Invasion of Gambia

google.com/amp/s/www.yahoo. … 58135.html

A coalition has been building from across west africa, to invade Gambia. I’m guessing Thursday Night, meaning Thursday during the day for those of us in America.

Gambia has approximately 2,500 guys, equivalent to a American brigade. Some of this will be pure support units.

The initial short term strategy will be to strike from multiplr directions and isolate smaller detachments from Gambia’s military, if cut off, they will be ordered to stand down, and most likely will surrender. If Gambia has any sense, they will garrison their troops around a stronghold, in aging, and make it impossible for any troops to be surrounded and cut off.

What this means is protracted military siege, most likely in a urban environment. House to house fighting, incredibly low morale. Not everyone in west africa can be expected to join up and fight in the coalition, the Ivory Coast for example just very recently has a large military rebellion over pay, and it can snap at any time. Likewise, Ebola remains a threat, as critters will be roused up by this fighting.

Expect many calls for troop defection and amnesty, UN using French and perhaps American air power backing the coalition with refugee aid likely as the minimum. I’m not aware we are supporting them via any other means than words.

Gambia is a tiny, long country, shaped like a cigar. Gambia can’t realistically hold it, it has no rear free from artillary fire.

The coalition will be aiming for a decisive strike early on. Pinpoint hits, assassination, bribing soldiers to kill or arrest him, or bounties on his current location. Supplies will be cut off almost immediately to them, so troops will likely take civilian hostages to claim they need humanitarian relief drops for the civilians.

Expent rapid encirclement, cutting off units, encouraging defections, pinpoint hits. Also expect some friendly fire, units not coordinating as well as they would like, and lots of absurd missed opportunities. Hoping the military comes to it’s senses and stands down in mass by tomorrow night.

This might coincidentally then into Trump’s first military decision if we are requested to provide air support. Trump would likely just kill him, annuling the US stance on not killing head of states.

bbc.com/news/world-africa-38672840

Deadline has passed.

Alright, that 2,500 man force looks increasingly more capable once I looked at the terrain of the capital city. It is on a island surrounded by a complex river system.

That’s a sufficient force to hold for some time.

Bonus is most of the country will very quickly back the new government, bad is that the capital is a natural fortress. Best to use light infantry with naval and air support, nothing above platoon level. This can be a lot easier if they had high quality infrared Scopes. I’m doubting outside the air force they do, infantry versions run $10,000 USD. Nigeria has given “200 men” to this fight from the AirForce, no real idea what that translates to in terms of air capacity.

Honestly, damn good positions to hold. If they are smart, Gambia would of moved all 2,500 supposed men over by now. If they didn’t, well… any left on the other side, expect defection or surrender fast, outside some scuffles. The connecting bridge, if not taken, will at least be obstructed so it won’t ferry troops over any more. Course they can just swim over, but that will be minus any armored cars or their heaviest equipment. Might get 50 Cal’s over on a boat, but don’t expect much.

This us looking to have some awesome infantry defensive potential if played off just right. I seriously doubt they can Sally out and defeat everyone and retake the country, looks grim long term- food will run out, concessions can’t get much better than what is already offered. Looking at it from a purely infantry perspective though, disregarding the humanitarian angle, looks kind of like a awesome last stand. Would make sense even, if there was a relieving army on the way, they only gave to hold out… but there isn’t. Morale is gonna get really, really bad. Very bad.

Wow, they killed the president elect’s son two days ago, claim a dog bite did him in. I’m sure.

google.com/amp/www.bbc.co.u … p/38641070

President Barrow is sworn in.

freedomnewspaper.com/gambia- … e-at-last/

Currently making the “claim” that the bulk of the military supports Barrow. I don’t see any evidence of this.

mobile.twitter.com/adama_barrow?lang=en

thegambiacoalition.com/press-releases/

Settle down buddy. Americans don’t care who we invade or when. Can we go to the doctor or not? Can we take a vacation or not?

Don’t rake a vacation to Gambia, and do see a doctor, you’ve been usingbdrugs for years.

Anyway…

Been looking over the streets in detail. If armored cars or tanks are to be used, only three ways in.

The highway bridge, which is the most obvious choke hold, anything that us armor piercing us gonna be stationed there- that is if they don’t outright blow the bridge. I’m hoping they don’t.

If Gambia has weak anti-armor capacity- or unwilling troops, then it will be a very quick thrust to storm the city council and government buildings in the north of that picture above. Anything built up and nice is to the north or far east.

Shanty buildings hold the center, with intimate ability for a door to door slug fest. Strongly recommend against that, cause those buildings aren’t even buildings. They literally are shanties, and nothing will stop a bullet’s trajectory.

If this happens, they have a southern access road, that can be secured in advance by whatever equivalent marine/ranger units they have. If they don’t, someone will ambush them along this route, because it leads directly to the southwest.

In a matter of minutes upon entering, they can do a north to east against a Southwest to North/Northwest puncher movement, two corps.

But like I said, nothing but shanties. If he runs on foot, it can be days before you find him. If he reaches the tree line, he can evade as much as he wants, best luck finding him.

Upon that presumption, if I was him, I would be in the southwest section. The ferry will likely be on his side, but it would be idiotic for him to use it, but that area gives him maximum time to decide to bolt to the woods or not.

This is, of course, if Gambia lacks any meaningful armor piercing capability, and the troops end up disorganized.

If not, then the only other two ways in is the ferry- don’t use the fucking ferry, or a amphibious assault, but I’m having doubts about the coalition’s landing craft capability. Can they ford that river in anything they got on their own? Do they have a single water capable armored vehicle?

So I’m expecting a few tanks and Howitzers in first if they go via the bridge- if they don’t use tanks, then Armored Cars and APCs with Mortars. I’m gonna get really annoyed if I see armored cars with guys holding RPGs on top. I’m thinking they can field better than that, but really… hard to say.

Also gotta factor in some of Gambia’s military is gonna defect and lead the fight. Whatever assets they use will be first used.

mobile.twitter.com/DlaminiZuma? … r%5Eauthor

channelstv.com/2017/01/18/an … to-gambia/

I’ve been seeing these troops in a bunch of pictures, nothing is uniformed amongst them, not gear, nor weapons, nor eye protection, just helmets. In one pic, a guy was wearing a ski mask with the rest of his unit. Bizarre.

Some have three liter camelbacks. That’s a day supply of water in this shit, they are gonna be tied to a water Buffalo.

They do have some old night vision devices, NOD 7s. They take up both eyes, but only has one lense, right in the middle, so if you get flashed, your blinded for a moment and you lack depth perception. They work, just annoying.

I’m having less and less hope for these guys. They undoubtedly gave good training, but some seriously shitty equipment.

…Africa…

It’s the beginnings if a NATO like infrastructure that will have more people than China by century’s end. They are either gonna evolve into a friendly bloc, or a hostile one. My preference is friendly, US has a huge cultural pull on the region given the influence of African American culture.

That assumes the European Union doesn’t split a part first.

Something akin to it will pop right back in, in under a generation even if NATO and the EU talks apart. Guaranteed.

This twitter feed is claiming some desertions from checkpoints have already occurred. I have no way to verify this at all, it is from a New York news group.

mobile.twitter.com/SaharaReport … r%5Eauthor

Yes, more reports they are in, heading towards statehouse.

citifmonline.com/2017/01/19/ecow … -military/

That’s through the ambush zone.

No shots reported fired yet. Military chief of gambia said six hours ago he wasn’t ordering his troops to fight, but at the same time, troops haven’t exactly been acting loyal to the new presudent.

Maybe this will be over in a hour without bloodshed.

Never underestimate nationalism and the will towards independence. In the absence of the E.U. there will be no centralized continental military army to replace it.

More than likely individual nations will supply their own armies, French army, Polish army, Italian army, and etc.

Never underestimate the extremely high cost of modern militaries coupled with socialism, knowing it is way cheaper to pull resources in a regional entity, something proven possible from our era.

They will always gravitate from this point on, more and more, to a multinational defense force. It’s like sugar, once you taste it, you want all good to taste that sweet.

And socialism in Europe will eventually go bankrupt if the jihadists don’t destroy it first.

No, they are gonna stick to that even if they face mass massacres. You don’t get how they think. In Europe, they had Obama rule over them since the end if WW2… Multiple generations of extreme dependency on what they figured was the opposite if social nationalism, which is… A national lead social movement…

Sounds like a joke, but that is exactly what they did. They won’t ever abandon it, it’s hitler’s only surviving legacy. That and, all the Nietzscheans about making mooooooo noises. Absolutely amazing, a religion that denigrates the gerd mentality, and they immediately pull together to organize, a herd mentality. Bunch of fucking superstars.

He is getting news from somewhere I can’t source.

There are economic limits to socialism (capitalism also) and right now European socialism is hitting a brick wall facing its own.