vladimir Putin after the withdrawal of US troops.

The UK parliament rejected the Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s proposal to fast-track Brexit, virtually guaranteeing that Britain will not leave the EU by its set deadline at the end of the month. (Follow the Guardian’s UK politics live blog for more.)

Maanvi will have more on the news of the day, so stay tuned.

Updated at 19:23 EDT

16:40 EDT

Bill Taylor also said in his opening statement to the House committees investigating impeachment that a National Security Council official, Tim Morrison, had offered a less than glowing assessment of Trump’s call with the Ukrainian president.

The acting US ambassador to Ukraine said: “Mr. Morrison told me that the call ‘could have been better’ and that President Trump had suggested that President Zelenskyyor his staff meet with Mr. Giuliani and Attorney General William Barr. I did not see any official readout of the call until it was publicly released on September 25.”

Morrison’s opinion is a far cry from Trump’s repeated assertions that his call with the Ukrainian president was “perfect” and included nothing improper.

Updated at 16:40 EDT

16:23 EDT

A Washington Post reporter summarized the opening statement of Bill Taylor, the acting US ambassador to Ukraine, in this way:

Shorter Bill Taylor: President Trump insisted, over and over there was not a “quid pro quo.” But there was a quid. Followed by a pro. And then, finally, a quo.

— Matt Viser (@mviser) October 22, 2019

Updated at 16:23 EDT

© 2019 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights

TRUMP EFFECT
Will Trump shut down the government to fight impeachment?
Analysis: Washington is bracing for the prospect that president may seek to let funding lapse in a bid to blame Democrats.

President Donald Trump speaks to the media at Naval Air Station Joint Reverse Base in Fort Worth, Texas, on Oct. 17, 2019.Andrew Harnik / AP file
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Oct. 23, 2019, 5:00 AM EDT / Updated Oct. 23, 2019, 10:21 AM EDT
By Jonathan Allen
WASHINGTON — Impeachment, meet government shutdown.

With funding for federal operations set to expire Nov. 21, the political class here is beginning to plan for the possibility — or the likelihood, in the eyes of some — that President Donald Trump will shut down the government to try to turn public opinion against House Democrats and their push to impeach him.

“He used it for his almighty wall for the longest shutdown in history, so I don’t put anything past him when it comes to this,” Sen. Dick Durbin of Illinois, the Democratic minority whip, told NBC News.

It’s not just Democrats who have learned that Trump has a tendency to add as many chips to the pile as he can in high-stakes political battles, particularly when things aren’t going his way. Right now, according to an impeachment tracker by FiveThirtyEight.com, a plurality of Americans (48.6 percent to 43.3 percent) support removing the president from office.

Trump has a history of seeking dramatic means to alter storylines.

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“The Republican leadership is watching this very closely and anything really can happen, and that does give him the ability to express himself and he has done that before,” said Ron Bonjean, a former Republican leadership aide in both the House and Senate who assisted the Trump White House with Supreme Court Justice Neil Gorsuch’s confirmation hearings. “Could it happen again? Absolutely. And especially when everything is so personal.”

Beyond Trump’s irritation at the impeachment inquiry, many Republicans see the potential for a shutdown to flip the script on Democrats.

“The administration could use a spending showdown to put the focus back on the issues and the fact that Democrats don’t want to pay for national security, border security or restrain wasteful spending,” said one former senior administration official who spoke on the condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak for the president.

“The longer Democrats drag out this impeachment circus, the less likely Trump has any reason to cooperate with them on appropriations,” the source added.

Yet Democrats contend such a move would backfire on Trump because the public would see it as an attempt to help himself at a cost to the country.

“If some Republicans want to shut down the government because the House is upholding our oath of office and holding President Trump accountable, they’ll have to defend that to the American people,” Rep. Nita Lowey, D-N.Y., chairwoman of the House Appropriations Committee, said in a statement.

On Capitol Hill, where the Senate is just taking up some of its versions of the annual appropriations bills — the dozen measures that fund the government — there is no realistic hope of the two chambers agreeing to all of them before the deadline.

A big part of the impasse has to do with the long-running fight between the White House and Congress over the president’s efforts to fund a border wall between the U.S. and Mexico, but the two chambers haven’t even yet reached a deal on how much to money to allocate for each of the dozen spending bills.

Those who want to avoid a government shutdown want to make progress on those bills while passing a measure called a “continuing resolution” that would keep the government operating beyond Nov. 21.

Count the House Democrats — who would face the politically risky prospect of moving forward with impeachment while the rest of the government sat still — in that camp.

“House Democrats refuse to play politics with a government shutdown, and we will pass necessary legislation to keep the federal government up and running,” Lowey said.

Lawmakers keep working during shutdowns, and, as is the case with federal agencies, Congress can designate certain staff as “essential” to do the same.

A senior Trump administration official said in an email that the president probably won’t shut down the government, but stopped far short of closing off that option.

“The administration expects Congress to do its job to secure the border and pay our troops, but in the event that they are unable to pass full-year appropriations bills, the president is unlikely to oppose a clean temporary funding bill,” the official, who declined to be identified, lacking authorization to speak about the issue, said in an e-mail.

Like Lowey, Sen. Richard Shelby, R-Ala., chairman of the Appropriations Committee, doesn’t want to see a lapse in federal funding. And he doesn’t think it would be a political boon for Trump.

“I’ve said for years, and I’ve said to the president, that to shut down the government helps no one, including the administration,” he said.

As for whether he’s worried that Trump would shut down the government out of frustration with the impeachment process, Shelby stopped short of predicting that the president would avoid that route.

“I would hope not,” he said.

Jonathan Allen
Jonathan Allen is a Washington-based national political reporter for NBC News who focuses on the presidency.

Frank Thorp V contributed.

Trouble in Congress:


Chaos erupts as Republicans barge into Trump impeachment inquiry hearing

Group chanting ‘Let us in’ entered closed-door meeting where top Pentagon official who oversees Ukraine policy was to testify.

Wed 23 Oct 2019 14.38 EDT

Political tensions over an intensifying impeachment inquiryreached fever pitch on Wednesday as Republicans “stormed” a closed-door committee hearing on Capitol Hill where another witness to the Ukraine controversy was appearing – a day after devastating testimony from a key diplomat.

A group of Republican members of the House of Representatives, chanting “Let us in”, barged into a secure, in-camera hearing room where Laura Cooper, a top Pentagon official who oversees Ukraine policy, was set to testify before the committees in charge of the inquiry.

The chaos and confusion temporarily shut down the proceedings as Republicans tweeted live updates of the disruption from their cellphones, which are not typically permitted in classified areas, and reportedly entered into yelling matches with committee members.

“BREAKING: I led over 30 of my colleagues into the SCIF where Adam Schiff is holding secret impeachment depositions. Still inside – more details to come,” tweeted Matt Gaetz, a Florida Republican congressman and one of Donald Trump’s closest allies on Capitol Hill, referring to secured areas of the Capitol known as Sensitive Compartmented Information Facilities, or SCIFs, and Schiff, the Democratic chairman of the House intelligence committee leading the Trump-Ukraine impeachment inquiry.

The Republicans who led the protest do not sit on the three committees involved in the impeachment inquiry and are not permitted to attend. Members of those committees already include Republican members of Congress, as well as Democratsand both parties attend and ask questions at the hearings, whether public or, as in this case, closed to the public and the press.

But the members involved in the action on Wednesday have sought to attack the inquiry on procedural grounds, protesting against the private nature of the hearings and demanding access to the full breadth of the testimony that has rattled Washington in recent weeks.

Much of the testimony that has been made public by the committee, however, and news reports confirm key elementsof a whistleblower complaint that set in motion the impeachment inquiry. The investigation centers on reports of Donald Trump withholding military aid and dangling a meeting at the White House for Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, in return for favors that would benefit him in domestic US politics.

Could Donald Trump actually be impeached? – video

The invading Republicans were still in the chamber by early afternoon and ordered in pizza.

“Reporting from Adam Schiff’s secret chamber,” Republican congressman Andy Biggs began, in a series of tweets from inside the room. Biggs has accused Democrats of conducting a “Soviet-style” impeachment inquiry and demanded the testimony be made available to all lawmakers.

“When Republican members were in the SCIF, Chairman Schiff immediately left with the witness,” he tweeted.

The dramatic escalation by Republicans on Capitol Hill came after Bill Taylor, the most senior US diplomat in Kyiv, testified for hours before House investigators on Tuesday, delivering an account that was so shocking to some lawmakers, freshman Democrat congressman Andy Levin described it as “my most disturbing day in Congress so far – very troubling”.

In a lengthy opening statement, Taylor told lawmakers that Trump wanted “everything”, including military aid to Ukraine, tied to a commitment by the country’s leaders to investigate Democrats and the 2016 election as well as a company linked to the family of Trump’s leading 2020Democratic rival, Joe Biden.

“He said that President Trump wanted President Zelenskiy ‘in a public box’ by making a public statement about ordering such investigations,” Taylor said.

Trump emerged briefly on Wednesday to declare victory in enforcing what he called a “permanent” ceasefire along the northern Syrian border after his abrupt withdrawal of US troops effectively opened the door for a Turkish offensive against Kurdish-led forces in that region, leaving scores of civilians and fighters dead and hundreds of thousands of people displaced.

The president, who has denied any wrongdoing in the impeachment inquiry, spent the morning on Twitter downplaying the investigation’s findings, including Taylor’s explosive testimony. He didn’t address the impeachment issues or take any questions after delivering his statement on Syria.

Later, leaving the White House for Pittsburgh to speak at a fracking conference, Trump was unusually quiet when heading to the Marine One helicopter on the lawn.

He has become accustomed to often relatively lengthy sessions of questions and answers with reporters gathered outside, on his way to the helicopter, which has become known as “chopper talk”, but he did not take any questions on Wednesday.

Meanwhile a report emerged noting that as early as 7 May, newly elected President Zelenskiy told senior aides he was already worried about pressure from the Trump to investigate his Democratic rivals.

The group of advisers spent most of a three-hour meeting talking about how to navigate the insistence from Trump and his personal lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, for such an investigation, and how to avoid becoming entangled in the American elections, according to three people familiar with the details of the meeting.

Among the many defenses the White House has offered is that Ukraine had not been aware that Trump was withholding military aid that Congress approved for the country unless it launched two investigations.

Associated Press contributed to this repor

© 2019 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved.

Bellaire and mutiny?

PASTOR WARNS IF TRUMP IS REMOVED FROM OFFICE, ‘GUYS THAT KNOW HOW TO FIGHT’ WILL HUNT DOWN DEMOCRATS

By Jason Lemon On 10/23/19 at 4:15 PM EDT

U.S. DONALD TRUMPUKRAINE IMPEACHMENTSENATE

Christian church leader Rick Wiles threatened that “There’s gonna be violence in America” if President Donald Trump is removed from office.

Wiles, the senior pastor at Flowing Streams Church in Florida, made the remarks on his right-wing TruNews program Tuesday evening. He claimed that cowboys, mountain men and “guys that know how to do violence” would start attacking and “hunting down” Democrats.

“If they take him [Trump] out, there’s gonna be violence in America,” the religious leader said. “That’s all there is to it,” he asserted.

“However he leaves, there’s gonna be violence in America,” Wiles went on. “I believe there are people in this country, veterans, there are cowboys, mountain men, I mean guys that know how to fight,” he said, “and they’re going to make a decision that people who did this to Donald Trump are not gonna get away with it.”

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“And they’re gonna hunt them down,” the pastor said.

“The Trump supporters are going to hunt them down,” he added. “It’s going to happen and this country is going to be plunged into darkness and they brought it upon themselves because they won’t back off.”

Wiles’ threat came as it has appeared increasingly likely that Trump will be impeached by the Democrat-controlled House of Representatives. The fast-moving impeachment inquiry, which was launched at the end of September, has already revealedthat the president pressured Ukrainian leaders to investigate his political rivals and allegedly withheld bipartisan approved military aid to the country as a “quid pro quo” to open the probes.

Although it appears likely that Trump will be impeached in the House, most analysts do not believe he will be removed from office by the Republican-controlled Senate. Although a few GOP senators have expressed serious concerns about Trump’s actions towards Ukraine, a two-thirds majority of the legislative body is required to remove the president from office. That would mean all the 45 Democrats, the body’s two independents and 19 Republicans would need to vote for Trump’s ouster.

President Donald Trump speaks during a “Keep America Great” campaign rally at American Airlines Center on October 17 in Dallas, TexasTOM PENNINGTON/GETTY

Building a wall!

WASHINGTON – President Donald Trump said Wednesday that a wall is being built in Colorado.

"And we’re building a wall on the border of New Mexico. And we’re building a wall in Colorado. We’re building a beautiful wall. A big one that really works — that you can’t get over, you can’t get under,” Trump said during a speech at the Shale Insight Conference in Pittsburgh.

He continued, “And we’re building a wall in Texas. And we’re not building a wall in Kansas but they get the benefit of the walls that we just mentioned. And Louisiana’s incredible.”

Colorado is not positioned along the U.S.'s southern border, where Trump has focused his desire for a physical barrier, and there have been no reports of plans to construct a border wall in the state. A portion of the border wall is being built along the Colorado River in Arizona.

Trump presumably misspoke, as he had just been speaking about the border wall plans along the southern border between New Mexico and Mexico.

“You know why we’re going to win New Mexico? Because they want safety on their border. And they didn’t have it. And we’re building a wall on the border of New Mexico,” he declared before mentioning Colorado.

Nevertheless, Trump’s comments spread on Twitter.

Cute maneuvers

ABCNews
Trump campaign scoops up Biden’s Latino voter web address, trolls his voter outreach
By Will Steakin,Rachel Scott
Oct 23, 2019, 7:28 PM ET

WATCH: Vice President Mike Pence helped roll out the Trump campaign’s first 2020 coalition in Miami on Tuesday.
It didn’t take long for the Trump campaign to figure out how to troll Joe Biden moments after the former vice president’s campaign announced a Latino voter outreach program on Wednesday.

Biden, who spent the day campaigning across Pennsylvania and Iowa, announced “Todos Con Biden,” a “national network of Latino supporters” working to help elect the former vice president earlier on Wednesday.

But there’s one problem. The Biden campaign failed to purchase todosconbiden.com, or even lock down the @TodosConBiden Twitter handle before announcing the new effort – prompting the president’s reelection team to do what it does best: troll.

Now, the Trump campaign is using todosconbiden.com to mock the former vice president, with a landing page that says in both English and Spanish, “Oops, Joe forgot about Latinos.” The page also links out to the president’s own Latino outreach coalition “Latinos for Trump.” And the @TodosConBiden Twitter account, in the possession of the Trump campaign, has already begun posting unflattering counter messaging targeting Biden.

The reelection team told ABC News they bought the URL for a “minimal cost” after the Trump campaign’s coalition team noticed the URL for the new effort was still up for grabs.

“The Biden campaign continues to be inept with a deeply flawed candidate,” Deputy Communications Director Erin Perrine told ABC News. "Latinos are thriving under President Trump and now thanks to the Biden camp, people can find out more about that success at todosconbiden.com.

The landing page for the Donald J. Trump for President campaign. The Trump campaign said they bought the URL for the Biden campaign’s newly announced Latino voter outreach effort “Todos Con Biden.”
In response, the Biden campaign said the move by the Trump campaign was “no surprise.”

“It is no surprise that Trump’s Campaign would resort to childish antics like this to take attention away from this President’s appalling record of separating families and using immigrants as scapegoats, fomenting hatred and white supremacy, and trying to take away health care from millions of Americans who need it,” according to Isabel Aldunate, deputy director of strategic communications/Hispanic media press secretary for the Biden campaign.

Scooping up the URL and Twitter handle to mock Biden is just the latest example of the Trump campaign’s trolling strategy, which has in part fueled and embodied the reelection effort so far. During the last two Democratic primary debates in Ohio and Houston, the campaign paid thousands of dollars to fly a massive banner above the host cities slamming the president’s potential rivals.

The campaign has also turned mockery into cash, selling everything from “Pencil-Neck Adam Schiff” T-Shirts to most recently “Where’s Hunter?” shirts, which went on sale less than an hour after the president asked about the former vice president’s son at a Minneapolis rally.

And it’s not just the Trump campaign who sees a gaffe like this as a broader issue for Biden, who himself has been prone to missteps over his decades-long career.

“How the hell are you Joe Biden’s campaign and you don’t lock up the URL before you announce stuff?” Mike Madrid, a veteran Republican political consultant who’s a vocal critic of the president told ABC News.

On top of trolling Biden, the Trump campaign is using this opportunity to tout the president’s record with Latino Americans, such as record low unemployment. But critics, including Madrid, argue economic issues alone won’t be enough to sway large numbers of voters given Trump’s record on immigration.

“Anybody who believes that economic numbers are going to motivate Latinos to shift allegiances – that’s an absurd notion,” Madrid said.

However, the longtime political operative added that if Democrats are going to beat Trump in 2020 it will require a far more efficient operation than the campaign Hillary Clinton ran in 2016, and Wednesday’s Biden blunder doesn’t instill faith that the 76-year-old former vice president is the best option.

“Can the Democratic nominee get higher Latino voter turnout than the disastrous operation by Hillary Clinton? This tells me that Biden and his campaign are not looking really strong in that regard,” Madrid said. “That’s what concerns me.”

The Biden campaign launched “Todos con Biden” with the goal of growing grassroots support while also promising immigration and education reform for the Latino community.

"Joe Biden knows that our diversity is our strength, and as president, he will continue to ensure that all Americans are treated with dignity – not scapegoated or used to score political points, " Laura Jiménez, the campaign’s national Latino vote director said.

It comes months after the Trump campaign rolled out its own “Latinos for Trump” coalition in June, an effort aimed at turning out Latino voters.

In the 2016 election, Trump took 29% of the Latino vote, topping Romney, who took 27% of the Latino vote in 2012. Hispanics are projected to become the largest minority group in the electorate in 2020, with 18.3%, surpassing African Americans.

ABC News’ Molly Nagle and Johnny Verhovek contributed to this report.

© 2019 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
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Impeachment proceedings-some opinions behind doors :

EDITORIAL

The far-reaching implications of Trump’s betrayal

Updated October 24, 2019, 3:00 a.m.



Ambassador William Taylor is escorted by US Capitol Police as he arrives to testify before House committees as part of the impeachment investigation of President Donald Trump, at the Capitol in Washington, Tuesday. (J. SCOTT APPLEWHITE/AP PHOTO)

When he took the job as president, Donald Trump swore an oath to faithfully execute the responsibilities of the office. One of those tasks, passed into law with overwhelming bipartisan support, was to provide almost $400 million in military aid this year to Ukraine to help the Eastern European country resist Russian aggression. The war there has claimed 13,000 lives, and American aid is critical to Ukraine’s — and Europe’s — defense. Trump’s responsibility — his sworn duty — was to deliver that aid to Kyiv.

To use the money instead for his own personal purposes would be a breathtaking abuse of presidential power, and a betrayal of national security. And yet, with each passing day, there’s more evidence that Trump did just that. The latest evidence came in explosive testimony from a US diplomatwho told Congress Tuesday that the president held up the military aid as part of a pressure campaign to get the Ukrainian government to assist Trump’s 2020 reelection campaign.

If Congress lets this abuse of power pass, they’re creating an alarming precedent for this and all future presidents: Go ahead and use taxpayer money to help yourself, even when the funds were earmarked to support an important American national security goal. The consequences would be long-lasting: A superpower like the United States cannot allow its foreign policy to be subordinated to the president’s personal needs and expect to maintain any international support or respect.

It was appalling enough that Trump had asked for political favors from Ukraine, and it was that request for Kyiv to meddle in a US election that triggered the House’s impeachment inquiry. The fact that the president seems to have used congressionally approved military aid for leverage makes the abuse of power that much graver. He sought to make Ukraine choose between participating in a corrupt scheme or losing American aid in the face of an existential threat.

The new information came from the current US envoy to Ukraine, William B. Taylor, who testified that Trump had held up the aid to Ukraine not for any legitimate reasons, as the White House has tried to argue, but to compel the country to help his reelection campaign. Specifically, he wanted Ukraine to launch two phony “investigations,” both of which would be politically beneficial for the president in defending himself and attacking a prospective rival. He wanted Ukraine to investigate a preposterous theory that that country, not Russia, had interfered in the 2016 election, and to launch a probe into potential Democratic nominee Joe Biden and his son Hunter. The mere existence of those investigations, if Ukraine had opened them and announced them publicly, as Trump wanted, would help his campaign.

The testimony from Taylor buttresses the public admission of acting chief of staff Mick Mulvaney, who acknowledged last week that Trump had held up the aid money in part to pressure Ukraine. Mulvaney backtracked, and the administration has been trying to retroactively invent legitimate-sounding reasons for the holdup, but Taylor’s account is said to be backed up by contemporaneous notes he took at the time.

Taylor — along with the other officials who have testified — deserves the public’s gratitude for ignoring the White House’s efforts to prevent him from appearing. Unlike the president, he has put duty and the national interest first. Officials who have participated in the stonewalling, like Energy Secretary Rick Perry and Defense Secretary Mark Esper, are putting a permanent blot on their reputations.

Taylor’s testimony strengthened the case for impeachment but also injected a dose of foreign-policy realism about the wider consequences of the scandal. The president’s misconduct is not some kind of minor lapse. By holding up the aid, Trump put in doubt American commitment to its own foreign policy priorities. And he sent the message to the world that American support is for sale, undercutting decades of diplomacy based on supporting shared democratic values. In the world’s eyes, every US foreign policy decision is now tainted by the knowledge that the president makes major decisions based on what’s in it for him, and that the safeguards in the American political system meant to prevent just that kind of abuse have failed because of the spinelessness of congressional Republicans.

Or at least, they have so far. Some of the damage is already done. But if members of Congress of all parties want to defend both their own power and the integrity of American foreign policy, impeachment is the proper constitutional remedy.

EDITORIAL

The far-reaching implications of Trump’s betrayal

President Trump’s misconduct is not some kind of minor lapse.

MICHAEL A. COHEN

©2019 Boston Globe Media Partners, LLC

Republican counterpunches --------

Democracy Dies in Darkness

Live updates: Graham to introduce resolution condemning House impeachment inquiry

By John Wagner and Felicia Sonmez
October 24, 2019 at 12:27 PM EDT
Senate Judiciary Chairman Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.) advertised a news conference Thursday to announce a resolution condemning the House impeachment inquiry, as partisan rancor continued to escalate over the Ukraine scandal.


Lindsey Graham Introducing Resolution to Permanently Attach Lips to Trump’s Ass
BESS LEVIN
OCTOBER 24, 2019 12:17 PM
Lindsey Graham listens to Donald Trump make an announcement regarding the “First Step Act”, prison reform bill, in the Roosevelt Room at the White House on November 14, 2018 in Washington, DC.
By Mark Wilson/Getty Images.
Lindsey Graham is hopping mad and he’s pretty sure you know why. Despite the South Carolina senator’s insistence that Donald Trump did nothing wrong when it comes to Ukraine, and that it’s “very appropriate” for the president of the United States to try to extort another country, House Democrats just had to go ahead and open their impeachment inquiry. Even though Trump, who admitted to withholding aid to Ukraine until it investigated his political rival, is quite obviously innocent. Even though, as God is his witness, Graham will testify Trump doesn’t have a corrupt bone in his body, and would never do any of the things his acting chief of staff has already confessed to on live television. Even though Nancy Pelosi can quite obviously see it’s tearing Graham up inside.

And that got Lindsey thinking: Sure, he can wag his finger at Democrats and tell them they should be ashamed of themselves, that their mamas raised them better than this, and that they should be sent to bed without any shrimp and grits, but serious times call for serious measures. And that is why, on Thursday afternoon, he will introduce a resolution that not only formally denounces the House’s impeachment inquiry, but makes it clear to any presidents listening that he is willing to go down with the ship. Speaking about his plan on Fox News, Graham told Sean Hannity, “This resolution puts the Senate on record condemning the House…. Here’s the point of the resolution: Any impeachment vote based on this process, to me, is illegitimate, is unconstitutional, and should be dismissed in the Senate without a trial.”

Of course, nowhere in the Constitution does it say that the House must hold a vote before opening an impeachment inquiry, nor does anyone believe that Republicans would suddenly be totally cool with the proceedings should one be held, but never mind you that. Graham is also apparently upset that the president has not been allowed to confront the whistle-blower, whose identity is protected by federal law. “We cannot allow future presidents and this president to be impeached based on an inquiry in the House that’s never been voted upon, that does not allow the president to confront the witnesses against him, to call witnesses on his behalf, and cross-examine people who are accusing him of misdeeds,” he said.

Graham, whose devotion to Trump runs so deep that he’s willing to overlook all the times the president has slandered his dead friend, announced the resolution after saying earlier this month that he would be sending a letter to Pelosi telling her that Senate Republicans have no intention of removing Trump from office over a friendly phone call with the president of Ukraine. And even though Graham is sticking his neck out for the president he loves, for some people, it’s apparently not enough. According to Jonathan Swan, “a source close to” Donald Trump Jr. doesn’t think a resolution is enough. “If you’re going to talk the talk on Fox, you better walk the walk in the chamber,” this person said. “And a resolution is just talk. People expect action.”

It’s not clear what kind of action Don Jr.’s inner circle would like Graham to take, or what would constitute walking the walk, though there is presumably a nonzero chance Graham will use his 3 p.m. press conference to chain himself to the doors of Pelosi‘s office and refuse to get out of the way until the House agrees to clear Trump on all charges and pass a law declaring him president for life.

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Related
Sen. Lindsey Graham questions U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services Director L. Francis Cissna during a Senate Judiciary Committee hearing June 19, 2018 in Washington, DC.
IMPEACHMENT
Lindsey Graham: “Very Appropriate” for Trump to Try to Extort Another Country

LEVIN REPORT
Lindsey Graham: Trump Will “Blow You Away” With His Innocence on Ukraine

© Condé Nast 2019

Democrats claim justice department being used for ‘political retribution’ – live

The chairmen of two key House committees have condemned the reported opening of a criminal investigation of the Russia inquir

Defense secretary confirms troop presence remaining in Syria

Mark Esper, the secretary of defense, confirmed that a small number of US troops will remain in Syria to prevent the Islamic State from gaining access to key oil resources.

The announcement comes weeks after Trump announced he was withdrawing all US troops from northern Syria and less than an hour after the president tweeted that troops were “COMING HOME.”

This announcement will likely do little to assure Trump’s base that the president is moving to end US engagements in the Middle East.

Updated at 09:45 EDT

09:34 EDT

Bolton reportedly in talks to speak to impeachment investigators

John Bolton, Trump’s former national security adviser, is reportedly in talks to sit for a deposition with the House committees investigating impeachment.

CNN reports:

Former NSC officialFiona Hill testified before the committee last week that she saw ‘wrongdoing’ in the American foreign policy and tried to report it to officials including the National Security Council’s attorney, according to multiple sources.

‘She saw wrongdoing related to the Ukraine policy and reported it,’ one source said. The same source told CNN that Hill testified that Bolton referred to Giuliani – Trump’s personal attorney – as a ‘hand grenade’ who was ‘going to blow everybody up.’

Bolton also reportedlyinstructed Hill at one point to tell White House lawyers: “I am not part of whatever drug deal Sondlandand Mulvaney are cooking up,” referring to the US ambassador to EU and Trump’s acting chief of staff.

Bolton left the administration rather abruptly last month after Trump announced his departure in a tweet, and the former official has since been publicly critical of the president’s foreign policy.

Updated at 09:34 EDT

09:13 EDT

Trump insists troops are coming home (eventually)

Trump seems to be lashing out against reports that hundreds of US troops will remain in northern Syria, despite the president’s announcement that he was withdrawing American forces from the region.

The Wall Street Journal reports:

The White House is considering options for leaving about 500 U.S. troops in northeast Syria and for sending dozens of battle tanks and other equipment, officials said Thursday, the latest in an array of scenarios following President Trump’s decision this month to remove all troops there.

The options, presented by military officials, would represent a reversal from the American withdrawal Mr. Trump wanted. It also would modify U.S. objectives—from countering Islamic State extremists to also safeguarding oil fields in eastern Syria with additional troops and new military capability.

However, Trump was on Twitter this morning insisting things in Syria were “gong well” and US troops were “COMING HOME.”

Turkey fully understands not to fire on the Kurds as they leave what will be known as the Safe Zone for other fairly nearby areas. I don’t have to repeat that large scale Sanctions will be imposed for violations. Going well! ISIS secured by Kurds with Turkey ready as backup…

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 25, 2019

…COMING HOME! We were supposed to be there for 30 days - That was 10 years ago. When these pundit fools who have called the Middle East wrong for 20 years ask what we are getting out of the deal, I simply say, THE OIL, AND WE ARE BRINGING OUR SOLDIERS BACK HOME, ISIS SECURED!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 25, 2019

The president is also exaggerating the situation he inherited in Syria. There was never any agreement to completely withdraw from Syria after a month, and US forces only became involved in the country in 2014.

Trump is essentially demanding credit for a promise that he has not kept.

Updated at 09:13 EDT

08:44 EDT

Democrats slam reported investigation of Russia inquiry

Good morning, live blog readers!

We are almost to the end of a very damaging week for the president, with more evidence of a quid pro quo in the Ukraine scandal coming to light, but it appears that the Trump administration may be using every tool at its disposal to fight back.

News broke last night that the Justice Department has opened a criminal investigation into its own Russia investigation, which Donald Trump spent more than two years criticizing as a “witch-hunt”.

The New York Times reports:

Justice Department officials have shifted an administrative review of the Russia investigation closely overseen by Attorney General William P. Barr to a criminal inquiry, according to two people familiar with the matter. The move gives the prosecutor running it, John H. Durham, the power to subpoena for witness testimony and documents, to convene a grand jury and to file criminal charges.

The opening of a criminal investigation is likely to raise alarms that Mr. Trump is using the Justice Department to go after his perceived enemies. Mr. Trump fired James B. Comey, the F.B.I. director under whose watch agents opened the Russia inquiry, and has long assailed other top former law enforcement and intelligence officials as partisans who sought to block his election.

Adam Schiff and Jerry Nadler, the Democratic chairmen of the House intelligence and judiciary committees, issued a statement last night warning that the reported criminal investigation could signal the Justice Department has become “a tool of political retribution”.

Schiff and Nadler said: “These reports, if true, raise profound new concerns that the Department of Justice under AG Barr has lost its independence and become a vehicle for President Trump’s political revenge.

“If the Department of Justice may be used as a tool of political retribution, or to help the President with a political narrative for the next election, the rule of law will suffer new and irreparable damage.”

© 2019 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved.

Democracy Dies in Darkness

The Plum Line

Opinion

Explosive William Barr news points to Trump’s weakness and panic

(Jacquelyn Martin/AP)

By Greg Sargent

Opinion writer

October 25, 2019 at 10:12 AM EDT

Let me make an admittedly tentative suggestion about the explosive news that William P. Barr’s review of the origins of the Russia investigation has become a criminal probe:

Don’t freak out.

Yet.

No question, it’s deeply worrying that the Attorney General’s review — which President Trump badly wants in hopes of discrediting the origins of the special counsel investigation that revealed bottomless corruption on his part — now appears to be a criminal matter.

Well the pieces are beginning to fit. Or, are they?

Yes. They are.

The Senate. Is softening.:

IDEAS
Donald Trump Has a Big Problem in the Senate
A resolution meant to be a show of solidarity by Republicans with the president has instead become a sign of weakness.

DAVID A. GRAHAM
12:23 PM ET

ANDREW HARNIK / AP
As the White House struggles to build an anti-impeachment strategy, President Donald Trump turned this week to Lindsey Graham, his staunchest ally in the Senate, to try to stiffen Republican spines in that chamber. It’s not going the way the president must have hoped.

On Thursday, Graham announced that he’d put forward a resolution condemning the House impeachment inquiry. By mid-afternoon, when he actually announced it, the resolution had been watered down to a plea for a different and more transparent process, apparently a sop to GOP senators unwilling to go quite that far. And yet by Friday morning, only 44 of 53 Republicans in the Senate had signed on to the resolution. A gesture meant to be a show of solidarity by senators has instead become a sign of the weakness of the president’s position.

The Senate was supposed to be Trump’s firewall in the Ukraine scandal, and there’s still not any reason to believe that there would be 67 senators willing to vote to remove the president. But with impeachment in the House an all-but-foregone conclusion, as I wrote earlier this week, the administration is turning its focus to the Senate, and it’s proving to be less of a redoubt than Trump wanted.

The New York Times reports:

After another private meeting Monday night with Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the majority leader, Mr. Trump began complaining privately that he did not think Senate Republicans were doing enough to have his back. For days, some allies of the president’s eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., had agitated on Twitter for Mr. Graham to do more to try to counteract Democrats in the House.

One line of pressure has been for Graham, who chairs the Senate Judiciary Committee, to call witnesses in that chamber as a sort of counterprogramming, though on Thursday he said that made no sense to him.

MORE BY DAVID A. GRAHAM
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Impeachment Just Became Inevitable
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David A. Graham: Nothing and everything changed on impeachment

But Graham is not the problem; he’s signaled a willingness to stand by Trump through thick, thin, and horrific lynching analogies. The White House’s challenge is other senators. Some Republicans have been notably open to an impeachment inquiry, but most have been conspicuously quiet. Some use the time-honored excuse that they’d serve as jurors in a trial and therefore ought not to weigh in; many more are simply dodging questions. What they’re mostly not doing is mounting substantive defenses of the president’s behavior. A Daily Caller canvass found only seven of the 53 Republicans were willing to rule out voting to remove Trump.

Republican senators have always been less tractable for Trump than representatives, though the GOP controls the Senate but not the House. The president has many rah-rah fans in the House, and House members are also more vulnerable to pressure from Trump-loving constituents if they get out of line with the White House. (Francis Rooney of Florida, the most outspoken Trump critic on the Ukraine matter in recent weeks, has announced he’s retiring.) Senators are more insulated from immediate political pressure, more rooted in Washington and the party structure, and less fond of the president.

Nonetheless, it would take a major change in the evidence against Trump, or a vast shift in polling, for enough Republican senators to support conviction that the president would be in serious danger of removal in a Senate trial. Yet it’s clear that Trump does care a great deal about senators’ positions. The impetus for his hasty cancellation of plans to host the Group of Seven summit at this resort in Doral, Florida, was apparently the anger it provoked among Republican senators. In the past, Trump has been content to weather their displeasure, but this time he folded.

David A. Graham: ‘Get over it’ is the Trump Doctrine

Perhaps Trump believes that a unified GOP Senate response will persuade Democrats not to vote to impeach; I am skeptical that will work. Or perhaps Trump worries about the political damage if a majority of the Senate voted to convict, even if it didn’t lead to removal. It would take only four GOP defections to reach a majority for conviction in the Senate.

There’s little precedent that can help forecast what the political fallout might be. A majority of senators voted to convict President Andrew Johnson, but they fell one vote short of removal; Johnson’s presidency never recovered. More recently, the Senate voted 45–50 and 50–50 to acquit President Bill Clinton, without a majority for conviction in either case. Even so, that result was arguably ruinous for his Democratic Party in the 2000 election. It would be a powerful talking point if Democrats headed into the 2020 campaign season with a vote for conviction in the Senate that had garnered a majority with Republican support, even without removal, so Trump’s worry is rational.

Graham may eventually be able to cajole the rest of the Republican caucus into signing on to his resolution condemning the House process. The final vote isn’t the point, though. Graham’s resolution was intended to send a message about Senate support for Trump—and it already has.

DAVID A. GRAHAM is a staff writer at The Atlantic, where he covers U.S
1 Donald Trump Has a Big Problem in the Senate

EMILY BUDER
Copyright © 2019 by The Atlantic Monthly Group. All Rights Reserved.

I caught an update on Newsnight two nights back… it was such a none event, that I can’t remember much if it… perhaps that was the plan… distraction, by way of making it be such a none-event, that viewers start wondering why an impeachment has even been called.

Right. Now am-Baghdadi was killed and the president is getting brown points, whereas the special forced pulled it off. Obama , to be sure was given credit credit for bin Laden, so the credit is given to the Commander in Chief.
But get the hoopla and the op-ego plays that are sponged out the sought after political advantage.
We discussed humility by the members of society, well what about our supposed leaders?
I remember the story with Joseph Stalin. He couldn’t write worth a bean, yet he hired professional writers to so the job, then had them killed so that the fraud would not leak

Here is how the Leader summarizes his victory :

A similar charade for hungry egos

Fox News

ISIS

Published October 27, 2019

Last Update 5 hrs ago

Trump says he kept details of ISIS operation from Pelosi to avoid leaks

By Ronn Blitzer | Fox News

President Trumpsaid Sunday morning that he did not tell House Speaker Nancy Pelosi about the U.S. military raid in Syria that resulted in the death of ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi because he was worried about leaks that could have compromised the mission.

Vice President Mike Pence said this was not an indication of a lack of trust.

When asked if he notified Pelosi beforehand, Trump said he did not because he did not want any members of the U.S. forces to die.

TRUMP DESCRIBES AL-BAGHDADI AS ‘WHIMPERING AND CRYING’ BEFORE DYING IN U.S. OPERATION: ‘HE DIED LIKE A COWARD’

“No, I didn’t. I didn’t do that. I wanted to make sure this kept secret,” Trump said. “I don’t want to have people lost.”

Pelosi issued a statement after al-Baghdadi’s death was announced, criticizing Trump for not informing leaders in Congress beforehand.

“The House must be briefed on this raid, which the Russians but not top Congressional Leadership were notified of in advance, and on the Administration’s overall strategy in the region,” Pelosi said. “Our military and allies deserve strong, smart and strategic leadership from Washington.”

Trump said that he did notify Russia beforehand that the U.S. would be active in the region, because Russia currently has a presence there. The president said he did not reveal the purpose of the mission.

Pence downplayed Trump’s decision to keep Pelosi in the dark in an appearance on “Fox News Sunday" immediately following Trump’s address. The vice president claimed that Trump did not mean to say he did not trust the House Speaker.

ISIS LEADER’S DEATH MARKS LATEST DEFEAT OF ONCE-POWERFUL GROUP

“I don’t think that was the implication at all,” Pence said. When pressed on the issue, the vice president said, “We maintain the tightest possible security here,” and focused on Trump’s goal, which was to bring al-Baghdadi to justice.

Before fielding the question about Pelosi, Trump had said that the only ones who knew about the operation beforehand “were the few people I dealt with.” He mentioned Pence, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, National Security Adviser Robert O’Brien, and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley as some of those with whom he worked.

Congressional sources from the Republican side told Fox News they were notified about the raid Saturday night, but it was unclear if this was before or after it took place.

Trump said he spoke about the operation with certain individuals like Sens. Richard Burr, R-N.C., and Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., Sunday morning, but that he did not tell any of them beforehand.

“We’ve notified some, others are being notified now as I speak,” Trump said. “We were going to notify them last night but we decided not to do that because Washington leaks like I’ve never seen befor

The president went on to call Washington, D.C. “a leaking machine, and said he decided “we will not notify them until our great people are out,” because “I don’t want to have them greeted with firepower like you wouldn’t believe.”

Trump touted the success of the operation, and how no members of the U.S. forces were killed, with just one military dog injured.

Fox News’ Chad Pergram contributed to this report.

. ©2019 FOX News Network, LLC. All rights reserved.

Another obstructive legal manipulation:

CONGRESS

Former Trump deputy national security adviser Kupperman a no-show for impeachment testimony

Kupperman on Friday filed a lawsuit asking a federal judge to rule on whether he must testify under a congressional subpoena.

The Capitol in Washington on Oct. 17, 2019.Brendan Smialowski / AFP - Getty Images file

SHARE THIS -

Oct. 28, 2019, 10:01 AM EDT

By Rebecca Shabad and Adam Edelman

WASHINGTON — Former deputy national security adviser Charles Kupperman will not appear for a scheduled deposition Monday before three House congressional committees involved in leading the impeachment inquiry against President Donald Trump, House Oversight Committee ranking member Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, said Monday.

The White House is trying to block his appearance, and Kupperman, who worked under former national security adviser John Bolton, filed a lawsuit Friday asking a federal judge to rule on whether he must testify under a congressional subpoena.

“He’s not coming today," Jordan said in brief remarks to reporters on Capitol Hill, adding that Kupperman will wait to testify until the judge rules on the subpoena.

Moments later, House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff, D-Calif., told reporters it was “deeply regrettable” that Kupperman was a “no-show.”

“He was compelled to appear with a lawful congressional subpoena,” Schiff said. “Witnesses like Dr. Kupperman need to do their duty and show up.”

Schiff said his refusal to appear “may warrant a contempt proceeding against him.”

Three Democratic committee chairmen wrote in a letter to Kupperman’s lawyer on Saturday that the ex-deputy national security adviser was simply trying to delay the deposition.

“Dr. Kupperman’s lawsuit — lacking in legal merit and apparently coordinated with the White House — is an obvious and desperate tactic by the President to delay and obstruct the lawful constitutional functions of Congress and conceal evidence about his conduct from the impeachment inquiry,” Schiff, Foreign Affairs Chairman Eliot Engel, D-N.Y., and Carolyn Maloney, D-N.Y., chairwoman of House Oversight and Reform Committee, wrote in the letter.

They wrote that if Kupperman doesn’t cooperate with the subpoena, it would give greater weight to the obstruction case against the president.

“In light of the direction from the White House, which lacks any valid legal basis, the Committees shall consider your client’s defiance of a congressional subpoena as additional evidence of the President’s obstruction of the House’s impeachment inquiry,” they wrote. “Such willful defiance of a duly authorized subpoena may cause the Committees to draw an adverse inference against the President, including that your client’s testimony would have corroborated other evidence gathered by the Committees showing that the President abused the power of his office by attempting to press another nation to assist his own personal political interests, and not the national interest.”

Kupperman, a longtime associate of Bolton, has emerged as a key witness in the impeachment inquiry. House investigators believe he has firsthand knowledge of Trump’s decisions regarding Ukraine.

Kupperman’s attorney responded late Saturday in a letter obtained by NBC News that said “it would not be appropriate for a private citizen like Dr. Kupperman to unilaterally resolve this momentous Constitutional dispute between the two political branches of our government.”

On Monday, Schiff said Kupperman’s delay signaled that “we can infer … that his testimony would be incriminating of the president.”

Rebecca Shabad

Rebecca Shabad is a congressional reporter for NBC News, based in Washington.

Adam Edelman

Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News.

IMPEACHMENT inquiry fallout:

POLITICO

Dear GOP, Some Scary Advice on How to Survive Your Impeachment Nightmare

Take it from the movies, denying reality is not going to slay the monster.

By CHARLES SYKES

10/29/2019 05:03 AM EDT

Charles Sykes is the editor-in-chief of the Bulwark.

To: Senate Republicans

By now it should have dawned on you that there is no escape. You are going to have to render a verdict not just on Donald’s Trump’s policies, but on his personal conduct. For just the third time in U.S. history, the Senate will hold a trial on the impeachment and removal of a president.

You’ll have to vote up or down and your decision will have consequences that will linger long past this election cycle. The situation is already grim.

“It feels like a horror movie,” one senator recently told the Washington Post.

But it is all about to get worse: the evidence, the venue and the president’s conduct. There may be more smoking guns, the trial will be televised, and based on the past few weeks, Trump is likely to be more unhinged than ever.

In honor of the season, I offer you some unsolicited Halloween-themed advice to help you navigate the coming nightmare. If you take this advice, you have a chance of saving your party. Ignore it, and, well, you’ve seen what happens in those horror movies, right?

  1. Don’t hide in the basement.

So far you and your fellow Republicans have been able to hide behind complaints about process and the claim that the impeachment probe is “illegitimate.” Your colleagues in the House actually stormed the secure hearing room in the basement of the Capitol and complained about the process even as a few dozen GOP lawmakers were inside being part of that process. It was juvenile and self-defeating. Sooner or later, you will have to confront the substance of case; and that is not likely to get any better.

You have to consider the possibility that there may be more transcripts, more tapes, more whistleblowers. The new evidence is not likely to be exculpatory, because the president’s conduct in pressuring foreign governments for dirt on the Bidens and obstructing justice has already been well documented.

The venue will also change. Republicans are complaining that the process has been secretive, but be careful what you wish for. The trial will be must-see television and not even Fox News will be able to keep much of the evidence from your constituents. Polls already suggest historically high support for the impeachment inquiry, and we have not even begun those public hearings. In short, pretending that the facts aren’t facts—that you’ll be safe behind your flimsy justification—is not going to help when everything is out in the open. Deal with it.

  1. To kill the monster requires confronting how you made him.

As you watch this reckless and unleashed presidency it may have occurred to you how much you have contributed to this moment. You have convinced Trump that he can take you for granted. The president has bullied and berated you and, again and again, you have rolled over. And it has made things only worse.

Trump’s instinct is to escalate both his tactics and his language. The cascade of stories in just the last week—Ukraine, Syria, the G-7 and Doral, the launching of a criminal probe against his own Department of Justice, his reference to critics as “human scum”—are a microcosm of his presidency and where we are going.

Between now and the beginning of the Senate trial, that behavior could become even more erratic and you will be forced to defend an ever-widening gyre of inanities, deceptions, abuses of power, episodes of self-dealing and other assorted outrages. Imagine six months of Giuliani butt-dials.

The first step to saving your life is to recognize what the monster feeds on. In this case, it’s your fear of standing up to him.

  1. You survive only if you fight back.

All the craziness might suggest that a policy of strategic silence is the best option. This includes not signing on to more resolutions like the one authored by Sen. Lindsey Graham condemning the House inquiry. Graham may be immune to humiliation and indifferent to history’s verdict, but you likely will not be.

You probably also think you can finesse this by finding a middle ground where you can acknowledge that the call to the Ukrainian president was inappropriate and Trump’s behavior questionable, but not impeachable.

But Trump may not let you. The president and his loudest supporters continue to insist that (a) the phone call with the Ukrainian president was “perfect,” (b) there was no quid pro quo, and (c) even if there was one, it was completely appropriate. Indeed, on Monday he urged to stop focusing on process and defend the merits of his actions. “I’d rather go into the details of the case rather than process. … Process is good, but I think you ought to look at the case.”

The problem is that “the genius of our great president” demands total fealty. He will insist that acquittal be considered total exoneration, and he intends you to be a part of the whitewash. He wants you to embrace and ratify his conduct; and if you do, you will own it.

  1. The sequel is often scarier than the original.

You need to consider the full implications of the precedent you will be setting if you vote to acquit the president. Imagine a second Trump term beyond the reach of credible constitutional accountability. Consider what that would mean for our political culture, constitutional norms and the future of your party.

“The boundaries of acceptable presidential behavior are defined by which actions the political system tolerates or condemns,” writes Lawfare’s Benjamin Wittes.

We are already “perilously close to the point at which there may no longer be a national consensus that there’s anything constitutionally problematic about using governmental powers to advance one’s own pecuniary and electoral interests.”

Writes Wittes: “If a substantial group of members of Congress signals not merely that the president’s conduct does not warrant impeachment and removal but also that it does not even warrant branding as intolerable, such conduct will become normalized—at a great cost to previously unquestioned first principles of constitutional governance—even if the House impeaches Trump.”

This is why you should pay more attention to the Federalist Papers than Fox News.

On Fox News, the impeachment proceedings will be characterized as a “coup,” or an attempt to “overturn an election.” But they are neither.

  1. Your ultimate weapon is always within reach.

Alexander Hamilton clearly envisioned impeachment as a constitutional check on “the misconduct of public men, or, in other words, from the abuse or violation of some public trust.” He understood that impeachment proceedings were, by their nature, political, “as they relate chiefly to injuries done immediately to the society itself.” He also had no illusions about how divisive the process would be, noting that impeachment “will seldom fail to agitate the passions of the whole community,” and that “in such cases there will always be the gravest danger that the decision will be regulated more by the comparative strength of parties, than by the real demonstrations of innocence or guilt.”

But the founders reposed their confidence in you; or rather in what they thought the Senate would be. “Where else than in the Senate could have been found a tribunal sufficiently dignified, or sufficiently independent?” What other body, asked Hamilton, would feel confident enough “to preserve, unawed and uninfluenced, the necessary impartiality,” between the accused “and the REPRESENTATIVES OF THE PEOPLE, HIS ACCUSERS?” (Emphasis Hamilton’s.)

There’s a good reason to listen to Hamilton here—for the sake of the GOP.

Consider this: What if, instead of breaking with Richard Nixon in 1974, Republicans had stuck with him, deciding that Nixon’s impeachment was a test of tribal loyalty? What would the consequences have been if they had voted to acquit him on charges of obstructing justice, lying to the public, contempt of Congress and abuse of power? Specifically, what would it have meant for the Republican Party had it embraced the defense of Nixon’s corruption? If it had been less Barry Goldwater and more Lindsey Graham?

We know what actually happened. Even after abandoning Nixon, the GOP was punished in 1974 and 1976, but it was able to otherwise wipe the stink off relatively quickly, winning back the presidency in 1980 and holding it for 12 years.

But what if the party had gone all Watergate-is-no-big-deal? If it had, it’s unlikely that Ronald Reagan would even have been elected, because the GOP would have been haunted by Nixon for a generation.

In your idle moments, you have perhaps wondered what your legacy will be. Here’s the answer; history will remember what you do over the next few months.

Short term, breaking with Trump will spark a nasty blowback. But imagine for a moment a post-Trumpian Republican Party freed from the baggage of Trumpist corruption. The choice is between a party inextricably tied to Trump, with all of his crudity, dishonesty, lawlessness and arrogance, and a party that has shown that it is capable of being a principled defender of constitutional norms.

At the end of this process, the simple narrative is likely to be that the president has abused his power, broken the law and sold out his country. You have an opportunity to hold him accountable by doing your constitutional duty. History will want to know whether you got scared and shirked it.

© 2019 POLITICO LLC

Trump impeachment inquiry

Trump attacks long line of career national security experts and diplomats3:08

The latest on the Trump impeachment inquiry

By Meg Wagner, Veronica Rocha and Sheena McKenzie, CNN

Updated 6:34 p.m. ET, October 30, 201

NOW: Two State Department officials who worked for Ukraine diplomat Kurt Volker — Catherine Croft and Christopher Anderson — are testifying before lawmakers today.

Congressional votes: The House Rules Committee is expected to vote today on a resolution that will formalize the procedures of the impeachment inquiry into President Trump. The full House will vote tomorrow.

15 min ago

White House press secretary criticizes the testimony of top Ukraine expert

From CNN’s Pamela Brown

White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham Credit: Alex Wong/Getty Images

White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham has raised concerns over the testimony Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman gave yesterday in the impeachment inquiry.

Vindman was the first witness to offer testimony in the inquiry who listened to the July 25 phone call between President Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Vindman toldlawmakers that he tried to make changes to the White House’s rough transcript of the July phone call, including that Trump mentioned tapes of former Vice President Joe Biden, according to a source familiar with the matter.

Grisham challenged Vindman today, saying the President “released a full and accurate transcript of his call with President Zelensky so the American people could see he acted completely appropriately and did nothing wrong.”

“The media is reporting that Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman claims he proposed filling in words that were missing in areas where ellipses were shown in the transcript – this is false,” Grisham said in a statement. “Because Chairman Schiff has kept his sham hearings secret and has excluded the President’s counsel from the room, we cannot confirm whether or not Lt. Col. Vindman himself made any such false claim. What we can confirm is that he never suggested filling in any words at any points where ellipses appear in the transcript.”

11 min ago

Rep. Adam Schiff: “We certainly hope” John Bolton will cooperate and testify

From CNN’s Jeremy Herb

Rep. Adam Schiff arrives for depositions in the House impeachment inquiry on Oct. 30 in Washington, DC. Samuel Corum/Getty Images

Rep. Adam Schiff, the chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, said that he hopes John Bolton will cooperate and testify before his committee.

Schiff wouldn’t say whether he would issue a subpoena should Bolton, President Trump’s former national security adviser, not voluntarily appear for his deposition.

“We certainly hope that he will cooperate. He obviously has very relevant evidence to provide,” Schiff said.

According to a source familiar, Bolton was invited to appear next week on Nov. 7. They have also invited John Eisenberg and Michael Ellis to testify on Monday, the source said.

45 min ago

Gen. Joseph Dunford calls the White House’s top Ukraine expert a “loyal officer”

From CNN’s Barbara Starr

State Department

Gen. Joseph Dunford, the retired chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has called Lt. Col Alexander Vindman a “professional, competent, patriotic, and loyal officer” following criticism the top White House Ukraine expert has received following his testimony yesterday in the impeachment inquiry.

Dunford added that he came into regular contact with Vindman while he was on the joint staff.

“He is a professional, competent, patriotic, and loyal officer. He has made an extraordinary contribution to the security of our nation in both peacetime and combat,” Dunford told CNN.

Why this matters: Dunford’s comments come after Republicans criticized Vindman this week. On Tuesday, former GOP Rep. Sean Duffy said about Vindman: “It seems very clear that he is incredibly concerned about Ukrainian defense.” Trump also claimed, without evidence, that the White House’s top Ukraine expert is a “Never Trumper.” Trump repeated this unfounded claim this morning on Twitter.

Vindman served multiple overseas tours as a US infantry officer, including a deployment to Iraq where he received a Purple Heart after being wounded in an IED attack. He has served in Trump’s National Security Council since 2018.

25 min ago

White House official set to testify Thursday is stepping down soon

From CNN’s Kylie Atwood

Tim Morrison, the top White House official on President Trump’s National Security Council for Europe, will be leaving his job soon, according to a source familiar with his move.

The news comes on the eve of Morrison’s testimony behind closed doors as part of the House impeachment inquiry. The departure, however, was Morrison’s decision and it has been “planned for some time,” the source added.

Morrison was recruited to join the NSC by former national security adviser John Bolton, and his departure has been expected since Bolton was fired in September. A number of Bolton’s other allies at the NSC left around the time that he did.

Morrison is still finalizing his date for departure but the source said that he will still be a current White House official when he testifies tomorrow.

“After more than a year of service at the National Security Council, Mr. Morrison has decided to pursue other opportunities — and has been considering doing so for some time. We wish him well,” a senior administration official said.

About Morrison: He has been at the NSC for about 15 months. He was initially the senior director of Weapons of Mass Destruction and Biodefense and over the summer he took over the Europe job.

CNN’s Kevin Liptak contributed to this report.

1 hr 33 min ago

Republicans on House Rules Committee offer up amendments to impeachment resolution

From CNN’s Haley Byrd

Republicans on the House Rules Committee are offering up close to 20 amendments to the Democrats’ impeachment inquiry resolution, an aide familiar tells CNN.

So far the committee has debated six GOP amendments and all have gone down along party line votes.

The committee is on a break for House floor votes, but expect to take up the remaining amendments later this evening.

A look at some of the amendments: The first amendment Republicans offered up came from Georgia Republican Rob Woodall. The amendment would get rid of the parts of the resolution dealing with the House Intelligence Committee and leave the procedures concerning the House Judiciary Committee intact.

Woodall seemed to argue that the resolution should require the intelligence committee to hold only public hearings and no more private depositions. But there was confusion among members in the room about why he is seeking to get rid of everything related to the intel committee, especially the procedures for releasing deposition transcripts and holding public hearings.

The amendment failed on a party line vote, 4-9.

Rep. Debbie Lesko introduced an amendment to allow the top Republican on the House Intelligence Committee to issue subpoenas to the same number of witnesses that the Democratic chairman subpoenas — and without consent from the Democratic chair of the committee.

In the Democratic resolution, Republicans would be able to subpoena witnesses only if Schiff agrees to it or if a majority of the committee approves it.

That amendment also failed on a party line vote.

1 hr 43 min ago

Podcast: State Department officials describe Rudy Giuliani’s shadow diplomacy

In the latest episode of “The Daily DC: Impeachment Watch” podcast, CNN’s Marshall Cohen looks at:

The testimony of two State Department officials who worked for Ukraine diplomat Kurt Volker

The fallout from top White House Ukraine expert Alexander Vindman’s testimony

Whether Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will testify in the inquiry

What it’s like to be a whistleblower

Cohen is joined today by Kylie Atwood, CNN’s national security reporter, and retired Rear Admiral John Kirby, a CNN military and diplomatic analyst.

Yahtzee lovers can’t stop playing this gameDownload Yahtzee® with Buddies

1 hr 47 min ago

Sen. Lindsey Graham on invitation for Bolton to testify: “I don’t know what kind of problems that creates”

From CNN’s Lauren Fox and Ali Zaslav

Sen. Lindsey Graham was asked by reporters today about Democratic House impeachment investigators inviting former national security adviser John Bolton to testify behind closed doors next week.

Here’s what Graham said:

“I don’t know if you want to start calling President’s national security advisers about national security advice. I don’t know what kind of problems that creates for the office, but I’ll leave it up to them."

About the invitation: According to a source familiar, Bolton was invited to appear next week on Nov. 7. They have also invited John Eisenberg and Michael Ellis to testify on Monday, the source said.

2 hr 40 min ago

White House official testified he was convinced Ukraine aid became part of Trump’s demand for Biden investigations

From CNN’s Jake Tapper

Top White House Ukraine expert Alexander Vindman told congressional investigators he was convinced President Trump was personally blocking $400 million in military aid to Ukraine to force that country to publicly announce an investigation into Joe Biden and his family, two sources present at the deposition told CNN.

Vindman, a decorated Army officer, on Tuesday testified that he was convinced that a quid pro quo existed by July 10, which was before Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in a phone call that is now at the heart of the House’s impeachment inquiry. Trump has repeatedly said he did nothing improper on the call and has cited it as the sole reason for the impeachment inquiry.

The sources at the deposition said Vindman believed the existence of a quid pro quo was clear during a July 10 meeting between American and Ukrainian officials. In his opening statement, Vindman wrote that date is when US Ambassador to the European Union Gordon Sondland told Ukrainian government officials that they would need to deliver “specific investigations in order to secure the meeting” with Trump that they so desired.

In a separate meeting of US officials immediately afterward, “Sondland emphasized the importance that Ukraine deliver the investigations into the 2016 election, the Bidens, and Burisma,” Vindman testified.

But the fact that the $400 million in aid, including desperately needed military assistance, was also being used by the President didn’t become clear until the next month, Vindman testified

2 hr 36 min ago

House investigators invite John Bolton to testify

From CNN’s Jeremy Herb and Manu Raju

Alex Wong/Getty Images

House impeachment investigators have invited John Bolton to appear next week on Nov. 7, according to a source familiar.

Bolton is Trump’s former national security adviser. The President fired him in September.

They have also invited John Eisenberg and Michael Ellis to testify on Monday, the source said.

A House Intelligence spokesman declined to comment.

When asked about a subpoena for Bolton to testify in impeachment probe, House Foreign Affairs Chairman Eliot Engel said: “We hadn’t done that yet. It’s something that we would consider."

“I’ve always found him to be very straightforward and honest about what he believes," Engel added.

He also said he doesn’t know if next week is the final week of depositions but added: “We are getting close”

GO DEEPER

House committee unveils impeachment resolution text

By Jeremy Herb, CNN

Alexander Vindman: White House’s top Ukraine expert testifying in impeachment probe is decorated Iraq War veteran

By Devan Cole, CNN

Shouting match erupts in Vindman deposition as Democrats accuse Republicans of trying to out whistleblower

By Manu Raju, Jeremy Herb, Lauren Fox and Phil Mattingly, CNN

Mitch McConnell’s extraordinary efforts to say nothing at all

By Ted Barrett, CNN

State Department Ukraine experts next up in impeachment inquiry

By Jennifer Hansler and Kylie Atwood, C

© 2019 Cable News Network.Turner Broadcasting System, Inc.All Rights Reserved.CNN Sans ™ & © 2016 Cable News Network.

Impeacment resolution passed by house along party lines.

Now, it will become a political battle cry toward the next election.
Where is the beef, the pork and the swamp?

Will it be contained domestically or, will effects be felt internationally, with myriad interpretive consequences?

DC reactions of potential witness actions to prevent testifying

Pelosi: I don’t know why GOP is afraid of the truth2:08

What we’re covering here

The latest: The House passed a resolutionformalizing the procedures of the impeachment inquiry into President Trump.

Key testimony: Tim Morrison, top White House official on Trump’s National Security Council for Europe, testified on Capitol Hill today. He told lawmakers that he was concerned the July 25 call transcriptbetween Trump and the Ukrainian president would leak, according to multiple sources.

Sign up for CNN’s Impeachment Watch newsletter here.

House lawyer argues impeachment witness’ lawsuit is attempt to delay inquiry

From CNN’s Katelyn Polantz

In the legal fight over impeachment witness Charles Kupperman’s testimony, a major question will be whether he can even sue, and whether the court has a role to play in this case.

A lawyer for the House of Representatives told the judge today this isn’t a legitimate case.

Kupperman’s attorney Chuck Cooper noted that the Justice Department has been arguing in another hearing today that federal judges should stay out of witness subpoena fights. A lawyer for the Justice Department, representing President Trump in this lawsuit, didn’t show her side’s cards.

Cooper, speaking for Kupperman, said he believed the court should take this case. But he said he wouldn’t side with the White House’s immunity assertion or the House subpoena, when the case got to that point.

“We have no dog in the merits fight, your honor,” Cooper said.

Todd Tatelman, a lawyer for the House, called Kupperman’s lawsuit one that “serves no other purpose than to attempt to delay” the House’s inquiries.

The judge responded by saying the lawsuit may potentially be more efficient, compared to holding Kupperman, Trump’s former deputy national security adviser, in contempt of Congress, then pushing his abstention into court.

Attorney won’t say if John Bolton will file a lawsuit if subpoenaed by House

From CNN’s Katelyn Polantz

The attorney for Charles Kupperman, who served until last month as deputy national security adviser at the White House, and President Trump’s former national security adviser John Bolton wouldn’t say in court today whether Bolton will file a lawsuit asking the courts to decide what he should do if he’s subpoenaed by the House.

Kupperman filed a lawsuit last week after he was subpoenaed by the House committee to testify. The White House told him he was immune from testifying and should not appear this past Monday. Bolton is scheduled for a deposition in the House next Thursday.

Judge Richard Leon addressed Bolton’s scheduled testimony and asked Kupperman’s attorney if the issues for the former national security advisor would be the same.

Bolton’s attorney Chuck Cooper didn’t give a straight answer on his plan, and instead kept open the possibility he could also file a lawsuit for Bolton.

NSC official is done testifying on Capitol Hill

Tim Morrison, the top Russia and Europe adviser on President Trump’s National Security Council, has just wrapped up his testimony before House impeachment investigators.

About his deposition: Morrison toldlawmakers that he was concerned the July 25 call transcript between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky would leak and could have negative ramifications, according to multiple sources. But he made clear he saw nothing wrong with the July call, saying he was “not concerned” that “anything illegal” was discussed, according to one source.

About the deposition: Morrison also told lawmakers that he was concerned the July 25 call transcript between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky would leak and could have negative ramifications, according to multiple sources. But he made clear he saw nothing wrong with the July call, saying he was “not concerned” that “anything illegal” was discussed, according to one source.Morrison was involved with discussions after the call about how to handle the transcript, the sources said. Ultimately, the call transcript was filed in a highly classified system, a decision that’s among the issues Democrats are seeking answers about in their impeachment investigation into Trump and Ukraine.

Legal fight over key impeachment witness’ testimony won’t be resolved by court anytime soon

From CNN’s Katelyn Polantz

The issue over whether witness Charles Kupperman must testify in the impeachment inquiry won’t be resolved soon.

US District Court Judge Richard Leon told the Justice Department, the House of Representatives and Kupperman that he will hear arguments on Dec. 10 on whether Kupperman needs to testify.

That means Kupperman’s testimony and potentially the testimony of his former boss John Bolton may not be resolved until then or later.

What we know: Kupperman, who served until last month as deputy national security adviser at the White House, was listening in on the July 25 phone call when, according to a White House transcript, Trump pressed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to investigate former Vice President Joe Biden.

The House has subpoenaed Kupperman but the White House blocked him from testifying on Monday, claiming absolute immunity for White House officials in the impeachment probe.

More details on Ukraine emerge in testimony from NSC official

From CNN’s Manu Raju and Jeremy Herb

The opening statement from Tim Morrison, the top Russia and Europe adviser on President Trump’s National Security Council, includes passages addressing Ukraine in the ongoing impeachment inquiry.

Part of the statement mentions Bill Taylor, the top US diplomat in Ukraine, who testified that he had been told President Trump would withhold military aid to the country until it publicly declared investigations would be launched that could help his reelection chances — including into former Vice President Joe Biden, according to a copy of Taylor’s opening statement obtained by CNN.

Taylor said he was told that “everything” Ukraine wanted — from a one-on-one meeting between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to hundreds of millions in security aid — was dependent on publicly announcing an investigation that included Burisma, the company that hired Biden’s son Hunter, and Ukraine’s alleged involvement in the 2016 election.

Morrison’s statement also mentions US Ambassador to the European Union Gordon Sondland. Taylor testified that Sondlandtold him he’d made a mistake by telling the Ukrainian officials that a White House meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky “was dependent on a public announcement of the investigations.”

“I have no reason to believe the Ukrainians had any knowledge of the review until August 28, 2019," Morrison said in his opening statement today per a source. "Ambassador Taylor and I had no reason to believe that the release of the security sector assistance might be conditioned on a public statement reopening the Burisma investigation until my September 1, 2019 conversation with Ambassador Sondland. Even then I hoped that Ambassador Sondland’s strategy was exclusively his own and would not be considered by leaders in the administration and Congress, who understood the strategic importance of Ukraine to our national security.”

More from Morrison’s testimony today:Morrison made clear he saw nothing wrong with the July call between Trump and Zelensky, saying he was “not concerned” that “anything illegal” was discussed. He wasn’t concerned that Trump asked Zelensky about “a favor,” the source said.

Morrison’s concern, CNN reported today, was about potential leaks of the transcript. He was concerned about how the leaked transcript would play out in a “polarized environment” in Washington, how it would impact bipartisan support for Ukraine in Congress and how it would impact the Ukrainian’s perception of the US.

Mitch McConnell has broad discretion to determine how a vote will take place during the Senate trial

From CNN legal analyst Elie Hon Im

If the Senate holds an impeachment trial, do the senators have to publicly hold a vote on whether the President is guilty? Can the vote be held in private?

Article I of the Constitution broadly grants the Senate “sole power to try all impeachments” and provides that “no person shall be convicted without the concurrence of two-thirds of the members present.” But the Constitution does not specify the manner in which the Senate must take that vote.

In the absence of any specific Constitutional direction, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell will have broad discretion to determine how a vote will take place at the end of a Senate trial. He may feel that if the vote is held in private, senators from both parties will be more likely to vote their true conscience and to break from party lines.

But both precedent and politics favor an open, public vote. In terms of precedent, the Senate impeachment trials of Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton both concluded with open, public votes. And politically, it likely will be difficult for McConnell and other senators to justify anything but open, transparent, senator-by-senator voting. Impeachment and conviction are too important for senators to hide behind the cloak of anonymity.

Judge suggests federal courts have role to play in dispute between House and White House

US District Court Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson suggested today federal courts have a role to play in the ongoing fights between the House and the White House during impeachment proceedings.

The ongoing hearing over whether former White House counsel Don McGahn must testify in the impeachment inquiry has dug into core questions about the checks and balances that underpin the American government. It comes on a day the House approved a resolution to formalize the procedures of the impeachment inquiry into President Trump.

Some courts in the past have attempted to stay out of fights between the other two branches of government and a Justice Department attorney argued today that the judge should follow that model. But Jackson said she believed courts could referee these disputes.

“I thought that the court’s role in this constitutional scheme of balances, checks and balances and separation of powers, was to decide what the law is,” she said today.

In another exchange, DOJ attorney James Burnham argued: “The branches can’t sue each other.”

But Jackson cut him off, saying, “Doesn’t mean it can’t be done!”

In the latest episode of “The Daily DC: Impeachment Watch” podcast, CNN legal analyst Elie Honig covers:

Voting on the impeachment resolution. Today, the House approved a resolution to formalize the procedures of the impeachment inquiry.

Timothy Morrison’s testimony. Morrison is the top White House official on President Trump’s National Security Council for Europe.

Two court proceedings today.The cases could impact the status of key witnesses, including Trump’s former national security adviser John Bolton.

Honig is joined today by CNN political correspondent Abby Phillip and CNN crime and justice reporter Katelyn Polantz.

Republican senators talked about impeachment during their White House visit

From CNN’s Ted Barrett and Ali Zaslav

Republican senators met with President Trump today at the White House to talk about a variety of issues, including impeachment, according to Sen. Josh Hawley.

Hawley, a Republican from Missouri, said that Trump told the senators the meeting was designed to talk to folks and hear what’s on people’s minds. He said Trump was in a jovial mood and that they all ate chicken for lunch in the Roosevelt Room.

“We discussed a variety of topics, including impeachment. He didn’t say anything he didn’t say in public,” Hawley said.

The subject of needing Republicans to better to defend him didn’t come up.

Sens. John Cornyn, Roger Wicker, John Barrasso, Rick Scott, Masha Blackburn and Tom Cotton, along with Hawley, attended the meeting.

Trump mentioned the Democrats in the House who voted against the impeachment resolution. He said repeatedly, “read the transcripts” and said he was glad he released the transcripts.

Trump gave a brief status report on Syria and discussed the US raid of ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi’s compound, but nothing he hasn’t said publicly.

GOP senators warn quick dismissal of impeachment trial would be bad for everyone

By Ted Barrett and Lauren Fox, CNN

National Security Council staffers uneasy, fear Trump backlash

By Kevin Liptak, Kaitlan Collins and Zachary Cohen, CNN

Diplomats say they’re in a ‘strange parallel universe’ amid impeachment probe

By Nicole Gaouette, CNN

House to take first vote related to Trump impeachment inquiry

By Clare Foran, Jeremy Herb and Alex Rogers, CNN

Impeachment investigators invite John Bolton to testify

By Jeremy Herb, Manu Raju and Kevin Liptak, CNN

One of the seven remaining Democratic impeachment holdouts announces support for inquiry resolution

By Paul LeBlanc,

© 2019 Cable News Network.Turner Broadcasting System, Inc.All Rights Reserved.CNN Sans ™ & © 2016 Cable News Network.

Here is Trump’s dismissive tweet of the impeachment issues going on today in Washington:

“Republicans are very unified and energized in our fight on the Impeachment Hoax with the Do Nothing Democrats, and now are starting to go after the Substance even more than the very unfair Process…”

Rather then the Clinton and Nixon impeachments, which harbored denial, this combativeness and defiance is unprecedent reactions to what has come to a major fissure in government trust. Is no longer the personality of the president that is under attack, but the nearly total institutionalization of approbation of power that reflects current conflict.
Rather then unification, it is the strategy of divide and conquer which appears to be front and center.

Very basic logistics so far, the Executive branch arguing that the inquiry was defective in the first place because of lack of transparency, and openness, impeding the procedure of credible rule formation.

The House Democrats, viewed this as devoid of substance, and using procedure to invite the idea of a definition of a divided House, played on the idea to only defame the House, enabling a run on the Senate’s verdict, and look for a lot of hype here, to make Trump’s antics look like candy compared to what they deemed as procedural cover-alls.

A house divided, can be implicated as a weakened one, and one which can be argued,diminish the it as the last bastion of ‘Democracy’.

The Justice Dept, and the various Departments, have been interpreted as doing the edicts of the Executive Branch, bringing in the Constitutional urgency of the checks and balances to impress the need to negate the emergence of an autocrat or a dictator.( The impression of popular belief is enough to create an autocrat)

The arguments set forth by the Republicans , of violation of due process, was contraindicated by the executive annihilating all attempts to cooperate with fact finding by the various various commitees.

The balance appeared , at least to this observer, (in reference to relative political understanding), to settle down , pretty much to the middle, procedure that would be clarified in the next stage of the investigation

Philosophically, the Putin-Trump nexus may have been subtly redacted, in some sort of coherence , not merely for mere political gain by Trump, but underlying security issues not disclosed , so as not to impede the election of 2020 one way or the other.

Now, there may be more to this then meets the eye, and within the bounds of popular understanding, of the cigniscience of dialectical materialism, NEGATION, or arguing on the basis of exclusion, or exculpability, -a model of procedure, may imply a missing epoche or reductibility, on some National Security issues, whereby creating controversy about internationally ambiguous relationships. That , including Syria, Russia and the US.

My feeling is, that beneath the veneer of nationalistic repressions, the contrary exists:toward which there is another way to proceed. With the NWO, in other words , the internal malfeasance with which the Dems are charged with, reside in the greater problem of the credibility problem based on Trump’s actions. This is exactly what was charged , by Shift, when he struck back saying that all this obaession with procedure, the focus of Trump’s behavior is ommitted.
The lack of in clarity , coincides with the arguments for setting a non reductive formation of rules, which is Congress’s prejorative right to begin with.

That may be the cover and the hidden aspect of the rationale.

The failed USSR Marxian heretics, may have immense structural depths, and the critical balance between the conflicting objectives for social welfare aimed goods, which may be covered by levels of “freedom” that have no culpability. 50 some years of dialectics, ingrained in Communist soxial programs, mirror the capitalist/social inequality within the US, andnl threaten the delicate balance that isn’t he primal progenitor of the NWO.

Some thing had to give, to assure that a nominal sentiment of social injustice will not impede on the reality of the danger of mutual destruction by strategic weapons.

The reductibility of the assertion that clarity and transparencen were missing in the initial phase of the investigation, may cover a far deeper cave of accessibility of non available information.
That Thomas Paine, Jefferson, Hamilton , all felt for the necessity of checks and balances of political powers, may , or could not foresee the real strength of popular sentiment, nor of the problem with separation of them, which Democratic Processes could not control in terms of dialectical materialism, sinking the existential process toward the eidectics of pure phenomenologically reduction toward Heglelian dialectical necessity.This could not been forseen
in the early jubilant days of Allied cooperation. It took a mere ten years for it to sink in , that ideological distinctions have not been sufficiently worked out.

The results are therefore to be expected to proceed toward the popular notion of executive strategy of hanky lanky, as usual, for polititical gain, and borderline skirmishes may cease to be justified by exclusive references to executive, narcissistic

quirk.
The problem with modeling such borderline particulars/peculiarities, is that real apprehension and effects of inter-national violence may escalate,
beyond the scope of reducible content, to basic personal psychological content.

I think parties on both sides of the isle look for unification, and probably understand how important it is to carry on with this greatest show on earth.

This is how Fox News reacts to impeachment go ahead. How credible is it?
The political overture of the whole debacle is appearent, as a battle cry for Trump’s election.
The point is , to whittle down the imbroglio as another unimportant political maneuver to secure Trump’s reelection.
Confusion reins at the highest levels!
But oh so clever.
I believe the layers are peeling off to reveal what are the underlying factors, but whatcha the coming of more reactions, and cakks for immunity on basis of National Security.

OPINION

Published November 01, 2019

David Bossie: Trump impeachment vote is Democratic declaration of war – Republicans must declare war on Dems

By David N. Bossie | Fox News

Continue Reading Below

With House passage Thursday of a resolution formalizing their blatantly partisan impeachment witch hunt against President Trump, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her fellow crazed radical Democrats have declared war on the duly elected president of the United States. Now it’s time for Republicans to draw up their own declaration of war against Democrats.

The Democrats – who didn’t pick up a single Republican vote for their baseless resolution to move forward with a kangaroo court masquerading as public impeachment hearings – are choosing to tear apart the country we all love because they are consumed by their burning hatred for President Trump.

This charade isn’t about anything President Trump has done wrong, because he hasn’t done anything to warrant impeachment. Instead, the Democrats are improperly using the impeachment process to weaken public support for the president in an effort to defeat him in the 2020 presidential election.

REP. COLLINS: DEMOCRATS ‘SHREDDED OUR PROCEDURES AND SHREDDED OUR RULES AND LIED TO THE AMERICAN PEOPLE’

The American people must hold the Democrats accountable for their abuse of power. As the Democrats well know, they have no valid grounds for impeachment.

RNC Chair McDaniel: Democrats’ impeachment vote is baseless political vendetta – Trump did nothing wrong

Liz Harrington: Democrats holding Soviet-style show trial to overthrow Trump – not an impeachment inquiry

Twenty-nine of the 31 House Democrats who represent districts that Trump won in the 2016 election voted in favor of Thursday’s deep state coup authorization – and they’re all going to suffer at the polls a year from now because of it.

The lack of judgment on display by the desperate Democrats – who fear that Trump’s enormous achievements in office will ensure his reelection – is stunning.

The Democrats are ignoring headlinessuch as “Polls show support for impeachment weaker in key battleground states.” This is a recipe for a Democratic disaster in the 2020 elections.

But driven by Trump Derangement Syndrome, Democrats are determined to pursue impeachment regardless of the harm it causes to our nation and to their own party.

If Democrats want to investigate phone calls, President Trump should release transcripts of calls by former President Barack Obama and former Vice President Biden with world leaders from countries such as Russia, Ukraine and Iran.

The sad truth is that the impeachment resolution approved Thursday isn’t worth the paper it’s been printed on. There is a zero percent chance the Democrats will abide by anything written in what amounts to a non-binding piece of trash. It’s a complete smokescreen designed to mislead the American people.

Pelosi, fellow California Democrat and House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff and their Democratic co-conspirators in their attempted coup are going to do whatever they want, however they want, because they think the rules don’t apply to them.

After all, who’s going to call them out for their misdeeds – their partisan allies at the fake and corrupt New York Times and Washington Post? Come on.

Let’s face it: unhinged radical Democratic Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, Rashida Tlaib of Michigan and Ilhan Omar of Minnesota are calling the shots on behalf of a mob of anti-Trump socialists who have seized control of the Democratic Party.

Sadly, the biased mainstream media are willing accomplices in this anti-Trump hysteria. The Fourth Estate will never recover from this epic failure of duty.

Democrats are hyperventilating over a routine 30-minute phone call between President Trump and the president of Ukraine. Rants about President Trump abusing his power and jeopardizing national security are a clever cover story for what this charade truly is – an attempt to substitute the judgment of Democratic politicians for the votes of the American people.

The vote by House Democrats to move forward on their impeachment crusade proved that the allegations being thrown around against President Trump are flimsy at best.

There was no criminal wrongdoing or high crime or misdemeanor committed by President Trump. Just ask former senior National Security Council official Tim Morrison, who was on the call between President Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in July.

Morrison testified in Chairman Schiff’s secret dungeon Thursday that President Trump and President Zelensky discussed nothing illegal and that the transcript of the call is accurate. But answers like this done fit Schiff’s phony narrative.

Former Vice President Joe Biden may turn out to be President Trump’s opponent in the 2020 general election and there are plenty of very legitimate questions about how Biden’s son Hunter earned enormous amounts of money doing business with foreign nations while Biden was vice president.

If Biden were a Republican, you can bet dozens of reporters would be working full-time to get to the truth about this scandal, looking to win the Pulitzer Prize. But because he is a Democrat, the anti-Trump media is giving Joe Biden and his son a free pass. They are swallowing the unbelievable claim that Hunter was paid $50,000 or more per month to serve on the board of a Ukrainian natural gas company even though he had no expertise in natural gas or Ukraine.

The reason Schiff’s fake whistleblower hasn’t testified yet is because he doesn’t pass the smell test. This individual is an anti-Trump political operative, not a whistleblower.

If Schiff won’t call the whistleblower and the other deep state co-conspirators in to testify, Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., must. There’s no time to wait for Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz to testify about his report – Graham must get in the fight now.

If Democrats want to investigate phone calls, President Trump should release transcripts of calls by former President Barack Obama and former Vice President Biden with world leaders from countries such as Russia, Ukraine and Iran.

The American people should get to read the transcript of the call just before Obama sent pallets of cash totaling $400 million to the America-hating mullahs in Iran.

Now Senate Republicans need to lock arms and push back against this madness. These are not normal times. The Democratic Party is throwing historical precedent, due process and congressional decorum out the window.

This is not the Nixon impeachment of 1974 or the Clinton impeachment of 1998, where there was actual criminal wrongdoing. This is a political coup attempt against President Trump and his 63 million voters because Democrats fear they can’t defeat him at the ballot box.

Senators must face the realization that ducking questions now because they might be a juror in a Senate impeachment trial won’t cut the mustard. The Democrats are making a mockery of our system of government and the Constitution and they must be confronted head-on.

The Democrats are at war with President Trump. Every single Republican at every level of government must now unite and put their battle gear on. It’s time to put this coup attempt down.

David N. Bossie is president of Citizens United, a Fox News contributor, the 2016 deputy campaign manager for Donald Trump for President, and the former chief investigator for the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Government Reform and Oversight during the Clinton administration. He is the co-author of “Let Trump Be Trump” and “Trump’s Enemies.”

U.S.

Fox News

Two guesses why Trump moved to Florida

Opinion by Edward J. McCaffery

Updated 4:19 PM EDT, Fri November 01, 2019

Editor’s Note: (Edward J. McCaffery is Robert C. Packard trustee chair in law and a professor of law, economics and political science at the University of Southern California. He is the author of “Fair Not Flat: How to Make the Tax System Better and Simpler” and founder of the People’s Tax Page. The opinions expressed in this commentary are his own. View more opinionat CNN.)

(CNN)Donald Trump has changed his official residence from New York, where it has been all his life, to Florida. As the New York Times reports, the White House, and Trump’s Twitter feed, have suggested that taxes have something to do with this move.

At first glance, this makes sense. Florida has no state level income or estate tax, so wealthy New Yorkers have been packing their bags and heading there for years. (This fact presents a cautionary tale for those, like presidential candidates Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, who tout a brand new wealth tax on the rich to pay for a great many things: people do indeed move to escape paying taxes.)

Then there is also the matter of the 2017 Trump tax cuts, which targeted blue states, such as New York and California, by limiting the value of state and local tax deductions under federal law. Maybe Trump finally figured out that this was bad for New Yorkers such as he.

But there is a puzzle in these easy explanations for Trump’s Florida move, as there typically is with all things Trump. As has been widely reported – and as Trump himself likes to brag about – the President does not pay many, if any, taxes, at any level. Governor Andrew Cuomo of New York put it succinctly: “Good riddance. It’s not like Mr. Trump paid taxes here anyway. He’s all yours, Florida,” per the Times story.

Still, in a tweet defending his change of address, the President asserted that “I have been treated very badly by the political leaders of both the city and state. Few have been treated worse.”

What’s going on?

Trump’s legal move to Florida may indeed be about taxes, as Trump himself suggests, but just not about paying taxes, which Trump doesn’t do. Instead, the move seems inspired by attempts to disclose Trump’s taxes, which the President also very much does not like to do.

New York has been aggressive on the front of trying to shed light on Trump’s taxes: The state legislature passed a law facilitating Congress’s access to Trump’s state-level returns, and the Manhattan district attorney, Cy Vance, has been pressing the case for access to Trump’s returns in court.

New York State Attorney General Letitia James has also proven to be a talented and persistent thorn in Trump’s side, specifically on the tax disclosure issue.

To the President, attempts to disclose tax returns, as all presidents have voluntarily donesince Richard Nixon, constitute “very bad and unfair” treatment.

As for Florida? Well, aside from the fact that the Sunshine State has no state level income tax to disclose in the first place, it is also controlled by friendly Republicans, such as former attorney general Pam Bondi, she of the refusal to open an investigation into the Trump University scam fame.

In Florida, Trump can work on his tan while not worrying about any tax forms being disclosed to anyone. We should all be so lucky.

© 2019 Cable News Network. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Two guesses why Trump moved to Florida

Opinion by Edward J. McCaffery

Updated 4:19 PM EDT, Fri November 01, 2019

Editor’s Note: (Edward J. McCaffery is Robert C. Packard trustee chair in law and a professor of law, economics and political science at the University of Southern California. He is the author of “Fair Not Flat: How to Make the Tax System Better and Simpler” and founder of the People’s Tax Page. The opinions expressed in this commentary are his own. View more opinionat CNN.)

(CNN)Donald Trump has changed his official residence from New York, where it has been all his life, to Florida. As the New York Times reports, the White House, and Trump’s Twitter feed, have suggested that taxes have something to do with this move.

At first glance, this makes sense. Florida has no state level income or estate tax, so wealthy New Yorkers have been packing their bags and heading there for years. (This fact presents a cautionary tale for those, like presidential candidates Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, who tout a brand new wealth tax on the rich to pay for a great many things: people do indeed move to escape paying taxes.)

Then there is also the matter of the 2017 Trump tax cuts, which targeted blue states, such as New York and California, by limiting the value of state and local tax deductions under federal law. Maybe Trump finally figured out that this was bad for New Yorkers such as he.

But there is a puzzle in these easy explanations for Trump’s Florida move, as there typically is with all things Trump. As has been widely reported – and as Trump himself likes to brag about – the President does not pay many, if any, taxes, at any level. Governor Andrew Cuomo of New York put it succinctly: “Good riddance. It’s not like Mr. Trump paid taxes here anyway. He’s all yours, Florida,” per the Times story.

Still, in a tweet defending his change of address, the President asserted that “I have been treated very badly by the political leaders of both the city and state. Few have been treated worse.”

What’s going on?

Trump’s legal move to Florida may indeed be about taxes, as Trump himself suggests, but just not about paying taxes, which Trump doesn’t do. Instead, the move seems inspired by attempts to disclose Trump’s taxes, which the President also very much does not like to do.

New York has been aggressive on the front of trying to shed light on Trump’s taxes: The state legislature passed a law facilitating Congress’s access to Trump’s state-level returns, and the Manhattan district attorney, Cy Vance, has been pressing the case for access to Trump’s returns in court.

New York State Attorney General Letitia James has also proven to be a talented and persistent thorn in Trump’s side, specifically on the tax disclosure issue.

To the President, attempts to disclose tax returns, as all presidents have voluntarily donesince Richard Nixon, constitute “very bad and unfair” treatment.

As for Florida? Well, aside from the fact that the Sunshine State has no state level income tax to disclose in the first place, it is also controlled by friendly Republicans, such as former attorney general Pam Bondi, she of the refusal to open an investigation into the Trump University scam fame.

In Florida, Trump can work on his tan while not worrying about any tax forms being disclosed to anyone. We should all be so lucky.

© 2019 Cable News Network. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Greetings, Meno. May I ask if there has been any reaction to Mister Trump’'s interference with the British electoral process? Was it reported in the USA?

Hello, Darelydoo,

That is a great question.
On the face of it, one is tempted to say, yes, but Trump’s appearance on a radio show , where he was pushing conservative values can be this construed.

But this is different from undoing international structures that served not only Great Britain, but really the whole gamut of pre set international relations.
The Russia-Ukraine debacle is very similar to the South Vietnam-China problem , where the Mandarin regime was double crossed by then ambassador Henry Cabot Lodge.
The same with the Korean-debacle where major war was prevented.

Ukraine is a very splitting work of politocal intentions, and the Russian interference in U.S. elections is dwarfed by the duplicity in play, where various antimonies rely on non disclosed and redacted objectives.
The NWO underlies the whole idea of national politics, and duplicity is appearent to those who cam follow the trajectory .

The British problem is a mere sideline, an extension of the Washington led instigation.

I’ve pointed to the loss of a material dialectic, with an accompanied duplicitous Kantian transcendental, where that test, of a pure dialectic has been the foundation of regaining the momentum lost by the nominal-positivist defensive tactic, of basic apologetic interpretation.

Post modern philosophy failing, the simple naive thoughts that is pointed to in 'One Dimensional Man, can be seen a German counterpart of gross dissatisfaction with the ways things are poorly progressing with das Capital.
The duplex irony here is the nominal interpretation of equivalence k between freedom and the economy.

Liberalism had been given wide leeway, between the mid sixties and the present time, in order to stop the e genomic bleeding world wide.
Proofs are abundant, and if, the Brit pound can not hold it’s symbolic muster, then the conservation of simulated economy premiership could not be sustained.

The Federal Reserve has to keep interest rates way down, so that the corresponding employment figures can sustain a steady foundation.
They are related.

At the same time, this artificiality has to appear as a real dynamic structural process.

The procedural critique in the impeachment proceedings reflect the structural ambiguity between a pure object distinct from rules of law, and the naive interpretations that be fit political process.
That a behemoth like the US economic political machine may be sensitive to Marx’s warning of diminishing returns, has been tossed around for at least two generations, where President Carter pointed to the fast approaching limits to growth.
What did Reagan’s policies do?
In terms of deregulation, it nearly wrecked the economy another generation hence, so a desperate insurance policy had to be underwritten : the unprecedented buildup of strategic weapons, by which the fate of the economy took second place.
The ideological triumvirate has always had an objective standing between nationalism, socialism and imperialism, and has always been the mid among these, that political ideology had been designated and redefined.
It is within the confines of a failed nominalism, that thinkers such as Sassure clothes meaning, while political capital afforded such utility.
But political capital has been devalued as deflated, and now dimensions of conservation, namely fiscally defined has become the trump card of those who expect more control than say, programmed trading.
AI can not yet fact It in psychological effects into abrupt changes in equity value, and that is the number one concern if the protectors of freedom and luberty, and not of concern for a desperate party like the Republican.
Trump will be overshadowed by the deficiencies, and he himself is acting out from desperation, since he has been bought out by the banks to whom he owes his solvency.
The media may be playing a reverse game of psychological warfare, because, the nominalism with which procedures are interpreted and understood, still present the situation as life as usual.

That it is not, only candy wrapping can alley.

It is a waiting game, a kind of false peace, phony, as can be, and God help those who still strive to seek a better, simpler world that does not cause borders to burst asunder in untimely fashion.

No England is in harmonic calculus with both: EU, and the US, their symbolic value more important then any lesser value can purchase.
There is no quick fix, and influence peddling there does not rise above or, lower below such limits that mere speculation can derive.

Legal problems loom , in the next 12 months and beyond, irrespective to any outcome.

Which will rise to the Supreme Court.?

Opinion, Analysis, Essays

OPINION

Trump and Giuliani’s impeachment defense pushes America closer to a ‘mafia state’

Trump and Giuliani are operating as if Trump is — or owns — the United States.

Donald Trump walks with Rudolph Giuliani through the new Trump International Hotel in Washington, DC, on Sept. 16, 2016.Mike Segar / Reuters file

Nov. 5, 2019, 4:28 AM EST

By Teri Kanefield, attorney and author

Neither President Donald Trump nor his personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani deny the underlying facts of the allegations at the heart of £:_the impeachment inquiry. This seems like a relatively crazy thing to do, given that Democrats are out for blood — but they really have no choice givenhow much is already public. So instead of denying the facts, Trump’s defense appears to be: Yes, we did it, but there was nothing wrong with it.

Instead of denying the facts, Trump’s defense appears to be: Yes, we did it, but there was nothing wrong with it.

The “there was nothing wrong with it” defense does triple duty: It gives Trump’s surrogates something to argue, it muddies the water and confuses people with its sheer audacity, and — most important — it pushes the United States one step closer to becoming what the Hungarian scholar Bálint Magyar calls a “mafia state” to describe the kind of autocracies we see springing up in the former Soviet Union.

The defense also gives Senate Republicans little cover to hide behind. The GOP will soon be called on to tell the American people whether it agrees that it’s OK to use the levers of government to benefit Trump personally.

After all, Giuliani openly admits that he was in Ukraine to dig up information to support Trump’s harebrained theories that the real election interference in 2016 came from Ukraine. He also admits he was trying to find evidence that the Bidens were behaving corruptly and that the hacked DNC “server” is being hidden in Ukraine.

Trump, similarly, doesn’t deny that he asked Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to look into each of these matters. Both Trump and Giuliani insist, though, that there was nothing wrong with any of this. Trump says the “perfect” transcript of the July 25 call proves it. Giuliani, too, justifies what he was doing as simply being part of his obligation as Trump’s personal lawyer to “vindicate his client.” In fact, Giuliani noted on Twitter that these attempts to “vindicate” Trump stretch back even further than July.

Jennifer Rubin of The Washington Post nails it when she says that Trump and Giuliani “cannot grasp that there is a difference”between conducting U.S. foreign policy for national security reasons and conducting foreign policy to benefit Trump personally.

We’ve been talking about Trump and Giuliani running a “shadow” foreign policy alongside (and often in conflict with) the official State Department foreign policy. But Masha Gessen, relying on Magyar’s work, explains that we are “using the wrong language” to describe what Giuliani was doing in Ukraine. A president, who is the chief foreign policy official in the nation, cannot, by definition, run a shadow foreign policy. What the president can do, however, is destroy the institutions that traditionally conduct foreign policy, in this case, the State Department, staffed by career diplomats.

Magyar talks about the three stages of establishing autocracy. Stage one, the “autocratic attempt,” is when potential regime change from democracy to autocracy is still reversible. Stage two is what he calls the “autocratic breakthrough.” The final stage is autocracy, or a mafia state.

A mafia state is essentially a criminal government. Mafia states — like Putin’s Russia — develop as the government takes over businesses. As the ruler consolidates power and wealth, both wealth and power come to be concentrated in one person. Eventually, the entire state comes under the control of the head of the family and expands across the entire country. In other words, the ruler ends up owning the country.

When this happens, the ruler’s personal interests and the interests of the nation become meshed into one. Trump has been open about his admiration for Putin, the head of a powerful mafia state. Trump, in fact, often acts like a mafia don.

It is therefore not surprising that Trump and Giuliani cannot discern a difference between foreign policy conducted for the good of the U.S. and foreign policy conducted for the personal gain of Donald Trump. Trump and Giuliani are operating as if Trump is — or owns — the United States. When Trump and Giuliani insist there was nothing wrong in using the levers of government to “vindicate” Trump, they are envisioning Trump as the head of a mafia state.

Trump makes the subtext text. He calls a spade a spade. By admitting to the facts but insisting there was nothing wrong with it, he’ll force Republican senators to state for the record precisely what kind of America they want. They won’t be able to hide behind euphemisms.

Do they want to uphold a clear separation between the president’s personal interests and the interests of the nation as a whole? Or do they want to go along with Trump’s argument that he has done nothing wrong? If Republicans choose the latter, they are helping Trump blur the distinction between his own personal interests and the interests of the United States.

Teri Kanefield

Teri Kanefield, a graduate of the University of California Berkeley School of Law, is the author of numerous articles, essays, and books, including the 2015 Jane Addams Book Award winner, “The Girl from the Tar Paper School.” For 12 years she maintained an appellate law practice in California.

The opinion gleaned from the above, is, that it is to early to tell.
The next few months to and through the next general election may solve this constitutional conflict as the dialogue will echo through the chambers of government, as the boundaries increasingly untangle the common tools of self monitoring, such as the checks and balances.

If no such self prescribed efforts bringing nation within respectively bound and credibly analyzed conclusions, then it will be fair to say that perspectives have been overblown to a degree, where emotional reactions can no longer bring an objective rationality into a manageable focus to distangle the original elements of the clear understanding of the founding fathers.

The Justice Department concluded senior White House advisers have “absolute immunity” from congressional subpoenas for their testimony, according to a letter obtained by CBS News.

Witnesses come forward:

Guardian

Trump impeachment inquiry calls on White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney to testify – live
Mulvaney, who implied there was quid pro quo with Ukraine, asked to appear while House intelligence panel prepares to release more testimony

Sign up for the US briefing and get a new perspective
Mick Mulvaney in October. Mulvaney said: ‘I have news for everybody. Get over it. There is going to be political influence in foreign policy.’
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Joanna Walters in New York
@Joannawalters13
Tue 5 Nov 2019 13.50 EST
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Key events
13:49 EST
Sondland admitted quid pro quo with Ukraine - testimony
Testimony from European Union ambassador Gordon Sondland to the impeachment inquiry reveals that he told a top Ukrainian official that they wouldn’t get vital US military aid unless the country publicly committed to investigations that Donald Trump had been demanding from Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelenskiy, into the president’s domestic political rival, Joe Biden.

Four new pages of sworn testimony released moments ago, from Sondland’s closed-door testimony last month, confirm he was involved in the quid pro quo between the US and Ukraine that is at the heart of the impeachment inquiry, and which Sondland hasn’t admitted to before.

Updated at 13:50 EST
13:43 EST
Testimony from Sondland and Volker damaging for Trump
Some details of the testimony from EU ambassador Gordon Sondland and former Ukraine enjoy Kurt Volker to the impeachment inquiry last month are dribbling out, via CNN journalists so far.

There is a clear indication that they detailed a parallel foreign policy being carried out in Ukraine via Donald Trump’s lawyer Rudy Giuliani. Sondland indicated that secretary of state Mike Pompeo was told about it. Volker spoke of Giuliani as a conduit to Trump.
Typically, that would be official US diplomats, it almost goes without saying.

Nothing about this is normal!

Volker says Giuliani was a problem. Was hurting relations. pic.twitter.com/o7SsujHGxz

— Shimon Prokupecz (@ShimonPro) November 5, 2019
Updated at 13:43 EST
13:33 EST
First trickle
The latest transcripts from the closed-door testimony in the impeachment inquiry are making their way rather painfully and fitfully into the public domain today. They’re kind of out, apparently, but most reporters don’t have them yet.

Here’s a tiny snippet from CNN’s Shimon Prokupecz, about back door diplomacy.

Excerpt from Volker’s testimony!!!

So official channels wouldn’t work, they decided on a back door. Here’s the counter intelligence concern. They knew their info would get to Trump.

Ukrainian’s “asked to be connected” to Mr. Giuliani as a direct conduit to President Trump. pic.twitter.com/8WSCp9XlGZ

— Shimon Prokupecz (@ShimonPro) November 5, 2019
More to come, hang in there.

Updated at 13:33 EST
13:21 EST
What about the “blue wave” in Virginia?
Virginians go to the polls today to choose their state legislature. Despite a surge of Democratic success in the 2017 statewide elections, the Republicans hung on by a whisker to their traditionally-solid majority in the general assembly in Richmond.

Will it flip today? The so-called blue wave, which also elected a record number of women to the general assembly, was echoed in the 2018 national mid-term elections.

Key Republican districts flipped, notably giving the US Congress Virginia freshman Democrats Jennifer Wexton, who ousted moderate(ish) Republican Barbara Comstock on the outskirts of DC, and Abigail Spanberger, who beat glowing red Republican Dave Brat in a district closer to Richmond (with his infamously sexist remarks on the campaign trail).

There is a lot of interest to see if, this time also, what happens in Richmond in the election today is a forbearer of how Virginia will vote in 2020.

Since this time last year, Trump has been castigated in the Mueller report and engulfed by the impeachment inquiry centering on his conduct in relation to Ukraine.

And Virginia’s Democratic governor Ralph Northam narrowly survived a scandal over black-face photographs from the past, while his deputy, Justin Fairfax, was at the center of sexual assault allegations.

Local media are talking about the key districts voting today.STRINGER/Reuters
Updated at 13:21 EST
12:51 EST

Mick Mulvaney to be called as witness
He won’t turn up willingly, of course, but the impeachment inquiry investigators want to depose him to testify on Capitol Hill.

Mulvaney, the acting chief of staff to Donald Trump, will no doubt hove to the gag order imposed by the White House that pledges non-cooperation with the inquiry.

House impeachment inquiry now calling Mick Mulvaney for a deposition.

(Not without a fight, of course.)

— Aaron Blake (@AaronBlake) November 5, 2019

Last month Mulvaney suggested that there was a quid pro quo in relations with Ukraine in a rare, official White House press briefing, no less. He embarrassingly tried to walk back that statement later in the day. It was another unforced error from the Trump administration in the impeachment inquiry.

At the time he said the Trump administration’s decision to withhold millions of dollars in military aid to Ukraine was part of efforts to clean up corruption in the country. He was apparently referring, at least in part, to unsubstantiated conspiracy theories about a purported Ukrainian link to Russia’s hack of the Democratic National Committee (DNC) during the 2016 presidential election.

“The look back to what happened in 2016 certainly was part of the thing that he was worried about in corruption with that nation,” Mulvaney told reporters in the White House briefing room.

“Did he also mention to me in the past the corruption that related to the DNC server? Absolutely, no question about that,” Mulvaney continued. “But that’s it. That’s why we held up the money.”

Asked about mixing politics with foreign policy, Mulvaney replied: “We do that all the time with foreign policy … I have news for everybody. Get over it. There is going to be political influence in foreign policy. Elections have consequences.”

Mulvaney’s statement contradicted Trump’s repeated denials that his administration had made military aid to Ukraine contingent upon Kyiv’s willingness to open an investigation into the debunked DNC theory and the dealings of Hunter Biden, the son of Trump’s 2020 Democratic election rival Joe Biden, in Ukraine.

Mick Mulvaney Photograph: Leah Millis/Reuters
Mulvaney’s been asked to appear on Capitol Hill on Saturday. Don’t hold your breath.

Inbox: House committees have sent a letter asking Acting White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney to appear at a deposition on November 9, as part of the impeachment inquiry.

— Zachary Cohen (@ZcohenCNN) November 5, 2019
Updated at 12:54 EST
12:39 EST
Stone supporter holds up jury selection
Roger Stone trial was delayed briefly today by this chap.

At US District Court for DC. Roger Stone trial was delayed when this supporter, Anthony Haydenn, fell ill and ambulance was called. Haydenn, 54, from New York, said: “I suddenly got a confused, unstable, blackout feeling. I didn’t mean to embarrass him. He’s a good guy.” pic.twitter.com/4kNgQa2jCO

— David Smith (@SmithInAmerica) November 5, 2019

Jury selection had been slow to get underway anyway. Hoping for opening arguments to begin asap tomorrow - we’ll keep you posted and let you know when the jury has been picked so that this federal trial can get underway.

This associate of Donald Trump is accused of lying to Congress, witness tampering and obstruction of justice, chiefly relating to the release to the public on Wikileaks of emails from Hillary Clinton’s election campaign, hacked by Russian operatives in 2016.

Harris on the ballot in New Hampshire - officially
Democratic 2020 candidate Kamala Harris is struggling to keep up in the election race, as her outgoing funds exceed the cash coming in from fundraising efforts and her poll numbers stay stubbornly paltry.

She’s made the Democratic debate in Atlanta, Georgia, this month (Nov 20) and has qualified for the December debate.

It’s 90 days to the Iowa caucuses, the first voting in the decision process to decide the Democratic party nominee for president, and the former California attorney general and now Senator Harris is focussing her efforts there.

But in the “Live free or die” granite state, New Hampshire, she is now also formally on the ballot. The NH primary is on February 11, 2020.

NEW: @KamalaHarris’ New Hampshire state director Craig Brown just filed on her behalf at the state house in Concord, NH to have Harris be officially on the ballot for the New Hampshire primary in February, a campaign aide confirms to NBC News. t.co/ECnHdH8YkK

The impeachment inquiry, which is likely to move to the congressional trial phase in the US Senate early next year, will take 2020 candidates and senators Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar and Harris off the campaign trail, but it will also give them a potentially useful platform to show off their chops in the questioning process - on TV.

‘Don’t count her out’: can Kamala Harris salvage a languishing 2020 bid?
Harris on the campaign trail.

No-shows in impeachment inquiry
As we wait for the expected release, hopefully very soon, of transcripts from the testimony behind closed doors last month of Gordon Sondland, EU ambassador, and Kurt Volker, former envoy to Ukraine, it’s pretty certain that the two new witnesses expected on Capitol Hill today will not show up. This time yesterday, the first two transcripts to be made public were out, with an extraordinary account of the smear and ambush of since-ousted Ukraine ambassador Marie Yovanovitch.

In Yovanovitch’s transcript we see her describing her “shock” at discovering that Rudy Giuliani, Trump’s personal emissary who has also worked for Ukrainian and Russian interests, was attempting to destroy her reputation.

Meanwhile, today, Wells Griffith, the US national security council’s international energy and environment director didn’t show this morning and Michael Duffey, associate director for national security programs in the office of management and budget, had never been expected to show up for his 2PM appointment with the House intelligence committee, so if he turns up out of the blue that would be a huge surprise.

Here is a handy recent piece on some of the main players in the impeachment inquiry.

Trump, the whistleblower and the comic: key players in the Ukraine scandal

Updated at 12:17 EST
12:01 EST
Mississippi voter turnout expected to be high
It’s a red hot race for the governorship of Mississippi today. The local leading paper, the Clarion Ledger daily newspaper and online site out of Jackson, has live coverage of the election today.

Like in Kentucky, the Democratic challenger to the Republican candidate is the state attorney general.

AG Jim Hood has a perhaps surprisingly decent chance at the governorship - which would be the first time a Democrat has been in that post for 16 years.

The voting system in the state favors the party in power in the state legislature, however, as the winner needs not just a majority of the popular vote statewide but a tallied results in a majority of the state electoral districts backing them.

Mississippi Lieutenant Governor, Republican Tate Reeves, is the guy to beat.

You can have any candidate as long as they’re white, male and wear a red tie and dark suit. Democratic candidate
Updated at 12:04 EST
11:50 EST
No opening arguments in Roger Stone trial today
That’s confirmed, jury selection is taking a bit longer than some estimated, in the Roger Stone trial in Washington today, and what with the incident with a spectator in the courtroom needing medical attention, it’s all behind the pace.

Latest forecast is that opening arguments will get underway tomorrow. Whether first thing or later in the day…well, watch this space and we’ll let you know as soon as we know. It should be a lively trial and an unwelcome echo for Trump from the Russia investigation, as the impeachment inquiry ramps up.

Updated at 11:50 EST
11:37 EST
Hiatus in Stone trial
The Roger Stone trial in federal court in Washington is proceeding a little more haltingly than expected. There’s been a medical incident involving a spectator and the courtroom has been cleared and the trial put in recess while this is dealt with.

It looks very much like opening arguments won’t get underway today.

Shady. Roger Stone turns up for court wearing comedy shades and a cheeky expression.
Updated at 11:37 EST
11:30 EST
Kentucky close race for governor
Will the Trump factor be enough to carry Republican incumbent Matt Bevin to victory in the Kentucky governor’s race tonight, or will it sink him, even?

Potus was effectively stumping for him in the state at his rally last night - where he spoke for 80 minutes straight, sheesh. What’s worse, 80 minutes of Trump or eight minutes of Rand Paul, who was the president’s sidekick last night and, disgracefully, called on the media to unmask the whistleblower who sparked the Trump-Ukraine impeachment inquiry. Just wrong.

The whistleblower is protected by law and, besides, their words have been overtaken as if by an avalanche by the substance of the testimony given by witnesses in the inquiry so far and the memo issued by the White House itself summarizing the fateful phone call in which Trump asked the Ukrainian president to investigate a rival in the 2020 US presidential election, Democrat Joe Biden.

Bevin is deemed to be unpopular in deeply-Republican Kentucky. His Democratic challenger, state attorney general Andy Beshear, was out stumping with his father, former governor Steve Beshear, yesterday on the last day of the campaign before voting today.

Local media say Beshear has been campaigning for 17 months in this hugely-important race. Trump won the state easily in the 2016 presidential election.

Bevin attended the Trump’s rally in Louisville last night. There was no escaping the impeachment inquiry.

Some supporters wore tee shirts saying “Read The Transcript”. A. the memo is not a transcript. Testimony so far has indicated there are even more damning bits in the full transcript, with more details of Trump asking Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy to investigate Biden. B. the memo was damning.

Democratic candidate for governor, Kentucky attorney general Andy Beshear, talks with supporters on Saturday. Voters go to the polls today
11:07 EST
Voters fired up
But perhaps not in the way Fox sees it. There are important races in some key states today. Here’s the president’s echo-routine as he retweets Fox News. He’s tweeting up a storm this morning, so feel free to take a look yourself, but, if you’re busy, you won’t have missed anything earth-shattering if we don’t reproduce them here - nothing really moves the needle.

“The Impeachment Hoax has fired up voters in Kentucky, Mississippi and Louisiana.” @foxandfriends

Climate crisis - allies dismayed but the fight is far from over
The European Union has voiced regret at the US government’s confirmation yesterday of its decision to pull out of the Paris climate agreement. But the body expressed hopes that one of the world’s biggest CO2 emitters will backpedal on its decision and rejoin the accord.

That’s probably wishful thinking in terms of a policy U-turn from the Trump administration on the climate crisis. But one year from now who’s knows how the Trump-Ukraine impeachment inquiry and the presidential election will have turned out?

European Commission spokeswoman Mina Andreeva said earlier today that the global deal signed in 2015 remains “the most important international agreement on climate change” and insisted that the EU will continue to “fight global climate change under this legal framework.”

Despite the US formal notice of departure, Andreeva added that the 28-member bloc will continue working with various US-based entities and stakeholders who remain committed to the deal, the AP writes.

“The Paris agreement has strong foundations and is here to stay. Its doors remain open and we hope that the US will decide to pass (them) again one day,” Andreeva said.

Scientists are warning of “untold suffering” in a new report.

Climate crisis: 11,000 scientists warn of ‘untold suffering’
Germany said the announcement from Trump’s secretary of state Mike Pompeo yesterday is “regrettable” but no surprise. (For a great commentary on what Pompeo is up to more widely in his career, read this from my colleague Julian Borger.)

Environment Minister Svenja Schulze said the US had announced its plan to withdraw from the pact two years ago and “luckily it has remained alone in doing so.”

Nearly 200 nations signed the landmark 2015 climate deal to keep global warming below 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 Fahrenheit) by the end of the century, with each country providing its own goals for reducing emissions of greenhouse gases.

Meanwhile, the 2019 UN COP 25 climate conference will now happen in Spain not Chile, prompting more dismay from activists and one stuck on this side of the Atlantic to ask for a ride…

Since Friday afternoon I’ve been traveling east through the beautiful southern states in the USA to get to the east coast and hopefully find a transport to COP25 in Madrid… pic.twitter.com/WMig6dGKnb

— Greta Thunberg (@GretaThunberg)
First no-show of the day…?
Well. Wells. Griffith. Hasn’t turned up for his scheduled 9AM testimony behind closed doors to the Trump-Ukraine impeachment inquiry.

Happening today in the impeachment inquiry:

  • NSC official Wells Griffith scheduled for closed-door testimony at 9AM. Appearance not confirmed.

  • OMB official Michael Duffey scheduled for 2PM. Not expected to appear.

  • Expecting transcripts of Sondland & Volker depositions.

— Geoff Bennett (@GeoffRBennett) November 5, 2019
Here’s our Adam Gabbatt with a short, lively video explainer on how that whole impeachment thing works, anyway.

Warren warns on climate crisis and denier-in-chief
Whoah, sorry about the slow roll there, folks, some of us just had a connectivity issue in Guardian US HQ in the Big Apple, but after a nail-biting few minutes - just enough time to cook up a conspiracy theory about who might be jamming the wifi - we’re back live.

Leading 2020 Democratic candidate Elizabeth Warren writes for us today on the climate emergency, just a few hours after Donald Trump formalized the process of pulling out of the 2015 landmark Paris climate accord. He promised ages ago that the US would pull out but there is an official process which involves notifying the United Nations and pulling out to a specific timetable, which Trump did yesterday at the first opportunity.

So now we’re on a climate countdown. Unless there is a policy earthquake, the US will leave the accord a year from now. Trump is busy dismantling environmental regulation as fast as he can anyway, while the world’s leading climate science experts give humanity very little time to make huge change and reverse the trajectory of the crisis for our planet.

A climate denier-in-chief sits in the White House today. But not for long | Elizabeth Warren
And here’s a wise note from my colleague Lauren Gambino.

In November 2020, it won’t just be Donald Trump on the ballot but also the chance to renew America’s climate leadership for a safer, cleaner, more secure and more prosperous future.” ⁦@ewarren⁩ t.co/zp9nFf4j0e

— Lauren Gambino (@laurenegambino) November 5, 2019
Updated at 10:12 EST
09:38 EST
Trump crony on trial
Roger Stone will face a judge and jury in what is expected to be a two-week trial, beginning today in Washington.

It’s not known yet exactly when opening arguments will begin, because jury selection begins this morning, but there has been pre-screening of jurists and it could take just a day or less.

The Guardian’s David Smith is in the court house, where federal judge Amy Berman Jackson will preside, and he’ll bring us the drama as and when proceedings begin.

The case involves charges related to his alleged efforts to exploit the Russian-hacked Hillary Clinton emails for political the political gain of Donald Trump’s 2016 election campaign.

Stone, a longtime adviser to Trump, in January of this year pleaded not guilty to charges in the Trump-Russia investigation, then ran a gauntlet of protesters outside the courthouse waving Russian flags and playing the Beatles’ “Back in the USSR”.

Supporters had shouted, “We love Roger!” and held aloft signs such as, “Free Stone, fire Mueller”. Protesters yelled, “Lock him up!” and “Fucking traitor!”

The Republican strategist and self-proclaimed dirty trickster is charged in a seven-count indictment from special counsel Robert Mueller with obstruction, lying to Congress and witness tampering.

Roger Stone indictment packed with details that may make Trump sweat
Stone, briefly served on Trump’s campaign but was pushed out amid infighting with campaign manager Corey Lewandowski. Though sidelined, he continued to communicate with Trump and stayed plugged into his circle of advisers, the Associated Press adds.

The indictment says Stone repeatedly discussed WikiLeaks in 2016 with campaign associates and lays out in detail Stone’s conversations about emails stolen from Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta and posted in the weeks before Trump beat Clinton.

After WikiLeaks on July 22, 2016, released hacked emails from the Democratic National Committee, the indictment says, a senior Trump campaign official “was directed” to contact Stone about additional releases and “what other damaging information” WikiLeaks had “regarding the Clinton campaign.” The indictment does not name the official or say who directed the outreach to Stone.

Updated at 09:38 EST
09:01 EST
Impeachment woes pile on for Trump
Good morning, US politics watchers, it’s a massive day on Capitol Hill, in a courthouse in Washington, and in some key voting states across the country. We’ll be there for all the action – live, do join us. Today:

Wells Griffith, the US national security council’s international energy and environment director, is scheduled to testify behind closed doors in the Trump-Ukraine impeachment inquiry on Capitol Hill today. It’s now yet known whether he will turn up or prefer to obey what’s effectively a gag order from the White House - a directive for administration figures not to cooperate with the investigation.
Michael Duffey, associate director for national security programs in the office of management and budget is also due to testify but is definitely not forecast to turn up.
But there’s more - the House intelligence committee is expected to release more transcripts today from closed-door testimony in recent weeks. Around about noon, US east coast time, get ready for the transcripts of EU ambassador Gordon Sondland and former Ukraine envoy Kurt Volker. We can make a good guess that they will cast a poor light on Donald Trump - but also likely on themselves.
Roger Stone. Remember the Trump-Russia inquiry, all those lifetimes ago? The substance of all of that is merely dormant, not dead. Today, Trump loyalist, longtime conservative uber-fixer and all around mischief-maker Roger Stone goes on trial in federal court in Washington, DC. He’s chiefly accused of lying to Congress, witness tampering and obstruction. Special counsel Robert Mueller found evidence of communications between Stone and WikiLeaks related to the public release of Democratic party emails hacked by Russian operatives during the 2016 election. Jury selection could be quick today.
There are key governor’s races in Kentucky and Mississippi, where Democratic hopefuls are battling Republican incumbents. And important and hopefully illuminating state house elections are taking place in Virginia and New Jersey, which should offer clues about how those electorates are leaning ahead of the 2020 presidential election.
Updated at 09:01 EST

© 2019 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved.

Mitch MacConnel :

IMPEACHMENT INQUIRY

McConnell says Trump impeachment trial ‘would not lead to a removal’ if held today
A national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released this week found that a near-majority of Americans support Trump’s impeachment and removal from office.

Nov. 5, 2019, 4:27 PM EST

By Dartunorro Clark
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell threw cold water on the impeachment process Tuesday, telling reporters that if a hypothetical Senate trial were held today, the upper chamber would not vote to convict President Donald Trump.

“I will say, I’m pretty sure how it’s likely to end: If it were today I don’t think there’s any question it would not lead to a removal,” the Kentucky Republican said. “So the question is how long does the Senate want to take? How long do the presidential candidates want to be here on the floor of the Senate instead of in Iowa and New Hampshire?” (Six senators, who would serve as jurors, are running in the Democratic presidential primary.)

“And all of these other related issues that may be going on at the same time, it’s very difficult to ascertain how long this takes,” McConnell added. “I’d be surprised if it didn’t end the way the two previous ones did with the president not being removed from office.”

A national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released this week found that a near-majority of Americans support Trump’s impeachment and removal from office while 46 percent said they do not. But 9 in 10 Republicans oppose the president’s removal from office, which might help him in the GOP-controlled Senate.

Last week, the House adopted a resolution in a 232-196 largely party-line vote, formalizing the rules and procedure for the impeachment inquiry, which ushered in the public phase of the probe. No president has ever been removed from the White House through impeachment, but President Richard Nixon resigned rather face the likelihood of his removal in the Senate.

McConnell, who previously said he did not want to prejudge the process, also told reporters Tuesday that discussions on formalizing the process with Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., have not begun, but noted that “if the House acts, I think the place to start would take a look at what the agreement was 20 years ago [in the Clinton impeachment trial] as a starting place and discuss how we may be able to agree to handle the process.”

The Constitution requires that the chief justice of the United States presides over the trial.

“How long it goes on really depends on how long the Senate wants to spend on it,” McConnell said.

Dartunorro Clark is a political reporter for NBC News.

Kentucky vote: Democratic governor upset

2020 ELECTION
In stunning upset, Democrat Beshear is apparent winner in Kentucky governor race, a blow to Trump, NBC projects

With nearly all votes counted, Beshear was leading GOP Gov. Matt Bevin, endorsed by the president, by less than 1 percent.

Democrat Andy Beshear speaks to supporters on the last night of the campaign for governor, in Louisville,

WASHINGTON — Kentucky Attorney General Andy Beshear pulled off an upset Tuesday night in an apparent victory over Republican Gov. Matt Bevin and dealing a blow to President Donald Trump, NBC News projects.

Trump had endorsed Bevin and campaigned with him in Lexington the night before the election, where the president told supporters that a loss by the GOP governor would be portrayed as Trump’s having suffered “the greatest defeat in the history of the world.”

With 99 percent of precincts reporting, the candidates were separated by less than 10,000 votes. Beshear was leading with 49.4 percent, or 706,865 votes, to Bevin’s 48.7 percent, or 696,918 votes.

Turnout appeared to be higher than expected and is estimated at 1.4 million — roughly 400,000 more than the last governor’s contest in 2015, according to an NBC News analysis.

Trump injected himself into the race, traveling to Lexington on Monday to boost Bevin by trying to turn out the GOP base in the conservative state.

“You’ve got to vote,” Trump told the crowd. “If you lose, they are going to say Trump suffered the greatest defeat in the history of the world. You can’t let that happen to me!”

Now, though, Republicans may begin to worry about their prospects in next year’s elections if the president is unable to deliver his base in a state he won by 30 percentage points in 2016.

The race was competitive from the start because Bevin is one of the least popular governors in the country, according to the Morning Consult poll, due in part to a history of incendiary comments and fights over public teachers and health care.

Bevin tried to nationalize the contest and tie himself to Trump to overcome that headwind, with a closing campaign ad tying Beshear, to “socialists in Washington (who) want to impeach Trump.”

Democrat Andy Beshear speaks to supporters on the last night of the campaign for governor, in Louisville, Ky., on Nov. 4, 2019.Dylan Lovan / AP
“Talk to the average person. Ask the next 100 people who come in here if they care about this impeachment process, and they will tell you almost to a person that they do because they find it to be a charade,” Bevin said Tuesday at his polling place. “We don’t appreciate when a handful of knuckleheads in Washington abdicate their responsibility as elected officials and try to gin up things that are not true because they can’t handle the fact that Hillary Clinton didn’t win.”

Beshear, the son of the last Democratic governor in the state, Steve Beshear (who served two terms, 2007 to 2015), focused on bread-and-butter issues, including defending the Obamacare Medicaid expansion enacted by his father, and on his ability to work with Trump. But he aligns with national Democrats in support of abortion rights, putting him at odds with the bulk of Kentuckians.

“This is not about who is in the White House,” Beshear said Tuesday before the polls closed. “It’s about what’s going on in your house. It’s about the fact a governor can’t affect federal policy but a governor can certainly impact public education, pensions, healthcare and jobs — four issues that Matt Bevin has been wrong on and we’re going to do a lot of right.”

Meanwhile, in Mississippi, Republican Lt. Gov. Tate Reeves, backed by Trump, is hoping to defeat Democrat Jim Hood, the state attorney general, who has earned a nickname as “the last Democrat in Dixie” after winning four statewide elections as attorney general by sounding nothing like a national Democrat.

Hood’s ads featured him hunting, repairing machinery and talking about God, and he’s vowed to continue defending the state’s strict new anti-abortion law in court if elected. “I bait my own hook. Carry my own gun. And drive my own truck,” he says in one recent ad.

Reeves had nonetheless called Hood a “liberal and phony” who wants to take residents’ guns, and a closing ad argued that Hood, as attorney general, sued Trump but “refused to challenge Obama, even one time.”

“Now liberals are impeaching Trump. Do you stand with our president and Tate Reeves, or with the liberals and Jim Hood?” the narrator asks.

“All I know about Jim Hood is he fought very hard to elect crooked Hillary Clinton and Barack Hussein Obama,” Trump said Friday at a Tupelo rally for Reeves. “He wanted Obama to win so badly and then he wanted Hillary to win, and that’s not the kind of guy we need here, not Mississippi.”

Meanwhile, in Virginia, where a 2017 Democratic wave was the first real bellwether of what would come in the 2018 midterms, every seat in both chambers of the state Legislature is up for grabs and Democrats maintain they have a good chance of winning complete control of the state for the first time in years. The Associated Press said Tuesday night that it appeared the Democrats had won control of the Senate, while the House of Delegates was still up for grabs.

Money has poured in to Virginia at unprecedented levels, as Democrats and gun control activists contest seats in wealthy suburbs outside Washington, D.C., and Richmond that were until recently GOP strongholds in the economically booming state.

Trump did not campaign in Virginia, but Vice President Mike Pence held a rally there on Saturday.

“Everything is on the line in these elections, and Virginians are deciding that radical socialists have no place in the state Legislature,” said Austin Chambers, the president of the Republican State Leadership Committee, a national group that supports GOP candidates in state legislative race.

Seitz-Wald reported from Washington and Hillyard reported from Kentucky.

Alex Seitz-Wald is a political reporter for NBC News.

Vaughn Hillyard is a political reporter for NBC News.

Simultenious impeachment process with underlying constitutional issues surrounding pivotal legal breaches , while some polls suggesting extreme popularity.

A dramatic reversal splinters Trump’s impeachment defense

Analysis by Stephen Collinson, CNN

Updated 8:12 AM EST, Wed November 06, 2019

Washington(CNN)President Donald Trump’s impeachment defense is being stripped away plank by plank by some of the administration officials caught up in his scheme to pressure Ukraine for political favors.

A dramatic reversal by Republican donor turned diplomat Gordon Sondland, who now says that a quid pro quo was needed from Kiev to free up military aid, rocked Washington Tuesday and undercut GOP strategy.

In testimony released by impeachmentinvestigators, the US ambassador to the European Union also testified that he assumed it would be “illegal” for Trump’s fixer and personal attorney Rudy Giuliani to push Ukraine to investigate the President’s political opponents.

Sondland’s adjusted testimony did much to dismantle the President’s core and repeated defense: that he did not hold up aid to Kiev to force it to open a probe into Joe Biden and that any suggestion to the contrary is simply the “crazed” delusion of “Never Trumpers.”

Key diplomat changes testimony and admits quid pro quo with Ukraine

But his deposition was still punctuated by admissions that he could not remember what happened or did not know the motivations of key players – signs of a potential attempt to protect the President.

Yet given the ossified political partisanship in the Congress, there were also signs that no disclosures, however damaging to the President, are likely to turn a party in thrall to his faithful political base against him and lead it to contemplate ejecting him from office.

Still, Sondland was not the only senior diplomatic figure to contradict the President’s version of events on the second day of releases that threaten to turn into slow moving political torture for the White House.

The former US envoy to Ukraine, Kurt Volker, threatened another pillar of Trump’s defense – that the July 25 call with the Ukrainian President that Trump has said was “perfect” was in fact a “surprise” and “extremely unfortunate.”

Tuesday’s developments were a critical twist in an investigation that is on the cusp of a new and public phase that could further imperil the President and his 2020 election plans.

The disclosures appeared to significantly weaken the White House case that there was no quid pro quo with Ukraine and therefore no abuse of presidential power worthy of impeachment.

Democrats immediately seized on Tuesday’s events to argue that a devastating hole had been blown in Trump’s defense.

“This is a very grave development for both Ambassador Sondland and frankly for President Trump and his Republican defenders,” Virginia Rep. Gerry Connolly told CNN’s Wolf Blitzer.

“The entire defense by President Trump and his Republican acolytes in Congress that there was no quid pro quo has now collapsed.”

A growing list of witnesses, including the top diplomat in Ukraine William Taylor and National Security Council aide Tim Morrison, have testified that Ukraine opening political probes was linked to $400 million in aid and a potential meeting between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

Further damaging revelations are possible in the coming days as Democrats preside over the release of testimony taken behind closed doors as they prepare for public impeachment hearings.

The evidence from Sondland and Volker was far from the only damaging development over the last few days for Trump and his loyal troops on Capitol Hill.

Hundreds of pages of transcripts show that GOP lawmakers and counsel spent hours cross-examining witnesses in days of hearings, despite claims they were shut out of the process – another pillar of the GOP objections to impeachment.

Growing evidence, meanwhile, of a shadow foreign policy scheme masterminded by Giuliani and stretching over months undermines Trump’s focus on two events – the call with Zelensky and a whistleblower report – as the only significant data points in the scandal.

At one point, Sondland deepened the political plight of Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who appears to have been aware of the Giuliani scheme but did nothing to stop it: "Pompeo rolled his eyes and said: ‘Yes, it’s something we have to deal with.’ "

The White House responded to Tuesday’s events in characteristic fashion, with press secretary Stephanie Grisham ignoring the existence of newly disclosed facts.

“No amount of salacious media-biased headlines, which are clearly designed to influence the narrative, change the fact that the President has done nothing wrong,” she said.

But Grisham also seized on Volker’s statement that he was not aware of the existence of a quid pro quo and belief that the new Kiev government did not know aid was held up. She also pointed out that Sondland did not directly tie Trump personally to the demand for a quid pro quo.

“Both transcripts released today show there is even less evidence for this illegitimate impeachment sham than previously thought,” she said in a statement.

Grisham’s commentary was undermined by Sondland’s new testimony itself since he now says he told a Zelensky aide that the security assistance an announcement of a public investigation were in fact linked.

McConnell stands firm

McConnell advised Trump to stop attacking Senate Republicans

Sen. Chris Coons, D-Delaware, said on CNN’s “The Situation Room” that Sondland’s profile made his revised testimony even more significant and damaging to the President.

“This is not some anonymous whistleblower. This cannot be argued to be some action by a deep state opponent of President Trump,” Coons said. “Gordon Sondland, the ambassador to the EU, was a major Republican donor and a supporter of President Trump.”

Tuesday’s disclosures seemed to wound Trump in the fact-based environment of an impeachment probe, but his political future is playing out in front of diverse audiences. While Democrats see further proof of guilt, Republican lawmakers seem likely to simply fall back on a new set of arguments.

They can make the somewhat implausible case that since Sondland did not implicate the President in the quid pro quo, he could have been acting on his own initiative or the orders of someone else.

They can try to repurpose the argument that a quid pro quo is not illegal and a fact of foreign policy – a point made last month by White House acting chief of staff Mick Mulvaney that was quickly withdrawn.

Or they can reach a last resort position that Trump’s conduct may not be acceptable but is not impeachable – however much that might anger a President who insists he did nothing wrong.

Whatever they say, Tuesday’s developments, while changing the legal and logical context of the impeachment inquiry are unlikely to shift the locked in political dynamics imposed by America’s tribal partisan environment.

“I’m pretty sure how it’s likely to end. If it were today, I don’t think there’s any question it would not lead to removal,” GOP Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said Tuesday, speaking about the prospects for an impeachment trial in the Republican-led Senate.

That doesn’t mean Republicans aren’t sweating. A source close to the White House who speaks to Trump regularly offered a grim assessment to CNN’s Jim Acosta of the aftermath of Tuesday night’s races in Virginia and Kentucky, where Democrats made solid gains.

“Totally bad. Kentucky and Virginia signal to GOP they are underestimating voter intensity against Trump, and it could be terrible for them next year,” the source said.

“Bad omen for impeachment,” the source added.

But the wider politics of impeachment are still tough to call. No revelations, however damning, are likely to shake Trump’s hold on his political base glued together by his claim, last made in Kentucky Monday night, that the Democratic tactics are the “crazed” actions of a party seeking to overturn an election.

And new polls show that in the swing states that will decide whether he wins a second term, public opinion is closely divided on whether he should be impeached and removed from office.

But Sondland’s testimony offered a preview of how damaging testimony by witnesses close to the President could undermine his narrative on Ukraine and wrongdoing. That could have the potential to reshape wider public opinion among more moderate voters Trump also needs a year from now.

© 2019 Cable News Network. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

While,-

POLITICO

Poll: Majority expect Trump to win in 2020
The president’s reelection prospects appear to be a motivating factor for potential voter turnout.

With less than a year to go before the 2020 election, a majority of registered voters say they think it’s at least somewhat likely that President Donald Trump will secure a second term in the White House, a new poll has found, with more than two-fifths of voters saying the president will be top of mind when casting their vote next November.

According to a POLITICO/Morning Consult survey released on Wednesday, 56 percent of voters expect the president to be reelected next year, including 85 percent of Republicans and 51 percent of independents. By comparison, more than a third of Democrats (35 percent) say the same.

The poll found that voter enthusiasm for the election remains high, even one year out.

More than eight in 10 voters say they are motivated to turn out and vote in 2020, with 69 percent saying they are “very motivated.” Majorities of voters across the political spectrum say they are “very motivated” to vote in the presidential election. That enthusiasm is driven by Democrats and Republicans — roughly three-quarters of voters in each party describe themselves as especially energized.

And that enthusiasm would seem to translate into voting prospects — 92 percent of respondents say they are likely to turn out and vote in the election next year, including 96 percent of Democrats and Republicans and 86 percent of independents.

“President Trump’s reelection prospects seem to be energizing voter enthusiasm across the political spectrum,” said Tyler Sinclair, Morning Consult’s vice president. “Our data points show that Republicans and Democrats are equally inclined to say they are motivated and likely to vote in next year’s election.”

Indeed, about four in 10 voters say they will be thinking “a lot” about Trump while casting their ballot for president next year, including 68 percent of Republicans.

But Democrats and Republicans both have different potentially motivating sentiments about the election — voters are more likely to say they are hopeful about the presidential election (21 percent), followed by worried (18 percent.)

Democrats were most likely to say they are hopeful (26 percent) and worried (24 percent) about the election, while Republicans were most likely to say they are hopeful (19 percent) and confident (17 percent) about the election.

The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll was conducted Nov. 1-3 online among a national sample of 1,983 registered voters. Results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Morning Consult is a nonpartisan media and technology company that provides data-driven research and insights on politics, policy and business strategy.

© 2019 POLITICO LLC

The significance of this exemplifies how the intenational vacuums of contraindicating lack resulting from the phantom ideological dialectic has effected internal politics, and viva versa.

The loss of meaningful substance in international relations, due to abrupt policy changes, as caused a n equally substantial constitutional demolition Dolby which such issues can be verified and substantiated.

That procedural shift, is appearent in the charge by Republicans of improper procedural clarity, and a disregard of accentuating the legal-rules of law within which the checks and balances between the parts of government can proceed.

The ultimate question may resound within perimeters of compatibility of democratic principles and the internationalization of capital methods of autonomous to authoritarian controlled ways of interpreting the intentional bridge between the construction and the erosion that is manifest in the will of society.

If arguments can reduce the appearent executive violations to politically justified ways and means, then, there may be forthcoming signs, that present social processes have wirm out heretofore conflicting results between viewing the evolving parallel between the authorities control of the ancien regime, and the new, capital based one.

If Trump wins in 2020, the new capital aristocracy will validate the idea, that a thousand years old conventional political structure will have always been an underlying element in life.

Viewing the myth of the nature of democracy, tangentially shifted alongside, and Das Capital was a mere play within a larger theater -within extreme validation of structural basis of the major caveat, the relationship between pure and material dialectics.
The almost mythical inception of it, in the very ancient classical source, belittles it"s modern counterpart.

Lot of events this week:

Trump impeachment inquiry: public hearings to begin next week, Schiff announces – live

House intelligence chair announces Bill Taylor and George Kent to testify on Wednesday and Marie Yovanovitch to appear next Friday – follow liv

Wed 6 Nov 2019 12.53 EST

Key events

Rep Ayanna Pressley endorses Warren

Congresswoman Ayanna Pressley has broken with The Squad… to endorse Elizabeth Warren for president.

Pressley’s close House allies Ilhan Omar, Rashida Tlaib, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez have all endorsed Bernie Sanders, but Pressley announced she would back Warren in a Twitter video this afternoon.

Big structural change can’t wait. pic.twitter.com/8Sanof9COD

— Ayanna Pressley (@AyannaPressley) November 6, 2019

Pressley, like Warren, represents Massachusetts, and is now set to join Warren on the campaign trail on Thursday.

“You’ve all heard about the senator’s plans but here’s the thing: The plans are about power, who has it, who refuses to let it go, and who deserves more of it. For Elizabeth and for me power belongs in the hands of the people,” Pressley said.

“That’s why she’s fighting for fundamental change that restores power to those who’ve been left behind, and centers those who’ve never had access to it in the first place.”

Updated at 12:53 EST

12:38 EST

Reuters is reporting that a meeting between Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping to sign an interim trade deal could be delayed until December “as discussions continue over terms and venue.”

US stock markets have hit record highs on suggestions that a trade deal is imminent, something Trump has been boasting about this week. They are now slipping back into the red.

Updated at 12:38 EST

12:17 EST

Donald Trump will travel to New York City next week, to kick off the city’s Veterans Day Parade.

According to the White House, Trump will offer a tribute to veterans at the opening ceremony of Monday’s 100th annual parade.

Trump has been roundly booed in larger cities recently – see the Washington Nationals-Houston Astros game – and he is far from popular in NYC.

The president might see the Veterans Day ceremony as safer territory. But who knows.

According to the White House, Trump will offer remarks then lay a wreath at the Eternal Light memorial in Madison Square Park.

Donald Trump, left.Photograph: Jonathan Ernst/Reuters

Updated at 12:21 EST

11:57 EST

Roger Stone trial begins in DC

The trial of Roger Stone, a longtime advisor to Donald Trump, began this morning in Washington DC – a trial resulting from charges in Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation.

Stone has pleaded not guilty to charges of obstructing justice and witness tampering. He is also accused of lying to the US House of Representatives Intelligence Committee about the Trump campaign’s efforts to obtain emails hacked by Russia, which were published by the Wikileaks website.

The Guardian’s David Smith – @SmithInAmerica – will be reporting and tweeting from court throughout the day.

At US District Court for DC. Roger Stone, sitting at desk, fiddles with glasses and papers. Judge Amy Berman Jackson: The jury will be sworn in and given instructions. Then we will move to opening statements.

— David Smith (@SmithInAmerica) November 6, 2019

Jackson: “The defendant has pleaded not guilty to all the charges contained in the indictment. He is presumed innocent.”

— David Smith (@SmithInAmerica) November 6, 2019

Updated at 11:57 EST

11:42 EST

The open hearings that Adam Schiff will be closely watched and could be incredibly revealing.

Bill Taylor’s behind-closed-doors testimony was particularly damning. Taylor testified that Trump explicitly put pressure on Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, to investigate former vice-president Joe Biden.

Taylor became the US’s top diplomat in Ukraine after Marie Yovanovitch was removed. The Guardian’s Luke Harding and Julian Borger reported that Taylor found in Ukraine:

It was clear that Trump wanted Zelenskiy to “investigate” two things. One was the conspiracy theory that Ukrainecolluded with Hillary Clinton in 2016 to help her win the presidential election. The other was Burisma, the Ukrainian energy company where Hunter Biden – son of Joe Biden – had served on the board. The allegation, subsequently found to be untrue, was that Joe Biden had put pressure on the previous government of Petro Poroshenko to fire the prosecutor investigating Burisma, in order to help his son. Taylor said Giuliani was behind the “irregular policy channel” and that Trump would only meet with Zelenskiy if the Ukrainian president carried out these investigations. There was an explicit quid pro quo, Taylor suggested.

Bill Taylor leaves Capitol Hill on October 22 after testifying before house committees.Photograph: Alex Wroblewski/Getty Images

Updated at 11:42 EST

11:26 EST

Public impeachment hearings will begin next week

Open impeachment hearings will begin on Wednesday November 13, Adam Schiff has announced. Bill Taylor, the US’s top diplomat in Ukraine, and George Kent, deputy assistant secretary of state, will testify first.

Ukraine ambassador Marie Yovanovitch is due to appear on Friday November 15.

Next week, the House Intelligence Committee will hold its first open hearings as part of the impeachment inquiry.

On Wednesday, November 13, 2019, we will hear from William Taylor and George Kent.

On Friday, November 15, 2019, we will hear from Marie Yovanovitch.

More to come.

— Adam Schiff (@RepAdamSchiff) November 6, 2019

Updated at 11:31 EST

11:21 EST

It seems flipping off Donald Trump is quite a successful campaign strategy: the woman who lost her job after famously giving Donald Trump’s motorcade the middle finger in 2017 won a local government seat in Virginia last night.

Woman who gave Trump the finger elected in Virginia

Updated at 11:21 EST

10:56 EST

Virginia Democrats are “promising swift action” on a host of liberal policy proposals after sweeping the state’s legislature, according to AP.

Democrats took control of the state House and Senate – they already had Ralph Northam in place as governor – on Tuesday night, and will now push through gun restrictions and raise the minimum wage. From AP:

Northam said at a cabinet meeting Wednesday morning that he’s going to push for the same gun safety laws he proposed at a special session earlier this year called in response to a mass shooting in Virginia Beach.

[Democrats] have also promised to approve the Equal Rights Amendment, making Virginia the final state needed for possible passage of the gender equality measure.

The Virginia State Capitol, where swift action is due to take place. Photograph: Jay Paul/Reuters

Updated at 10:56 EST

10:26 EST

Tulsi Gabbard has repeatedly said she won’t run as a third party candidate if (when) she fails to win the Democratic nomination. That hasn’t failed to stop chatter about her potentially going rogue, however… chatter that Democrats appear keen to shut down:

NEW — DNC Chair Tom Perez said Tulsi confirmed to the DNC last week that she wouldn’t run as a third party candidate.

— Sam Stein (@samstein) November 6, 2019

The speculation about Gabbard running as a third party candidate is fueled in part by her unconventional fanbase, described by the New York Timesas “an unconventional mix of anti-interventionist progressives, libertarians, contrarian culture-war skeptics, white nationalists and conspiracy theorists”.

But Gabbard could also be becoming disillusioned with aspects the Democratic party. Gabbard recently claimed that Hillary Clinton said she was being “groomed by the Russian government”. Clinton didn’t actually say that, but it riled up Gabbard nonetheless.

Updated at 10:30 EST

10:12 EST

Trump’s EU envoy ‘fabricated’ parts of testimony - lawyer

Yesterday Gordon Sondland changed his impeachment inquiry testimony to confirm that the US president offered Ukraine a quid pro quo to investigate a political rival.

Now, it seems there are other aspects of Sondland’s original testimony that might not have been entirely correct.

Fiona Hill’s lawyer saying that the conversation Gordon claimed to have had with her over coffee - when she was supposedly shaking with anger at Trump - never happened https://t.co/cAg168rQZP

— Julian Borger (@julianborger) November 6, 2019

Updated at 10:12 EST

09:58 EST

The Democratic presidential candidates are out in force today… Amy Klobuchar, Kamala Harris and Andrew Yang are in New Hampshire, Joe Biden is in Washington, DC, and Tom Steyer is doing something in Wisconsin.

Here’s Klobuchar getting herself on the ballot in New Hampshire yesterday:

.@amyklobuchar is now officially on the ballot in New Hampshire pic.twitter.com/VSlZyhFefS

— Trent Spiner (@TrentSpiner) November 6, 2019

(And here is Tulsi Gabbard doing exactly the same thing yesterday.)

Updated at 09:57 EST

09:30 EST

Trump distances self from Kentucky GOP loss

Donald Trump, true to form, is insisting that the devastating Republican loss in the Kentucky governor’s election had nothing to do with him.

Early this morning Trump claimed Matt Bevin, the Republican incumbent in Kentucky, “picked up at least 15 points in last days” due to Trump’s appearance at a rally with Bevin. The polls suggest otherwise, however.

According to a survey by Trafalgar Group, Bevin was actually five points ahead at the beginning of November – before Trump’s rally. Make of that what you will. (And don’t forget thatTrump himself saidon Monday that defeat for Bevin: “sends a really bad message”.)

Meanwhile Trump, a man who famously managed to lose $1bn in less than 10 years, has also been tweeting out some financial advice.

Stock Markets (all three) hit another ALL TIME & HISTORIC HIGH yesterday! You are sooo lucky to have me as your President (just kidding!). Spend your money well!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 6, 2019

Updated at 10:14 EST

09:20 EST

David Hale is presumably being sworn in right about now. According to the AP report, Hale will tell Adam Schiff et al more about the circumstances behind Ukraine ambassador Marie Yovanovitch being hung out to dryafter she was targeted by Giuliani and other Trump allies.

In her own testimony, released on Monday, Yovanovitch revealed her “shock” upon learning that Rudy Giuliani was running a shadow foreign policythat involved attacks on her reputation. When she reached out to the State Department to ask for some defense against smears against her, none was forthcoming.

Hale will apparently say that Pompeo worried defending Yovanovitch could lead to further delays in releasing military aid to Ukraine – andthat the State Department “worried about the reaction from Trump’s personal attorney Rudy Giuliani, also one of the strongest advocates for removing the ambassador”.

Updated at 09:20 EST

Good morning! And welcome to live coverage of the day’s political news.

•The State Department’s third-ranking official will tell Congress today that political considerations were behind the agency’s refusal to defend former Ukraine ambassador Marie Yovanovitch. According to Associated Press, David Hale will testify that Mike Pompeo, the secretary of state, decided that defending Yovanovitch would hamper efforts to free up US military funding to Ukraine.

•Hale’s behind-closed-doors appearance on Capitol Hill comes as more testimony could be released in the impeachment inquiry: potentially that of Fiona Hill, Trump’s former top Russia advisor.

•Meanwhile, Mike Pompeo, who is increasingly getting drawn into all this, is in Germany at a to meet with leaders on the 30th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall. With him on the plane: State Department Counselor T. Ulrich Brechbuhl, who was subpoenaed to give testimony today. So it looks like that won’t happen.

•This all comes against a backdrop of a strong Tuesday night for Democrats, of course. The party won control of Virginia for the first time in a generation after turning the state legislature blue yesterday, while the Democratic candidate for governor of Kentucky also claimed victory.

•Trump will be hoping to combat those losses when he holds a campaign rally in Louisiana tonight with Eddie Rispone, the Republican running in the state’s upcoming governor’s election.

© 2019 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved.

Public hearings:

BBC News

Trump impeachment hearings to go public next week

06 November 2019

Congressional Democrats have announced the first public hearings next week in an inquiry that may seek to remove President Donald Trump from office.

Three state department officials will testify first. So far lawmakers from three key House committees have heard from witnesses behind closed doors.

The impeachment inquiry centres on claims that Mr Trump withheld aid to Ukraine to prod it to investigate his political rival, Joe Biden.

Mr Trump denies any abuse of power

House Intelligence Committee chairman Adam Schiff, who is overseeing the inquiry, told reporters on Wednesday that an impeachment case was building against the president.

He said: “We are getting an increasing appreciation for just what took place during the course of the last year - and the degree to which the president enlisted whole departments of government in the illicit aim to get Ukraine to dig up dirt on a political opponent.”

The Capitol Hill hearings will now be broadcast live, with both Democratic and Republican lawmakers questioning witnesses.

The first public witness will be Bill Taylor, acting US ambassador to Ukraine, who delivered some of the most explosive private testimony last month.

On Wednesday - a week ahead of his scheduled public hearing - House Democrats released a transcript of his evidence.

It shows Mr Taylor told lawmakers it was his “clear understanding” that the president had withheld nearly $400m (£310m) in US military aid because he wanted Ukraine to investigate the Bidens.

Mr Trump has been making discredited corruption claims about former US vice-president Mr Biden, whose son, Hunter Biden, worked for a Ukrainian gas company.

Joe Biden is a Democratic front-runner for the presidential election a year from now.

Also scheduled to testify publicly next Wednesday is career state department official George Kent.

Mr Kent reportedly told lawmakers that department officials had been sidelined as the White House put political appointees in charge of Ukraine policy.

He testified that he had been warned to “lay low” by a superior after expressing concern about Mr Trump’s personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani, who was lobbying Ukraine to investigate the Bidens. Mr Giuliani has denied wrongdoing.

Former US ambassador to Ukraine Marie Yovanovitch, who was recalled in May after falling from favour with the White House, is due to testify on Friday next week.

She told the hearing last month that she had felt threatened by Mr Trump’s remark to Ukraine’s president that was “going to go through some things”.

House Democrats formally launched the impeachment inquiry after an intelligence official filed a whistleblower complaint in September.

The whistleblower raised the alarm about a 25 July phone call in which Mr Trump asked Ukraine’s president to investigate the Bidens.

Quick facts on impeachment

Impeachment is the first part - the charges - of a two-stage political process by which Congress can remove a president from office.

If, following the hearings, the House of Representatives votes to pass articles of impeachment, the Senate is forced to hold a trial.

A Senate vote requires a two-thirds majority to convict and remove the president - unlikely in this case, given that Mr Trump’s party controls the chamber.

Only two US presidents in history - Bill Clinton and Andrew Johnson - have been impeached, but neither was convicted.

President Richard Nixon resigned before he could be impeached.

Copyright © 2019 BBC.

Barr demurred:

Democracy Dies in Darkness
National Security
Trump wanted Barr to hold news conference saying the president broke no laws in call with Ukrainian leader
Attorney General William P. Barr, left, and President Trump before Trump signed an executive order on Oct. 28 creating a commission to study law enforcement and justice at the International Association of Chiefs of Police Convention. (Charles Rex Arbogast/AP)
Attorney General William P. Barr, left, and President Trump before Trump signed an executive order on Oct. 28 creating a commission to study law enforcement and justice at the International Association of Chiefs of Police Convention. (Charles Rex Arbogast/AP)
By Matt Zapotosky, Josh Dawsey and Carol D. Leonnig
November 6, 2019 at 8:02 PM EST
President Trump wanted Attorney General William P. Barr to hold a news conference declaring that the commander in chief had broken no laws during a phone call in which he pressed his Ukrainian counterpart to investigate a political rival, though Barr ultimately declined to do so, people familiar with the matter said.

The request from Trump traveled from the president to other White House officials and eventually to the Justice Department. The president has mentioned Barr’s demurral to associates in recent weeks, saying he wished Barr would have held the news conference, Trump advisers say.

In recent weeks, the Justice Department has sought some distance from the White House, particularly on matters relating to the burgeoning controversy over Trump’s dealings on Ukraine and the impeachment inquiry they sparked.

People close to the administration say Barr and Trump remain on good terms. A senior administration official said Trump praised the attorney general publicly and privately Wednesday, and deputy White House press secretary Hogan Gidley said in a statement: “The President has nothing but respect for AG Barr and greatly appreciates the work he’s done on behalf of the country — and no amount of shady sources with clear intent to divide, smear, and slander will change that.”

But those close to the administration also concede that the department has made several recent maneuvers putting it at odds with the White House at a particularly precarious time for the president. Like others, they spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the politically fraught situation.

The request for the news conference came sometime around Sept. 25, when the administration released a rough transcript of the president’s July phone call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The document showed that Trump urged Zelensky to investigate former vice president Joe Biden and his son Hunter — while dangling a possible White House visit for the foreign leader.

Trump offered Ukrainian president Justice Dept. help in an investigation of Biden, memo shows

By then, a whistleblower complaint about the call had moved congressional Democrats to launch the impeachment inquiry, and the administration was on the defensive. As the rough transcript was released, a Justice Department spokeswoman said officials had evaluated it and the whistleblower complaint to see whether campaign finance laws had been broken, determined that none had been and decided “no further action was warranted.”

It was not immediately clear why Barr would not go beyond that statement with a televised assertion that the president broke no laws, nor was it clear how forcefully the president’s desire was communicated. A Justice Department spokeswoman declined to comment. A senior administration official said, “The DOJ did in fact release a statement about the call, and the claim that it resulted in tension because it wasn’t a news conference is completely false.”

From the moment the administration released the rough transcript, Barr made clear that whatever the president was up to, he was not a party to it.

Though the rough transcript shows Trump offering Zelensky the services of his attorney general to aid investigations of Biden and his son, a Barr spokeswoman said that Barr and Trump had never discussed that.

“The President has not spoken with the Attorney General about having Ukraine investigate anything relating to former vice president Biden or his son,” spokeswoman Kerri Kupec said in a statement released at the same time as the rough transcript. “The President has not asked the Attorney General to contact Ukraine — on this or any other matter. The Attorney General has not communicated with Ukraine — on this or any other subject.”

It would not be the last time the Justice Department would have to distance itself from the White House on a matter relevant to the impeachment inquiry. After acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney said at a televised briefing last month that Ukraine’s cooperation in the investigations Trump wanted was tied to hundreds of millions of dollars of aid that the United States had withheld from Kyiv, a Justice Department official quickly made clear to reporters that the department did not endorse that position.

“If the White House was withholding aid in regards to the cooperation of any investigation at the Department of Justice, that is news to us,” the official said.

The department — and Barr in particular — has similarly sought separation from Rudolph W. Giuliani, the president’s personal lawyer who was leading the effort to investigate the Bidens.

In addition to asserting that Barr and Trump had never discussed investigating the Bidens, Kupec said in her statement that the attorney general had not “discussed this matter, or anything relating to Ukraine, with Rudy Giuliani.” Barr’s allies had previously confided to reporters that the attorney general was unhappy with Giuliani, particularly over his going outside of normal channels to pursue investigations of interest to the president.

Last month, after the department arrested two Giuliani associates who had worked on investigating the Bidens’ activities in Ukraine, the New York Times reported that Giuliani had participated in a meeting about a separate case with Brian A. Benczkowski, the head of the Justice Department’s Criminal Division, and lawyers in the department’s fraud section.

Two business associates of Trump’s personal attorney Giuliani have been arrested on campaign finance charges

The day after that report, the department issued an unusual statement saying those in the meeting were unaware of the case that led to charges against Giuliani’s associates for alleged campaign finance violations. Giuliani also is being investigated as a part of the case, though he has said he has not been told of that.

“When Mr. Benczkowski and fraud section lawyers met with Mr. Giuliani, they were not aware of any investigation of Mr. Giuliani’s associates in the Southern District of New York and would not have met with him had they known,” Peter Carr, a department spokesman, told the Times.

People close to Barr assert that while Barr is a strong believer in the power of the presidency, he has always recognized there might be times when he has to preserve the Justice Department’s independence.

“My take is that Barr hasn’t changed one bit, that he has had a healthy distance from the beginning,” one person close to the administration said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to candidly describe Barr’s relationship with Trump. “He knows the parameters of the relationship between a president and an AG.”

Trump had a famously dysfunctional relationship with his first Senate-confirmed attorney general, Jeff Sessions. The president blamed Sessions for special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s investigation into whether his campaign coordinated with Russia to influence the 2016 election because — in the president’s view — Sessions’s recusal from that case allowed for Mueller’s appointment and everything that followed. Mueller, though, was appointed by the deputy attorney general at the time, Rod J. Rosenstein, weeks after Sessions recused himself.

Trump publicly and privately attacked Sessions for virtually Sessions’s entire tenure in the top law enforcement job and toyed constantly with firing him. He finally did so after the 2018 midterm elections and nominated Barr as his permanent replacement. His resentment lingers to this day, as Sessions is expected to announce a run for his old Senate seat.

Though Barr was a relative outsider to Trumpworld when the president picked him as attorney general, he quickly won the president’s affection. In announcing Mueller’s principal conclusions — before Mueller’s final report had been issued — Barr declared that the special counsel had found insufficient evidence to allege coordination between Russia and the Trump campaign. And while Mueller had not reached a determination on whether the president had obstructed justice, Barr said he had reviewed the case himself and determined Trump had not.

Barr’s descriptions so agitated Mueller that the special counsel sent a letter to the attorney general complaining that Barr “did not fully capture the context, nature, and substance” of the special counsel’s work. Barr ultimately would release Mueller’s final report — which painted a far more damning picture for Trump — but even as he did so, he held a news conference and endorsed one of the president’s famed talking points.

“As he said from the beginning,” Barr declared, referring to Trump, “there was, in fact, no collusion.”

Detractors have criticized the attorney general as eroding the Justice Department’s independence, though Trump has generally been pleased. Most recently, allies say he has been heartened as Barr has sought to investigate those involved in the Russia case, tapping U.S. Attorney John Durham to lead an inquiry into the origins of the Mueller investigation and whether the U.S. government’s “intelligence collection activities” related to the Trump campaign were “lawful and appropriate.”

Barr’s review of Russia investigation wins Trump’s favor. Those facing scrutiny suspect he’s chasing conspiracy theories.

On Ukraine, though, the White House and Justice Department have been somewhat out of sync.

Some time after The Washington Post began reporting on the nature of the whistleblower’s complaint about Trump’s phone call, the Justice Department pushed to release the rough transcript. Leaders there believed — perhaps misguidedly — that doing so could quell the budding controversy, because in his conversation with Zelensky, Trump did not explicitly push for a quid pro quo tying U.S. aid for Ukraine to the politically beneficial investigations he sought. The White House was initially resistant.

The Justice Department had not always been on the side of full transparency, blocking transmission of the whistleblower complaint to Congress after its Office of Legal Counsel determined it was not appropriate to do so— even though the intelligence community inspector general felt the law required it to be handed over. Unbeknown to the public, the department weighed whether to investigate a potential campaign finance crime, though ultimately concluded there was not sufficient basis to do so after an inquiry limited essentially to reviewing the rough transcript of the Trump-Zelensky call.

Though Barr did not hold a news conference clearing Trump of any wrongdoing, the Justice Department did issue its statement saying it would not investigate the matter — at least for campaign finance violations. While that was a partial win for Trump, it has allowed Congress to expedite its impeachment inquiry without fear of impeding law enforcement — and make public unflattering testimony about the president and his allies’ dealings in Ukraine.

Tom Hamburger contributed to this report.

Impeachment: What you need to read
Updated November 6, 2019
Here’s what you need to know to understand the impeachment inquiry into President Trump.

How we got here: House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced the beginning of an official impeachment inquiry against President Trump on Sept. 24, 2019. Here’s what has happened since then.

What’s happening now: Lawmakers are conducting an inquiry, which could lead to impeachment. An impeachment would mean the U.S. House thinks the president is no longer fit to serve and should be removed from office.

© 1996-2019 The Washington Post

Whistle blower: intel problem:

IMPEACHMENT INQUIRY

Intel officials want CIA Director Gina Haspel to protect Ukraine whistleblower from Trump

As Trump allies denounce the whistleblower, pressure is building on CIA Director Gina Haspel to take a stand, say current and ex intelligence officials.

CIA Director Gina Haspel at a Senate Intelligence Committee hearing on May 9, 2018.Andrew Harrer / Bloomberg via Getty Images file

Nov. 6, 2019, 4:42 PM EST

By Ken Dilanian

WASHINGTON — As President Donald Trump and his allies continue to denounce the CIA whistleblower whose complaint led to an impeachment investigation, pressure is building on the spy agency’s director, Gina Haspel, to take a stand on the matter, current and former intelligence officials tell NBC News.

“It will be incumbent on her to protect the whistleblower — and by extension, the organization — moving forward,” Marc Polymeropoulos, a recently retired CIA officer who oversaw operations in Europe and Russia, said in an interview. “This is a seminal moment for her leadership, and I’m confident she will do the right thing.”

So far, Haspel has been publicly silent as Trump has railed about the whistleblower, a CIA analyst, on Twitter. So has the director of national intelligence, Joseph Maguire.

On Wednesday, during Ukraine testimony, the lawyer for Republicans on the House Oversight Committee asked former Ambassador Bill Taylor about an individual who has been identified by some right-wing news organizations as the whistleblower. The president’s son Donald Trump Jr. had already tweeted out the same name.

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Trump Jr.'s tweet came after Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., said Monday he would probably disclose the whistleblower’s name, and he urged the news media to do so. Also Monday, the president tweeted: “There is no Whistleblower. There is someone with an agenda against Donald Trump.”

Andrew Bakaj, the whistleblower’s lead lawyer, has said that disclosure of his client’s name would deter future whistleblowers and he has threatened legal action against anyone who reveals the name. In a statement Wednesday, the whistleblower’s lawyers said “identifying any suspected name … will place that individual and their family at risk of serious harm.”

The inspector general for the intelligence community, Michael Atkinson, found the whistleblower’s complaint about Trump’s alleged pressure campaign on Ukraine to be credible. The description of events in the complaint, which has been public for weeks, has largely been confirmed by the transcript of Trump’s July phone call with the Ukrainian president and by the publicly available testimony of other witnesses in recent weeks.

Atkinson found that the whistleblower had an arguable political bias, but that it didn’t undermine the credibility of his account.

Former CIA Director John Brennan, a Trump critic and NBC News contributor, said intelligence leaders should be pushing back both publicly and privately against what amounts to a campaign to punish the whistleblower.

“Since the affiliation of the whistleblower is unacknowledged, it is up to the Acting DNI Joe McGuire to take a firm public and private stance against any effort to expose the whistleblower,” Brennan told NBC News. “Other leaders of the Intelligence Community should privately oppose any attempt to name the whistleblower. Senator Paul’s appalling call for the naming of the whistleblower by the media should be denounced in the strongest terms possible; a statement signed by the heads of all the intelligence agencies would be most appropriate.”

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Another former senior CIA official, who asked not to be named, added, “I think you would have to tell the president we cannot unveil this person — it will create a very bad feeling in the building that will not be good for national security or you personally, Mr. President.”

U.S. intelligence officials say they have taken unspecified steps to assure the whistleblower’s personal safety, but they have not said whether Haspel or Maguire have urged Trump behind the scenes to stop encouraging efforts to out him.

The law governing intelligence community whistleblowers makes it illegal for the inspector general or others who handled the complaint to reveal his name, but that provision is not binding on others who learn the name outside that formal channel, experts say.

CIA personnel in particular are watching Haspel closely, since the whistleblower is one of their own. That has long been clear, since he first complained to the CIA’s general counsel before putting his concerns in writing to the inspector general.

Current and former intelligence officials say Haspel is widely liked and respected within the spy agency, even as she has managed to maintain a cordial relationship with a president who repeatedly has denounced the intelligence community.

Asked why Maguire has not spoken out publicly in response to efforts by Trump and his allies to denounced the whistleblower, a spokeswoman for the acting DNI pointed to his comments when he testified to Congress in September.

“I am committed to ensuring that all whistleblower complaints are handled appropriately and to protecting the rights of whistleblowers,” Maguire said. “In this case, the complainant raised a matter with the Intelligence Community Inspector General. The Inspector General is properly protecting the complainant’s identity, and we will not permit that complainant to be subject to any retaliation or adverse consequences for communicating the complaint to the IG.”

A CIA spokesman said Haspel would have no comment.

“I agree with people who say it’s defining moment and I’m confident she’ll do the right thing,” said Kevin Carroll, a former CIA and Army officer. “She absolutely has a responsibility to stand up for her office.”

This browser does not support the video element.

Some former officers have said that Haspel should resign if Trump names the whistleblower. In 1998, then-CIA Director George Tenet threatened to quit when President Bill Clinton was considering pardoning an Israeli spy, Jonathan Pollard. Clinton backed down.

“Threatening to resign or resigning would be a normal thing for a leader to do in these circumstances,” said Larry Pfeiffer, a former senior CIA manager, who noted that he was not saying the whistleblower was a CIA officer. “But in this administration, we seem to see people making the calculation that they can do more to support and help the situation by not resigning.”

Some former senior agency leaders told NBC News the risks to the country would be too great if Haspel were to step down and Trump were to appoint a partisan figure to lead the CIA.

“If Trump names the whistleblower, all intelligence community leaders should publicly condemn his blatant disregard of the law and the rights of Intelligence community officials,” Brennan said. “They each would need to determine whether their resignation — if Trump didn’t fire them first — would be in the best interests of their agency and national security.”

Ken Dilanian reported from Washington, and Robert Windrem reported from New York.

Ken Dilanian

Ken Dilanian is a correspondent covering intelligence and national security for the NBC News Investigative Unit.

Robert Windrem contributed.

Mow unto Lousiana: damage control

Trump races to avoid a second electoral debacle in Louisiana

The president is itching to take out the state’s Democratic governor.

Eddie Rispone has received the full support of President Donald Trump, including tweets lavishing praise on the Louisiana Republican gubernatorial candidate and rally appearances. | Gerald Herbert/AP Photo

By ALEX ISENSTADT

11/06/2019 08:14 PM EST

Donald Trump couldn’t save Matt Bevin in Kentucky. Now, the pressure is on the president to avoid a second black eye in Louisiana next week.

Trump is thrusting himself into the state’s gubernatorial contest: He held a Wednesday evening rally for Republican candidate Eddie Rispone, who is trying to unseat Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards, and will make another visit two days before the Nov. 16 election. The president is also expected to record get-out-the-vote videos and robocalls, and on Wednesday morning he calledinto a popular Louisiana morning radio show to talk about the race.

To impeach or not to impeach? that is the wondering…

It is all so unclear, as to where things are in the decision-process…

Ahhhhh, The Apprentice… he was good in that… great, in fact… had a wide global fan-base, and then decided to run for President and blow it all on the crosses on ballot papers. I feel for the guy, I really do, and he’ll always be a legend in my eyes.

May be quite the contrary! Affects before effects. At least make it appear as such. Look at Meghan, Duchess of Sussex. She would in all likelihood will be, remembered more as another material girl, quite the ticket.

In fact , ambition can blind one into possibilities, of such momentous proportion, as to dwarf the irresolute perspective that fame accords those irrespective of merit, or of historical significance.

If it was suggested today, that the constitutional crisis has developed from basic substantial , political misaligments do to the emergence of prior unnoticed and unexpected fissures within the changed use of rhetoric. Then, it would present a picture of a deterministic role of executive power, naturally evolving rather then an inflated , success raging narcissistic overblow.

Or, is the play, really, a play within a play, carefully crafted and drawn up by genius , who want to change geopolitical states of being, from a philosophical backwater to one the world finds relevant, ? Sign, seal and deliver unreachable realities flung fat and wide, casting the net, literally, into a very new, simulated world , governed by the evolved tools of higher , albeit simulated intelligence?

The two possibilities yearn to produce the third, as substitute for the worn out search for that object, that form of governance that has instituted necessary dissections between the public and the private theatres as a sine quo non.
What came before, the chicken?
Or, the egg.

Hello, brave, new world. !

For it is not enough to point to such publicly unacknowledged fissures, rather, the thing is, to surmise the false sense of unity that objectives , like the dying 5 year plans represented in sustenance of transcendence, as a cover for public acknowledgement?

Transcendence was defeated at the market place, and the dialectic reduced and withdrew into it’s own preconception…

To impeach or not, is the battle cry which is becoming a rush to judgement, the focus of breaking into veritable uses of props, lighting and stymied characterization.

The storyline , can’t realize the signifier without deluding the signified, such delusion changes the idea into its more home made, mechanical aspect, delude into delute , the subtle difference barely noticed .

Transfers of power, as these often do go unnoticed, especially in the most critical times, such are the very seeds of tenuous.

Who can notice the near catastrophe of the crisis of constitution and identity among the strewn about redundancy among the barrage of overfed populists?

To impeach or not, who can judge, and really, what difference does it make?

What the public really desures is repeat performances, and colosseum type revelry to prevent them from the boredom of the non event.

9-5 clock watching, especially passed hump day, and the desire for more spirits, obliviate the past into a general ennui of another lost lost weekend. Between great war entertainments real life gleans out of the rubble, the gay nineties, the roaring twenties, the fab. suxties, the lost generations.

Its building up again, and the orgy of desire us fueling it’s nemesis.

This ticket, that explodes.

Book by “Anonymous” is said to paint “chilling” portrait of Trump

BY BRIAN DAKSS

NOVEMBER 8, 2019 / 7:55 AM/ CBS NEWS

A forthcoming book by an anonymous author identified only as “a senior official in the Trump administration” describes President Trump as volatile, incompetent and unfit to be commander in chief, according to excerpts published Thursday by The Washington Post.

The newspaper says the book tells of racist and misogynist behind-the-scenes statements by Mr. Trump and says he “stumbles, slurs, gets confused, is easily irritated, and has trouble synthesizing information.”

The Post says the book “paints a chilling portrait of the president as cruel, inept and a danger to the nation he was elected to lead.”

According to the Post, the book describes Mr. Trump “careening from one self-inflicted crisis to the next, 'like a twelve-year-old in an air traffic control tower, pushing the buttons of government indiscriminately, indifferent to the planes skidding across the runway and the flights frantically diverting away from the airport.”’

The Post acquired a copy of the book, “A Warning,” and first reported on its contents Thursday.

White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham released a statement late Thursday saying, “The coward who wrote this book didn’t put their name on it because it is nothing but lies.”

She said reporters should “cover the book as what it is - a work of fiction.”

In the book, due out Nov. 19, the writer claims senior administration officials considered resigning as a group last year in a “midnight self-massacre,” but ultimately decided such an act would do more harm than good.

CBS News has learned that, in the book, Anonymous claims top White House staffers thought Vice President Pence was prepared to sign a letter invoking the 25th Amendment, which allows the president to be removed from office if he’s deemed unable to perform his job.

But while campaigning in New Hampshire Thursday, Pence denied it, saying, “Those rumors, I dismissed them several years ago and I’m happy to dismiss them without qualification today.”

On Monday, the Justice Department sent a letter to the book’s publisher and the writer’s literary agency, raising questions over whether any confidentiality agreement had been violated and asking for information that could help reveal the author’s identity.

The publisher, Hachette Book Group, responded by saying it would provide no additional information beyond calling the author a “current or former senior official.”

“A Warning” was written by the same official who wrote an opinion piece pub

Copyright © 2019 CBS Interactive Inc